· Clouds with periods of sunshine developing this morning and into the portions of this afternoon before a showers and thunderstorms move in – some widely scattered thunderstorms to work in will be strong to potentially severe with gusty hail, locally heavy rainfall.

· Lightning levels likely elevated from moderate to intense bursts as this afternoon wears on.

· Be ready from thunderstorms to arrive moving in west to east quickly anytime from 2 PM into the early to mid evening before they exit to our east.

· A cooler drier Canadian air mass will move in Tuesday for a “transition day” setting up the two best days coming Wednesday and Thursday. Though Thursday lowered confidence with some potential for thunderstorms late into the Thursday night and especially Friday.

TODAY: Clouds mixed with periods of sunshine. Afternoon showers and widely scattered strong to potentially severe thunderstorms this afternoon, with strong gusty winds, hail and locally heavy rainfall. A high 80 to 85.Southwest breeze 10 to 15 mph. (5)

TONIGHT: Showers and thunderstorms winding down this evening, some strong to potentially severe with strong gusty winds, hail and locally heavy rainfall. Otherwise, partially moonlit. A low in the upper 50s to low 60s. Northwest winds 10 mph. (5)

TUESDAY: Cooler and breezy with mixed clouds and sunshine and isolated mountain sprinkles. A high in the upper 60s to low 70s. Northwest winds 10 mph. (4)

Looking further ahead…

Full “Buck Moon 6:59 PM”

TUESDAY NIGHT: Clear, cool and fully moonlit. Patches of valley fog. A low near 50.

WEDNESDAY: Pick of the week. A beauty. Lots of sunshine and comfortable. A high in the mid to upper 70s.

THURSDAY: Lots of sunshine with high clouds. A low in the mid 50s. A high near 85.

FRIDAY: Variable cloudiness. Chance for showers and thunderstorms some possible strong. Low in the mid 50s. A high in the 80s.

Average lows 55 to near 60. Normal high upper 70s to low 80s. Peak of summer July 22nd

(Confidence factor: 5 = Good predictability 1 = shaky modeling lowered confidence) RH/7-18

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