· A beauty today but with a buildup of heat and higher humidity levels starting tomorrow and lasting into the weekend.

· Warmest day where temperatures should achieve 90 degrees in many spots Wednesday. This followed by rather muggy nights where some regions could see overnight lows only cool down to about 70.

· Showers and thunderstorms erupt Thursday and daily into the weekend. Folks should be able to dodge thunderstorms with good planning and try to stay safe from downpours and lightning.

· Each day will be a new weather riddle…

TODAY: A few afternoon clouds otherwise blue skies and bright sunshine. A high in the low to mid 80s. Light west winds. (5)

TONIGHT: Scattered evening clouds then mostly clear. A low in the mid 60s. South breeze 10 mph. (5)

WEDNESDAY: Lots of sunshine. Warm and much more muggy. A high in the upper 80s to lower 90s. South to southwest breeze 10 mph. (5)

Looking further ahead…

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy very sultry. A low in the upper 60s. (4)

THURSDAY: Partly sunny warm and steamy. A good chance for afternoon showers thunderstorms, some strong and locally heavy. A high in the middle 80s. (3)

FRIDAY: Very sultry with mixed clouds and sun.Widely scattered hit and miss afternoon showers and thunderstorms. A low in the upper 60s. A high in the low 80s. (2)

SATURDAY: Mixed clouds and sun. Isolated afternoon showers and thunderstorms. A low near 65. A high around 80.

SUNDAY: Partly sunny. Widely scattered showers and thunderstorms. A low in the mid 60s. A high in the low 80s.

Average lows 55 to near 60. Normal high upper 70s to low 80s. Peak of summer July 22nd

(Confidence factor: 5 = Good predictability 1 = shaky modeling lowered confidence) RH/7-11

[end]

TONIGHT: Mostly clear. Patchy valley fog. A low in the low to mid 50s. Light northeast winds. (5)

TOMORROW: A few afternoon clouds otherwise blue skies and bright sunshine. A high 80 to 85. Light west winds. (5)

TUESDAY NIGHT: Scattered evening clouds then mostly clear. A low 60 to 65. South breeze 10 mph. (5)

WEDNESDAY: Lots of sunshine. Warm and much more muggy. A high in the upper 80s to lower 90s. South to southwest breeze 10 mph. (4)

Looking further ahead…

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. A low in the mid 60s. (3)

THURSDAY: Warm and rather sticky. Partly sunny. Widely scattered hit and miss afternoon showers and thunderstorms. A high in the mid 80s. (2)

FRIDAY: Very sultry with mixed clouds and sun.Widely scattered hit and miss afternoon showers and thunderstorms. A low around 70. A high mid 80s. (2)

SATURDAY: Mixed clouds and sun. Chance for a few showers and thunderstorms. A low 60 to 65. A high in the mid to upper 70s.

Average lows 55 to near 60. Normal high upper 70s to low 80s

(Confidence factor: 5 = Good predictability 1 = shaky modeling lowered confidence) RH/7-11

[end]

· If you have taken this week off for staycation in Vermont you have done well. Some excellent weather ahead with predominantly sunny skies Monday through Wednesday complete with a big warming trend.

· Humidity levels low to moderate today Monday and Tuesday, but significant increase in higher dew points moves in for Wednesday and especially Thursday.

· Hit and miss showers and thunderstorms ahead of a cool front or dew point front for a more stormy Thursday afternoon.

· Improvement arrives Friday but with lowered confidence…

· Despite a chilly wet weekend, water temperatures on the big lake range from 64 to 68 and these will be climbing as air temperatures for mid week.

TODAY: Partly to mostly sunny. A high in the mid to upper 70s. Light northwest winds. (5)

TONIGHT: Mostly clear. Patchy valley fog. A low 50 to 55. Light winds. (5)

TUESDAY: Blue skies and bright sunshine. A high in the low 80s. Light west winds. (5)

Looking further ahead…

TUESDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. A around 60. (4)

WEDNESDAY: Lots of sunshine. Warm and much more muggy. A high in the upper 80s to around 90. (3)

THURSDAY: Warm and rather sticky. Sunshine giving way to increasing afternoon clouds. Widely scattered hit and miss afternoon showers and thunderstorms. A low in the mid 60s. A high in the mid 80s. (2)

FRIDAY: Partly sunny and still muggy.A low in the 60s. A high in the low to mid 80s. (2)

Average lows 55 to near 60. Normal high upper 70s to low 80s

(Confidence factor: 5 = Good predictability 1 = shaky modeling lowered confidence) RH/7-11

[end]

TONIGHT: Thickening clouds but otherwise fair this evening. A rising likelihood of showers with isolated thunderstorms developing overnight…some possibly heavy. A low near 60. Light east to southeast winds. (5)

TOMORROW: Cloudy, damp and cool. Scattered morning showers giving way to periods of rain…heavy at times with a risk for thunder. Well below normal in temperature. A high around 65. Southeast breeze 10 to 20 mph. (5)

SATURDAY NIGHT: Considerable cloudiness. A break in the showers during the evening, then showers likely…some possibly heavy. A low 55 to 60. Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph. (4)

SUNDAY: Considerable cloudiness damp and cool. Showers, some heavy with a risk for thunder in the afternoon. A high 65 to 70. Light east winds. (4)

Looking further ahead…

SUNDAY NIGHT: Clouds with a few leftover showers exiting. A low near 55. (3)

MONDAY: Morning clouds exit to increasing sunshine and breezy at times. A high in the mid 70s. (2)

TUESDAY: Mostly sunny. A low near 55. A high in the low 80s. (2)

WEDNESDAY: Lots of sunshine. A low in the upper 50s. A high in the mid 80s. (2)

THURSDAY: Sunshine giving way to increasing afternoon clouds. Scattered afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms. A low in the mid 60s. A high in the mid 80s. (2)

Average lows 55 to near 60. Normal high mid 70s to near 80

(Confidence factor: 5 = Good predictability 1 = shaky modeling lowered confidence) RH/7-8

[end]

· Fragile forecast this morning with not all modeling on board for a perfectly dry Friday – However conditions appear to hold out per some of the more trusted modeling for today with a weak bubble of fair weather high pressure.

· Toward midnight tonight — the Rains and embedded storms “cometh” and lightning and thunder to be mixed in overnight with some heavier showers also to drench the region.

· This is in part due to a pretty anomalously strong low pressure system for this period of “High Summer” with climatological departure happening once every 30 years in terms of how deep the low pressure system will be.

· Thus the results with lots lifting mechanisms to support plenty of rain/frequent showers with the occasional clap of thunder through the entire weekend – makes this not quite a complete washout.

· Additionally, Lower freezing levels, and what meteorologist call lower “wet bulb zero” may also indicate some of these storms may include hail as this fairly impressive storm system.

· Total rainfall from Midnight tonight through Midnight Sunday night about ¾” eastern Vermont to 2.2” Green Mountains and western side of the state.

TODAY: Morning cloudiness will give way to periods of afternoon sunshine. A high in the low 80s. Light north breeze. (4)

TONIGHT: Increasingly cloudy but fair most of the evening. Showers and a chance for thunderstorms developing overnight some possibly heavy. A low around 60. Light east winds. (4)

SATURDAY: Cloudy, unsettled and cool. Showers or periods of rain likely, heavy at times with a risk for thunder mainly in the morning. Showers scattered in the afternoon. A high only around 65. Southeast breeze 10 to 20 mph. (4)

Looking further ahead…

SATURDAY NIGHT: Considerable cloudiness. Showers…some possibly heavy with a risk of thunder. A low 55 to 60. (3)

SUNDAY: Considerable cloudiness. A good chance for showers with a risk for thunder…some heavy at times. A high 65 to 70. (2)

MONDAY: Morning clouds exit to increasing sunshine and breezy at times. A low near 55. A high in the mid 70s. (2)

TUESDAY: Mostly sunny. A low near 55. A high in the low 80s. (2)

WEDNESDAY: Lots of sunshine. A low in the upper 50s. A high in the mid 80s. (2)

THURSDAY: Sunshine giving way to increasing afternoon clouds and a chance for showers and thunderstorms. A low in the mid 60s. A high 85 to 90. (2)

Average lows 55 to near 60. Normal high mid 70s to near 80

(Confidence factor: 5 = Good predictability 1 = shaky modeling lowered confidence) RH/7-8

[end]

TONIGHT: Partly cloudy. Scattered showers and thunderstorms…a few with gusty winds and briefly heavy rainfall winding down toward central and southern areas. Patchy valley fog. A low in the mid 60s. Light north winds. (5)

TOMORROW: Morning clouds, then partly to mostly sunny. A high 80 to 85. Light north breeze. (5)

FRIDAY NIGHT: Increasingly cloudy but fair most of the evening. Showers and a chance for thunderstorms developing overnight some possibly heavy. A low in the upper 50s. (4)

SATURDAY: Cloudy, unsettled and cool. Showers likely, heavy at times with a risk for thunder mainly in the morning. Showers scattered in the afternoon. A high in the mid 60s. (4)

Looking further ahead…

SATURDAY NIGHT: Considerable cloudiness. Showers…some possibly heavy again with a risk of thunder. A low 55 to 60. (3)

SUNDAY: Considerable cloudiness. A good chance for showers with a risk for thunder…some heavy at times. A high 65 to 70. (2)

MONDAY: Mostly cloudy after morning fog. A few mountain sprinkles. Blustery at times. A low 50 to 55. A high in the mid 70s. (2)

TUESDAY: Mostly sunny and not so cool. A low 50 to 55. A high around 80 (2)

WEDNESDAY: Lots of sunshine. A low in the mid 50s. A high in the mid 80s.

Average lows 55 to near 60. Normal high mid 70s to near 80

(Confidence factor: 5 = Good predictability 1 = shaky modeling lowered confidence) RH/7-7

[end]

· Showers and thunderstorms should fire up this afternoon in rather muggy conditions, where still there might a few readings reaching to around the 90 degrees mark today but otherwise just a tad cooler but more humidity.

· THUNDER-DOG Index today about 6 to 7 northern areas and a 5 across southern Vermont where storms may be more isolated.

· A frontal system will push through this afternoon and early evening…setting up a nice cooler-less humid day Friday. Conditions look pretty nice for festivities for Friday night.

· Weekend – Likely wettest in a long time…a washout pretty close but some part of the day Saturday and some part of the day Sunday should be in-between showers and few embedded weak thunderstorms.

· Computer modeling indicates hefty rainfall amounts especially western Vermont possibly greater 2.5” in few locations.

TODAY: More clouds than sunshine. Scattered showers and afternoon thunderstorms. A couple storms may be strong…with gusty winds and briefly heavy rainfall. Warm and steamy. A high in the mid to upper 80s. Winds becoming westerly 10 mph. (5)

TONIGHT: Scattered showers and thunderstorms…a few with gusty winds and briefly heavy rainfall winding down, otherwise partly cloudy. Patchy valley fog. A low in the mid 60s. Light north winds. (5)

FRIDAY: Morning clouds, then partly to mostly sunny. A high in the upper 70s to lower 80s. Light north breeze. (4)

Looking further ahead…

FRIDAY NIGHT: Fair in the evening then clouding up. Good chance for showers and a few thunderstorms after midnight. A low in the upper 50s. (3)

SATURDAY: Cloudy, unsettled and cool. Showers likely, heavy at times with a risk for thunder. Temperatures holding in the 60s. (2)

SUNDAY: Considerable cloudiness. A good chance for showers with a risk for thunder…some heavy at times. A low near 55. A high 65 to 70. (2)

MONDAY: Partly sunny after morning fog. Widely scattered mountain showers and blustery at times. A low in the low 50s. A high near 70. (2)

TUESDAY: Partly sunny and not so cool. A low in the low 50s. A high in the mid 70s. (2)

WEDNESDAY: Lots of sunshine. A low in the 50s. A high in the 80s.

Average lows 55 to near 60. Normal high mid 70s to near 80

(Confidence factor: 5 = Good predictability 1 = shaky modeling lowered confidence) RH/7-7

[end]

TONIGHT: Mostly clear and beauty. A low around 65. Light winds. (5)

TOMORROW: More clouds than sunshine. Scattered showers and afternoon thunderstorms. One or two storms may be strong…with gusty winds and briefly heavy rainfall. Warm and steamy. A high in the mid 80s to near 90. Winds becoming westerly 10 mph. (5)

THURSDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Patchy valley fog. A low in the mid 60s. Light north winds. (5)

FRIDAY: Morning clouds, mixed with periods of afternoon sunshine. A high in the upper 70s to low 80s. Light north breeze. (4)

Looking further ahead…

FRIDAY NIGHT: Clouding up. Chance for showers and thunderstorms developing after midnight. A low in the upper 50s. (3)

SATURDAY: Cloudy and cool. Periods of rain likely, heavy at times with a few thunderstorms mixed in. Temperatures holding in the 60s. (2)

SUNDAY: A good chance for showers and possible thunderstorms some heavy at times. A low near 55. A high in the mid 60s. (2)

MONDAY: Partly sunny after morning fog. Chance for lingering mountain showers and blustery at times. A low in the low 50s. A high near 70. (2)

TUESDAY: Partly sunny and not as cool. Maybe an isolated mountain shower. A low in the low 50s. A high in the mid 70s. (2)

Average lows 55 to near 60. Normal high mid 70s to near 80

(Confidence factor: 5 = Good predictability 1 = shaky modeling lowered confidence) RH/7-6

[end]

· Hot-cha-cha today with some areas seeing 90 degree temps. A great day to head to the beach, or soak your feet in a pond or kiddy pool and lower the body temperature just a bit.

· Moderately humid conditions today as dew point temperatures creep up. Heat Indices equal the same as the temperature so humidity effects are not terrible.

· Showers and boomer tomorrow will bring lightning to the region. Don’t be a fatality statistic and use common sense as lightning kills.

· Weekend – not looking too good – lots of rain/showers/embedded storms, but much needed rainfall catch up. Perhaps greater than 1.5” for a large area.

· Temperatures go into the dungeon…both Saturday and Sunday if model guidance is correct.

TODAY: Lots of sunshine but with some afternoon clouds across northern areas. and a “sizzler”. A high in the upper 80s to near 90. West breeze 10 mph. (5)

TONIGHT: Mostly clear. A low around 65. Light northwest winds. (5)

THURSDAY: Becoming mostly cloudy. Scattered showers and afternoon thunderstorms likely…a few storms could be strong with gusty winds and heavy rainfall. Warm and steamy with a high in the mid 80s to around 90. West breeze 10 mph. (4)

Looking further ahead…

THURSDAY NIGHT: Some leftover cloudiness otherwise fair. Patchy valley fog. A low in the mid 60s. (4)

FRIDAY: Partly sunny skies giving way to increasing clouds with a chance for late day showers and thunderstorms. A high in the upper 70s to low 80s. (3)

SATURDAY: Cloudy and cool. Chance for showers and possible thunderstorms. A low in the upper 50s. A high in the 60s. (2)

SUNDAY: Mostly cloudy and cool. Chance for showers and possible thunderstorms. A low near 55. A high in the low 60s. (2)

MONDAY: Partly sunny after morning fog. Afternoon clouds and a chance for showers toward Northeast Kingdom. A chilly morning low around 45. A high in the low to mid 70s. (2)

TUESDAY: Partly sunny and not as cool. Slight chance for a shower late. A low in the mid 50s. A high in the 70s. (1)

Average lows 55 to near 60. Normal high mid 70s to near 80

(Confidence factor: 5 = Good predictability 1 = shaky modeling lowered confidence) RH/7-6

[end]

TONIGHT: Mostly clear. A low in the low 60s. Light southwest winds. (5)

TOMORROW: Lots of sunshine with a few clouds mainly northern areas. A high in the upper 80s to near 90. West breeze 10 mph. (5)

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. A low near 65. Light northwest winds. (5)

THURSDAY: More clouds than sunshine. Showers and afternoon thunderstorms likely…a few storms could be strong with gusty winds and heavy rainfall. Hot and steamy with a high in the upper 80s to around 90. West breeze 10 mph. (4)

Looking further ahead…

THURSDAY NIGHT: Some leftover cloudiness otherwise fair. Patchy valley fog. A low near 65. (4)

FRIDAY: Partly to mostly sunny. A high in the low 80s. (3)

SATURDAY: Cloudy and cool. Chance for rain and possible thunderstorms. A low in the upper 50s. A high in the low to mid 60s. (2)

SUNDAY: Mostly cloudy and cool. Chance for showers and possible thunderstorms. A low in the low 60s. A high 65 to 70. (2)

Average lows 55 to near 60. Normal high mid 70s to near 80

(Confidence factor: 5 = Good predictability 1 = shaky modeling lowered confidence) RH/7-5

[end]