Updated Tuesday morning Forecast & WX Notes — January 10th, 2017

· Two hands on the wheel, Rocks in your pockets, Hold onto that hair piece, Hat Day for Donald Trump with screaming winds out of the south today. Gusts may reach over 60 mph in a few location and this will no doubt take out a few trees and the potential for power lines.

· Plan for interruptions in power have batteries, candles, lanterns etc ready to go if you live west of the Green Mountains and especially in the Champlain Islands and adjacent Chittenden, Franklin counties.

· Additionally – wet snow mixing with sleet and rain combo overnight with a dusting valley floors to locally 3” higher Greens and Northeast Kingdom highlands.

· Just as quick as this blows in, it moves out even quicker early Wednesday after daybreak with a few sprinkles. Then we dry up and the sun should come out – have your sun-glasses.

· Next system for Wednesday night with another shot for slick travel.

High Wind Warning Champlain Valley and Wind Advisories along and west of the Green Mountains…3 PM through 3 AM Wednesday.

TODAY: Periods of morning sunshine, then cloudy. Wet snow developing late today, making for slick travel with up to a slushy inch possible. A late day high about 32 degrees. Increasing south winds 10 to 25 mph in the afternoon.

TONIGHT: A wintry mix…changing to rain with pockets of freezing rain…exiting around day break. A period of hazardous travel likely with snow and sleet accumulation a trace to locally 3 inches. Temperatures rising through the 30s. Gusty south winds 10 to 25 mph with higher gusts across the hills.

WEDNESDAY: Any early sprinkles exiting, then becoming partly to mostly sunny and mild. A high 40 to 45. Southwest winds 10 to 25 mph.

Looking Further ahead…

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Fair early, then thickening clouds. A rising chance for rain after midnight. A low in the mid 30s.

Full Wolf Moon 6:34 AM Thursday

THURSDAY: Mainly cloudy. Periods of light rain. Areas of fog. A high 45 to 50.

FRIDAY: Chance for a leftover flurry or mountain snow shower, otherwise partly cloudy. A low 20 to 25. A high 25 to 30.

SATURDAY: Filtered sunshine through high cloudiness but colder. A low 5 below to 5 above. A high 20 to 25.

SUNDAY: Mostly sunny. Seasonably cold. A low around 10. A high in mid 20s.

Average lows in the single digits. Normal highs mid to upper 20s.

RH/1-10-17[end]

Updated Monday Evening Forecast — January 9th, 2017

TONIGHT:Variable clouds this evening then mostly cloudy overnight. A low in the single digits. South winds 10 to 15 mph across the hills.

TOMORROW: Periods of morning sunshine, then cloudy. Periods of wet snow developing late in the day making for slick travel with up to a slushy inch. A late day high near 35. Increasing south winds 10 to 25 mph in the afternoon.

TUESDAY NIGHT: A wintry mix of wet snow and sleet…changing to freezing rain and rain…exiting toward day break. A period of hazardous travel likely with snow and sleet accumulation 1 to locally 3 inches. Temperatures rising through the 30s. Gusty south winds 10 to 25 mph with higher gusts across the hills.

WEDNESDAY: Becoming partly to mostly sunny and mild. A high around 45. Southwest winds 10 to 25 mph.

Looking Further ahead…

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Fair early then thickening clouds. A rising chance for rain after midnight. A low in the mid 30s.

Full Wolf Moon 6:34 AM Thursday

THURSDAY: Mainly cloudy. Periods of light rain. Areas of fog. A high 45 to 50.

FRIDAY: Chance for a leftover flurry or mountain snow shower, otherwise partly cloudy. A low in the mid 20s. A high around 30.

SATURDAY: Filtered sunshine through high cloudiness. A low zero to 10 above. A high in the mid 20s.

Average lows in the single digits. Normal highs mid to upper 20s.

RH/1-9-17[end]

Updated Monday morning Forecast & WX Notes — January 9th, 2017

· Coldest morning we might see in the next two weeks occurring this morning as arctic air will moderate and milder air will quickly blow in for nasty wintry mixed precip late Tuesday into Tuesday night.

· Below courtesy of Marble Island Weather looking east and southeast across Mallets Bay at Mount Mansfield and off to the right Camels Hump – note cirrus clouds (far right) which will be on the increase today filtering the sunshine.

· Below is looking at Rain Storm #2 that moves in late Wednesday night into Thursday.

· We should see net increase in snow and sleet for Tuesday evening…then erased Wednesday 40s plus rainfall, and second system Wednesday-Thursday for all rain and highs that might push into upper 40s to near 50 Thursday.

· This to be followed by sharply colder weather but not as cold as what we are experiencing currently this morning.

TODAY: More sunshine than clouds. Cold with a high around 15.Light south winds.

TONIGHT:Mostly clear this evening then increasing high clouds. A low zero to 10 above. South winds 10 mph across the hills.

TUESDAY: Periods of morning sunshine, then cloudy. Periods of wet snow developing late in the day making for slick travel with up to a slushy inch. A late day high 30 to 35. Increasing south winds 10 to 25 mph in the afternoon.

Looking Further ahead…

TUESDAY NIGHT: A wintry mix of wet snow and sleet…changing to freezing rain and rain…exiting toward day break. A period of hazardous travel likely with snow and sleet accumulation 1 to locally 3 inches. Temperatures rising through the 30s. Gusty south winds.

WEDNESDAY: Becoming partly sunny and milder. A high around 45.

THURSDAY: Mainly cloudy. Periods of light rain. Areas of fog. A low in the mid 30s. A high 45 to 50.

FRIDAY: Chance for a leftover flurry or mountain snow shower, otherwise partly cloudy. A low in the mid 20s. A high in the low 30s.

Average lows in the single digits. Normal highs mid to upper 20s.

RH/1-9-17[end]

Updated Friday Evening Forecast — January 6th, 2017

TONIGHT: Mostly clear. A low 5 above to 10 below. Little wind.

TOMORROW: Sunshine filtered through high cloudiness. Cold. A high in the mid to upper teens. A light north wind.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. A low zero to 10 below. Light north winds.

SUNDAY: Periods of morning sun giving way to more clouds in the afternoon. A few stray mountain flurries. A high in the low teens. Light northwest winds.

Looking Further ahead…

SUNDAY NIGHT:Partly cloudy & Frigid. A low 10 to 20 below.

MONDAY: Partly to mostly sunny. Chance for an evening flurry.A high around 15.

TUESDAY: Periods of morning sunshine, then increasing clouds with a chance for light snow late. A low 5 to 10 above. A high 30 to 35.

WEDNESDAY: Cloudy, much milder, and breezy to windy. Good chance for periods of rain. Pockets of freezing rain producing hazardous travel in spots early.. A morning low 32 to 35. A late day high in the middle 40s.

THURSDAY: Mainly cloudy. Chance for rain or mixed precipitation. A low in the single digits. A high in the 30s.

Average lows in the single digits to around 10 above. Normal highs 25 around 30.

RH/1-6-17[end]

Updated Friday morning Forecast & WX Notes — January 6th, 2017

· Incrementally, arctic air step ladders to some degree downward this weekend, with the major push of the coldest air Sunday into Monday.

· Shown below with temperatures some 10 to 20 degrees below normal – to see that in a background with a warming world, is somewhat significant. Consider how cold it might be…without background global warming.

· In dense cold arctic air — interesting things take place you would not normally find. Cirrus clouds that with ice crystals lay atop the ground with low angle sunrise and sunset glittery crystals fall from a seemingly clear blue sky – we call this “diamond dust”

· Source regions of moisture that more local such as lakes produce their own weather regimes and cause localized “lake effect” flurries – this should be the case near Lake Champlain at times over this weekend.

· If the air is still with a strong temperature inversion…mirages take place. Distant mountain ranges can magnified. Crazy islands in the sky as seen below in arctic cold.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AJc3kOxiV6c

Forecast focused on N.C. VT and NE. Kingdom

TODAY: Morning clouds with some flurry activity should exit late this morning, then mostly sunny. A high in the low 20s. West to northwest winds 10 mph.

TONIGHT: Mostly clear. A low 5 above to 10 below. Little wind.

SATURDAY: Sunshine filtered through high cloudiness. Cold. A high near 20. Little wind.

Looking Further ahead…

SATURDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. A low zero to 10 below.

SUNDAY: Variable cloudiness with a chance for mountains flurries. A high in the low to mid teens.

MONDAY: Partly to mostly sunny.Frigid morning lows 10 to 25 below. A high in the teens.

TUESDAY: A few morning flurries, sunshine mixing with clouds. A low 10 to 15. A high in the upper 20s to low 30s.

WEDNESDAY: Cloudy & much milder. A chance for periods of light rain, pockets of freezing rain producing hazardous travel in spots. A morning low in the 30s. A high in the upper 40s.

Average lows in the single digits to around 10 above. Normal highs 25 around 30.

RH/1-6-17[end]

Updated Thursday Evening forecast — January 5th, 2017

TONIGHT: Partly to mostly cloudy. Chance for mainly mountain flurries northern areas. Just a skiff of accumulation. A low around 10. Light southwest winds.

TOMORROW: Morning clouds then mostly sunny. A high in the low 20s. West to northwest winds 10 mph.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Variable cloudiness. A low 5 to 10 below. Little wind.

SATURDAY: Sunny but with increasing high clouds in the afternoon. Cold. A high near 20. Little wind.

Looking Further ahead…

SATURDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. A low zero to 10 below.

SUNDAY: Partly to mostly cloudy.Chance for flurries especially in the afternoon. A low zero to 10 below. A high around 15.

MONDAY: Partly to mostly sunny.Frigid morning lows 15 to 25 below. A high in the teens.

TUESDAY: A few morning flurries, sunshine mixing with clouds. A low 10 to 15. A high in the upper 20s to low 30s.

WEDNESDAY: Cloudy & much milder. A chance for periods of light rain, pockets of freezing rain producing hazardous travel in spots. A morning low in the upper 20s. A high in the mid 40s.

Average lows in the single digits to around 10 above. Normal highs 25 around 30.

RH/1-5-17[end]

Updated Thursday morning forecast & WX notes — January 5th, 2017

· This Observation Synoptic analysis map explains it all right now it’s a very zonal flow west to east with an “Atmospheric River” entering Califorina with nearly and east to west baroclinic zone (where temperature differential most contrast between cold to the north and warm to the south.

· Progressively colder conditions…eventually good for ice fishing some areas later this weekend – caveat here…only those areas that are typically safe this time of year, but with recent warm oscillations, may have thinner ice than what we expect. Please be safe Ice Fishing…

· With arctic air = sunshine becomes more abundant

TODAY: Sunshine with a few cloudy periods. Scattered flurries or light snow showers northern areas. A minor coating possible. Colder. A high in the mid 20s. West to southwest winds 10 to 20 mph.

TONIGHT: Partly cloudy. Chance for flurries with a fluffy dusting to an inch possible. A low around zero. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph.

FRIDAY: Partly to mostly sunny. A high around 20. West winds 10 to 15 mph.

Looking Further ahead…

FRIDAY NIGHT: Scattered clouds. A low 5 to 15 below.

SATURDAY: Sunny but with increasing high clouds in the afternoon. Cold. A high around 20.

SUNDAY: A few diamond dust flurries, otherwise partly sunny. A low zero to 10 below. A high around 15.

MONDAY: Partly to mostly sunny.Frigid morning lows 10 to 25 below. A high in the teens.

TUESDAY: A few morning flurries, sunshine mixing with clouds. A low around 10. A high in the upper 20s.

WEDNESDAY: Cloudy & much milder. A chance for periods of light rain, pockets of freezing rain producing hazardous travel in spots. A morning low 25 to 30. A high in the mid 40s.

Average lows in the single digits to around 10 above. Normal highs 25 around 30.

RH/1-5-17[end]

Updated Wednesday Evening forecast — January 4th, 2016

TONIGHT: Partly cloudy. Good chance for leftover sprinkles mixing with wet snow flakes or mountain snow showers. Very minor accumulation. A low in the mid teens. South to southwest winds across the hills 10 to 20 mph.

TOMORROW: Sunshine with a few cloudy periods. Scattered flurries or light snow showers northern areas. Colder. A high in the mid 20s. West to southwest winds 10 to 20 mph.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Chance for flurries. A low zero to 5 above. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph.

FRIDAY: Partly to mostly sunny. A high around 20. West winds 10 to 15 mph.

Looking Further ahead…

FRIDAY NIGHT: Scattered clouds. A low zero to ten below.

SATURDAY: Partly to mostly sunny. Colder. A high around 20.

SUNDAY: Chance for morning diamond dust flurries, otherwiseclouds mixed with intervals sunshine. A low zero to 10 below. A high in the teens.

MONDAY: Partly to mostly sunny.Frigid morning lows 10 to 25 below. A high in the teens.

TUESDAY: A few morning flurries, otherwise increasing sunshine. A low in the teens. A high in the low 30s.

Average lows in the single digits to around 10 above. Normal highs 25 around 30.

RH/1-4-17[end]

Updated Wednesday morning forecast & WX Notes — January 4th, 2017

Watch post storm slick spots for area roads this morning, but with temperatures climbing at least back into the mid 30s and likely warmer near 40, we’ll see things slush up and melt out.

Below Balloon sounding launched at Lyndon State College showing a sleet sounding – problem was this all displaced northeast and temperatures were warmer aloft so ended with much more rain.

Glazing on trees across the higher terrain was enough to cause a few power outages.

Precipitation limited the rest of today but upticks somewhat tonight with incoming colder air over warmer waters and lake effect streamers drive east then northeast especially affecting northern Vermont.

TODAY: Considerable cloudiness most of the day giving way to partial clearing. A better chance for a few mountain snow showers and valley flurries late today. A high in the mid 30s to around 40. Southwest winds 10 to occasionally 20 mph.

TONIGHT: Partly cloudy. Good chance for leftover flurries/mountain snow showers. A low in the mid teens. South to southwest winds across the hills 10 to 20 mph.

THURSDAY: Sunshine with a few cloudy periods. Scattered flurries or light snow showers northern areas. Colder. A high in the mid 20s. West to southwest winds 10 to 20 mph.

Looking Further ahead…

THURSDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Chance for flurries. A low zero to 5 above.

FRIDAY: Periods of sun northern areas more clouds to the south. A high in the low 20s.

SATURDAY: Partly to mostly sunny. Colder.A low zero to ten below. A high in the upper teens to low 20s.

SUNDAY: Sunshine…mixing with clouds late. Chance for late day flurries.A low 10 to 15 below. A high in the teens.

MONDAY: Partly to mostly sunny.Frigid morning lows 10 to 20 below. A high in the teens.

Average lows mid single digits to around 10 above. Normal highs 25 around 30.

RH/1-3-17[end]

Updated Tuesday Night Forecast — January 3rd, 2016

Freezing Rain Advisory 4PM through 7 AM Wednesday morning.

TONIGHT: Rain or freezing rain producing glazing up 3 tenth of an inch higher terrain above 1200 ft. transitions to a wintery mix later on. Accumulations of a dusting to 3 inches of mixed snow and sleet. A low near 32. East winds 10 to 15 mph mainly this evening then light.

TOMORROW: Grey skies. Scattered wet snow showers and valley sprinkles. Partial late day clearing. A high upper 30s to around 40. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Good chance for leftover flurries/mountain snow showers. A low in the mid teens. South to southwest winds across the hills 10 to 20 mph.

THURSDAY: More sun than clouds. Scattered flurries or light snow showers northern areas. Colder. A high in the mid 20s. West winds 10 to 20 mph.

Looking Further ahead…

THURSDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Chance for flurries. A low in the single digits.

FRIDAY: Periods of sun northern areas more clouds to the south. A high 20 to 25.

SATURDAY: Partly to mostly sunny. Colder.A low zero to ten below. A high in the upper teens.

SUNDAY: Sunshine…mixing with clouds late. Chance for a late flurries.A low 10 to 15 below. A high in the low to mid teens.

MONDAY: Partly to mostly sunny.Frigid morning lows 10 to 25 below. A high in the mid to upper teens.

Average lows mid single digits to around 10 above. Normal highs 25 around 30.

RH/1-3-17[end]