Updated Thursday Morning forecast — July 14th, 2016

· Boomers this afternoon/evening centered on late day for much of the Green Mountains State.

· The trigger a weak cool front which will flare up strong possibly severe thunderstorms with loads of lightning. Thunder-Dog Index a 6 to 7 statewide.

· Worst of the sultry stifling nights are over but tonight only just a touch cooler.

· Better weather – less humid and lower dew points arrive for the weekend with the best day coming on Sunday.

· Timing on big storms today – roughly 1 to 2 PM could a few popping out ahead of the main line which moves through later in the day and not quite exits until after sunset.

TODAY: Clouds mixed with periods of sunshine. Warm and steamy. Mainly late afternoon showers and strong possibly severe thunderstorms, some with locally gusty winds heavy rainfall and hail. A high in the mid to upper 80s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. (5)

TONIGHT: Evening showers and strong thunderstorms …some with gusty winds locally heavy rainfall and hail…gradually diminishing then mostly clear after midnight. Patches of valley fog. A low in the mid to upper 60s. Light southwest winds. (5)

FRIDAY: Sultry with clouds mixing with periods afternoon sunshine.Widely scattered hit and miss showers and thunderstorms northern areas. A high in the low to mid 80s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. (4)

Looking further ahead…

FRIDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Chance for a shower or thunderstorm far northern areas. A low in the low 60s. (3)

SATURDAY: Clouds with intervals of sun. Widely scattered showers and thunderstorms Barre-Montpelier area north. A high 75 to 80. (2)

SUNDAY: Morning clouds then mostly sunny. A low 55 to 60. A high around 85. (2)

MONDAY: Sunshine giving way to more clouds in the afternoon, with widely scattered showers and afternoon thunderstorms. A low 60 to 65. A high 80 to 85. (2)

TUESDAY: More clouds than sun. Chance for showers and thunderstorms. A low in the upper 60s. A high in the upper 70s (2)

Average lows 55 to near 60. Normal high upper 70s to low 80s. Peak of summer July 22nd

(Confidence factor: 5 = Good predictability 1 = shaky modeling lowered confidence) RH/7-13

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