· Best Weather of this week comes after a “Transition Day” today where cooler less humid air but still some low level moisture rams into Vermont’s Green Mountains where the most clouds will be.

· Away for the Greens, more sunshine than cloud cover.

· Pick of this week is Wednesday, but Thursday looks pretty nice as well but warmer with a introduction of more humidity.

· With increasing humidity comes thunderstorms and this is looking like our next round of showers and thunderstorms and potentially severe weather.

· Some of this activity may linger into the first part of Saturday with better weather Sunday and Monday next week thanks to high pressure building in.

TODAY: Cooler and breezy and less humid with mixed clouds and sunshine. An isolated mountain sprinkle. A high around 70. Northwest winds 10 to 20 mph. (5)

Full “Buck Moon 6:59 PM”

TONIGHT: Clear, cool and fully moonlit. Patches of valley fog. A low 45 to 50. Light west winds.

WEDNESDAY: Pick of the week. A beauty. Lots of sunshine and comfortable. A high in the mid to upper 70s. Northwest winds 10 mph.

Looking further ahead…

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Clear and fully moonlit. Patchy valley fog. A low in the mid 50s.

THURSDAY: Mostly sunny warmer and a little more humid. A high near 85.

FRIDAY: Variable cloudiness warm and very sticky. Scattered showers and thunderstorms some could be strong. Low in the mid 60s. A high in the mid to upper 80s.

SATURDAY: Scattered morning showers, then periods of sunshine. Sultry. A low in the mid 60s. A high around 80.

SUNDAY: Mostly sunny and a little breezy. A low in the upper 50s. A high 80 to 85.

MONDAY: Partly to mostly sunny. A low in the upper 50s. A high in the 80s.

Average lows 55 to near 60. Normal high upper 70s to low 80s. Peak of summer July 22nd

(Confidence factor: 5 = Good predictability 1 = shaky modeling lowered confidence) RH/7-19

[end]

Severe Thunderstorm Watch expires this evening.

TONIGHT: Showers and thunderstorms winding down this evening, some strong to potentially severe with gusty winds, hail and locally heavy rainfall. Otherwise, partially moonlit skies. A low in the upper 50s to low 60s. Northwest winds 10 mph. (5)

TOMORROW: Cooler and breezy with mixed clouds and sunshine. An isolated mountain sprinkle. A high in the upper 60s to near 70. Northwest winds 10 to 20 mph. (5)

Full “Buck Moon 6:59 PM”

TUESDAY NIGHT: Clear, cool and fully moonlit. Patches of valley fog. A low near 50. Light west winds.

WEDNESDAY: Pick of the week. A beauty. Lots of sunshine and comfortable. A high in the mid 70s. Northwest winds 10 mph.

Looking further ahead…

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Clear and fully moonlit. Patchy valley fog. A low in the mid 50s.

THURSDAY: Lots of sunshine with high clouds. A high around 85.

FRIDAY: Variable cloudiness. Isolated late afternoon showers and thunderstorms. Low near 60. A high around 90.

SATURDAY: Scattered showers and thunderstorms some possibly strong. Sultry. A low 65 to 70. A high 80 to 85.

Average lows 55 to near 60. Normal high upper 70s to low 80s. Peak of summer July 22nd

(Confidence factor: 5 = Good predictability 1 = shaky modeling lowered confidence) RH/7-18

[end]

· Clouds with periods of sunshine developing this morning and into the portions of this afternoon before a showers and thunderstorms move in – some widely scattered thunderstorms to work in will be strong to potentially severe with gusty hail, locally heavy rainfall.

· Lightning levels likely elevated from moderate to intense bursts as this afternoon wears on.

· Be ready from thunderstorms to arrive moving in west to east quickly anytime from 2 PM into the early to mid evening before they exit to our east.

· A cooler drier Canadian air mass will move in Tuesday for a “transition day” setting up the two best days coming Wednesday and Thursday. Though Thursday lowered confidence with some potential for thunderstorms late into the Thursday night and especially Friday.

TODAY: Clouds mixed with periods of sunshine. Afternoon showers and widely scattered strong to potentially severe thunderstorms this afternoon, with strong gusty winds, hail and locally heavy rainfall. A high 80 to 85.Southwest breeze 10 to 15 mph. (5)

TONIGHT: Showers and thunderstorms winding down this evening, some strong to potentially severe with strong gusty winds, hail and locally heavy rainfall. Otherwise, partially moonlit. A low in the upper 50s to low 60s. Northwest winds 10 mph. (5)

TUESDAY: Cooler and breezy with mixed clouds and sunshine and isolated mountain sprinkles. A high in the upper 60s to low 70s. Northwest winds 10 mph. (4)

Looking further ahead…

Full “Buck Moon 6:59 PM”

TUESDAY NIGHT: Clear, cool and fully moonlit. Patches of valley fog. A low near 50.

WEDNESDAY: Pick of the week. A beauty. Lots of sunshine and comfortable. A high in the mid to upper 70s.

THURSDAY: Lots of sunshine with high clouds. A low in the mid 50s. A high near 85.

FRIDAY: Variable cloudiness. Chance for showers and thunderstorms some possible strong. Low in the mid 50s. A high in the 80s.

Average lows 55 to near 60. Normal high upper 70s to low 80s. Peak of summer July 22nd

(Confidence factor: 5 = Good predictability 1 = shaky modeling lowered confidence) RH/7-18

[end]

TONIGHT: Partly cloudy. Maybe a shower or thundershower near the Quebec border toward midnight. A low in the lower 60s. Light northwest winds. (5)

TOMORROW: Partly sunny. Slight chance for an afternoon shower or thundershower Barre-Montpelier area north. A high 75 to 80. Light northwest winds. (5)

SATURDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Patchy valley fog. A low 55 to 60. Little wind. (5)

SUNDAY: A beauty, blue skies and bright midsummer sunshine. A high in the lower 80s. Light west breeze. (4)

Looking further ahead…

SUNDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear and partially moonlit. A low around 60.

MONDAY: Clouds mixed with periods of sunshine. Widely scattered showers and afternoon thunderstorms. A high in the mid 80s. (2)

TUESDAY: Chance for morning showers and thunderstorms then partial afternoon sunshine and a little cooler. A low 60 to 65. A high around 75. (2)

WEDNESDAY: A beauty. Lots of sunshine and comfortable. A low around 50. A high in the upper 70s.

THURSDAY: Partly to mostly sunny. A low in the mid 50s. A high 80 to 85.

Average lows 55 to near 60. Normal high upper 70s to low 80s. Peak of summer July 22nd

(Confidence factor: 5 = Good predictability 1 = shaky modeling lowered confidence) RH/7-15

[end]

· Besides a minor threat for afternoon showers and thundershowers nearest the Quebec Vermont border we should see partly to mostly sunny skies.

· A weak frontal boundary that flares up scattered showers and isolated storms will push across mainly northern half of Vermont Saturday – but thunderstorm dodging and being aware will get you though the hazards – still practice lighting safety.

· Sunday will be a Georgia Peach but without the heavy humidity with tons of sunshine. Water temperatures have responded nicely for swimming boating kayaking, picnics and camping.

· Thunderstorms threats next week include Monday and Monday night into first part of Tuesday then another excellent break with higher pressure in control Wednesday into Thursday with more 80s. Big storms may return Friday.

TODAY: Morning clouds and fog burns off to mostly sunny skies. Slight chance for afternoon shower or thundershower near the Canadian border. A high around 85. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. (5)

TONIGHT: Partly cloudy. Slight chance for a shower far northern border areas. A low around 60. Light northwest winds. (5)

SATURDAY: Clouds mixed with intervals of sun. Widely scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms Barre-Montpelier area north. A high in the upper 70s to low 80s. Light northwest winds. (5)

Looking further ahead…

SATURDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Patchy valley fog. A low near 60. (4)

SUNDAY: A beauty, blue skies and bright midsummer sunshine. A high in the low 80s. (3)

MONDAY: Clouds mixed with periods of sunshine. Widely scattered showers and afternoon thunderstorms. A low around 60. A high in the low 80s. (2)

TUESDAY: Chance for morning showers and thunderstorms then increasing afternoon sunshine. A low around 65. A high in the mid 70s (2)

WEDNESDAY: A beauty. Lots of sunshine and comfortable. A low 50 to 55. A high in the low to mid 80s.

THURSDAY: Partly to mostly sunny. A low in the mid 50s. A high in the low to mid 80s

Average lows 55 to near 60. Normal high upper 70s to low 80s. Peak of summer July 22nd

(Confidence factor: 5 = Good predictability 1 = shaky modeling lowered confidence) RH/7-15

[end]

TONIGHT: Evening showers and a few strong thunderstorms producing gusty winds, heavy rainfall and hail…exiting to mostly clear skies late evening on. Patches of valley fog with a low around 65. Light southwest winds. (5)

TOMORROW: Morning clouds and fog then periods afternoon sunshine.Widely scattered hit and miss showers and thunderstorms northern areas. A high 80 to 85. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. (5)

FRIDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Chance for a shower or thunderstorm far northern areas. A low around 60. Light northwest winds. (5)

SATURDAY: Clouds with intervals of sun. Widely scattered showers and thunderstorms Barre-Montpelier area north. A high in the mid to upper 70s. Light northwest winds. (4)

Looking further ahead…

SATURDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Patchy valley fog. A low 55 to 60. (3)

SUNDAY: Morning clouds then mostly sunny. A high around 85. (2)

MONDAY: Sunshine giving way to more clouds in the afternoon, with widely scattered showers and afternoon thunderstorms. A low in the low 60s. A high in the mid to upper 80s. (2)

TUESDAY: More clouds than sun. Chance for showers and thunderstorms. A low around 65. A high in the mid 70s (2)

Average lows 55 to near 60. Normal high upper 70s to low 80s. Peak of summer July 22nd

(Confidence factor: 5 = Good predictability 1 = shaky modeling lowered confidence) RH/7-14

[end]

· Boomers this afternoon/evening centered on late day for much of the Green Mountains State.

· The trigger a weak cool front which will flare up strong possibly severe thunderstorms with loads of lightning. Thunder-Dog Index a 6 to 7 statewide.

· Worst of the sultry stifling nights are over but tonight only just a touch cooler.

· Better weather – less humid and lower dew points arrive for the weekend with the best day coming on Sunday.

· Timing on big storms today – roughly 1 to 2 PM could a few popping out ahead of the main line which moves through later in the day and not quite exits until after sunset.

TODAY: Clouds mixed with periods of sunshine. Warm and steamy. Mainly late afternoon showers and strong possibly severe thunderstorms, some with locally gusty winds heavy rainfall and hail. A high in the mid to upper 80s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. (5)

TONIGHT: Evening showers and strong thunderstorms …some with gusty winds locally heavy rainfall and hail…gradually diminishing then mostly clear after midnight. Patches of valley fog. A low in the mid to upper 60s. Light southwest winds. (5)

FRIDAY: Sultry with clouds mixing with periods afternoon sunshine.Widely scattered hit and miss showers and thunderstorms northern areas. A high in the low to mid 80s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. (4)

Looking further ahead…

FRIDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Chance for a shower or thunderstorm far northern areas. A low in the low 60s. (3)

SATURDAY: Clouds with intervals of sun. Widely scattered showers and thunderstorms Barre-Montpelier area north. A high 75 to 80. (2)

SUNDAY: Morning clouds then mostly sunny. A low 55 to 60. A high around 85. (2)

MONDAY: Sunshine giving way to more clouds in the afternoon, with widely scattered showers and afternoon thunderstorms. A low 60 to 65. A high 80 to 85. (2)

TUESDAY: More clouds than sun. Chance for showers and thunderstorms. A low in the upper 60s. A high in the upper 70s (2)

Average lows 55 to near 60. Normal high upper 70s to low 80s. Peak of summer July 22nd

(Confidence factor: 5 = Good predictability 1 = shaky modeling lowered confidence) RH/7-13

[end]

TONIGHT: An isolated shower or two toward Champlain Valley early. Otherwise, scattered clouds muggy. A low upper 60s to near 70. Light south winds. (5)

TOMORROW: Clouds mixed with intervals of sunshine. Warm and steamy. Widely scattered afternoon showers thunderstorms. One or two could locally strong and heavy. A high in the mid to upper 80s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. (5)

THURSDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy and sultry. Good chance for showers and thunderstorms near the Quebec border toward midnight. A low in the upper 60s to around 70. South winds 10 mph. (5)

FRIDAY: Sultry with clouds mixing with periods afternoon sunshine.Widely scattered hit and miss showers and thunderstorms especially far northern areas. A high around 85. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. (4)

Looking further ahead…

FRIDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Chance for a shower or thunderstorm far northern areas. A low in the low 60s. (3)

SATURDAY: Clouds with intervals of sun. Widely scattered showers and thunderstorms Barre-Montpelier area north. A high 75 to 80. (2)

SUNDAY: Morning clouds then mostly sunny. A low 55 to 60. A high around 85. (2)

MONDAY: Sunshine giving way to more clouds in the afternoon, with widely scattered showers and afternoon thunderstorms. A low 60 to 65. A high 80 to 85. (2)

TUESDAY: More clouds than sun. Chance for showers and thunderstorms. A low in the upper 60s. A high in the upper 70s (2)

Average lows 55 to near 60. Normal high upper 70s to low 80s. Peak of summer July 22nd

(Confidence factor: 5 = Good predictability 1 = shaky modeling lowered confidence) RH/7-13

[end]

· Can’t rule out a pop-up shower-thundershower today especially northern Green Mountains and Champlain valley – but 95% largely dry today.

· Tonight very sultry – 65 to 72 degree range with higher dew point temps riding in on a south to southwest breeze making it uncomfortable for sleeping.

· Most active day likely tomorrow – afternoon showers and thunderstorms flare up then die down quickly in the evening and then resume again toward the northern tier areas around Quebec border Champlain Islands overnight Thursday into the morning Friday.

· The threat of showers and storms diminishes some Friday afternoon and becomes isolated across northern areas for Saturday – much like today. Sunday and Monday looking peachy-keen and dry but summer-like.

TODAY: Lots of sunshine. Warm and much more muggy. An isolated pop up shower or thundershower possible this afternoon toward the Champlain Valley. A high 85 to 90. South to southwest breeze 10 mph. (5)

TONIGHT: Partly cloudy very sultry. A low 65 to 70. Light south winds. (5)

THURSDAY: Partly sunny warm and steamy. Widely scattered afternoon showers thunderstorms. One or two could locally strong and heavy. A high in the middle 80s. Southwest winds 10 mph. (5)

Looking further ahead…

THURSDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy and sultry. Good chance for showers and thunderstorms near the Quebec border developing overnight. A low in the mid 60s to around 70. (4)

FRIDAY: Variably cloudy and sultry.Widely scattered hit and miss showers and thunderstorms especially far northern areas. A high 80 to 85. (3)

SATURDAY: Mixed clouds and sun. An isolated afternoon shower or thundershower. A low 55 to 60. A high 75 to 80.

SUNDAY: Mostly sunny. A low 55 to 60. A high around 85.

MONDAY: Mostly sunny. A low in the upper 50s to around 60. A high 80 to 85

Average lows 55 to near 60. Normal high upper 70s to low 80s. Peak of summer July 22nd

(Confidence factor: 5 = Good predictability 1 = shaky modeling lowered confidence) RH/7-13

[end]

TONIGHT: Scattered evening clouds then mostly clear. A low 60 to 65. South breeze 10 mph. (5)

TOMORROW: Lots of sunshine. Warm and much more muggy. A high in the upper 80s to lower 90s. South to southwest breeze 10 mph. (5)

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy very sultry. A low in the mid 60s to near 70. Light south winds. (5)

THURSDAY: Partly sunny warm and steamy. A good chance for afternoon showers thunderstorms, some strong and locally heavy. A high in the middle 80s. Southwest winds 10 mph. (4)

Looking further ahead…

THURSDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy and sultry. Scattered showers and thunderstorms mainly near the Quebec border. A low in the upper 60s to around 70. (3)

FRIDAY: Very sultry with mixed clouds and sun.Widely scattered hit and miss afternoon showers and thunderstorms. A high in the low 80s. (2)

SATURDAY: Mixed clouds and sun. Isolated afternoon showers and thunderstorms. A low near 65. A high around 80.

SUNDAY: Partly sunny. Widely scattered showers and thunderstorms. A low in the mid 60s. A high in the low 80s.

Average lows 55 to near 60. Normal high upper 70s to low 80s. Peak of summer July 22nd

(Confidence factor: 5 = Good predictability 1 = shaky modeling lowered confidence) RH/7-12

[end]