· Just enough instability across portions of southern Vermont today to pop an isolated brief and weak thundershower Rutland and Windsor counties south and most likely near the S. Green Mountains.

· Otherwise stupendous with warm to hot weather today though lowered humidity levels compared to what we’ll start to see late Wednesday into the day Thursday which looks stiflingly sticky.

· You should have excellent weather for outdoor activities but watch for those thunderheads you S. Vermonters this afternoon, and practice lighting safety if need be.

· Hottest weather Wednesday into Thursday before a cool front displaces the most humid conditions triggering a round or two of scattered showers and thunderstorms. Gardeners…not expecting enough precip to help you out so you’ll need to water.

· Signs emerging for a rather gloomy cooler and wet weekend…so take advantage when you can.

TODAY: A few morning clouds, giving way to lots of sunshine. A high in the mid 80s. Light westerly breeze. (5)

TONIGHT: Mostly clear. A low around 60. Light northwest winds. (5)

WEDNESDAY: Lots of sunshine with a few clouds mainly northern areas. A high in the upper 80s to around 90. Light west winds. (5)

Looking further ahead…

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. A low in the mid to upper 60s. (4)

THURSDAY: Morning sun then more clouds in the afternoon leading to scattered showers and thunderstorms. Warm and rather sticky. A high around 90. (3)

FRIDAY: Partly to mostly sunny. A low near 65. A high in the mid 80s. (2)

SATURDAY: Cloudy and cool. Chance for showers and possible thunderstorms. A low in the low 60s. A high around 70. (2)

SUNDAY: Mostly cloudy and cool. Chance for showers and possible thunderstorms. A low in the low 60s. A high 65 to 70. (2)

Average lows 55 to near 60. Normal high mid 70s to near 80

(Confidence factor: 5 = Good predictability 1 = shaky modeling lowered confidence) RH/7-5

[end]

· 2016 4th of July Holiday will go don as one of the better ones with low to moderate humidity levels, warm summery temperatures and no rain or severe thunderstorms in sight…until perhaps Thursday.

· This excellent stretch will also include an amazing buildup of temperatures in the 80s every day this work week with a an intense warm spell for mainly Wednesday and Thursday.

· Humidity levels will be sultry for Thursday where dew point temperatures in the mid 60s to almost 70 degrees will bring steamy humid conditions.

· Low to relative moderate humidity levels through Wednesday morning.

· Other-side-of-the-coin: Farmers need to irrigate and gardeners need to water profusely in drier than usual summer conditions.

TODAY: A beauty, with bright sunshine and blue skies. A high 80 to 85. Light southwest winds. (5)

TONIGHT: Clear and comfortably cool. A low in the mid to upper 50s. Light south winds. (5)

TUESDAY: A few cloud but lots of sunshine with a high near 85. Light westerly breeze. (5)

Looking further ahead…

TUESDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. A low around 60. (4)

WEDNESDAY: Lots of sunshine with occasional high cloudiness. A high in the upper 80s to around 90. (4)

THURSDAY: Morning sun then increasing and thickening clouds with a chance for showers and thunderstorms. Warm and rather sticky. A low in the mid to upper 60s. A high near 90. (3)

FRIDAY: Partly sunny. A low in the mid 60s. A high in the mid 80s. (2)

Average lows 55 to near 60. Normal high mid 70s to near 80

(Confidence factor: 5 = Good predictability 1 = shaky modeling lowered confidence) RH/7-4

[end]

THIS EVENING: Showers and thunderstorms… some with gusty winds, locally heavy rainfall and possible small hail through about late evening. South winds 10 mph. (5)

OVERNIGHT: Partly to mostly cloudy, with a leftover shower or two. A low in the upper 50s. Winds becoming southwesterly 10 to 15 mph. (5)

TOMORROW: Scattered northern mountain sprinkles, gradually giving way to intervals of afternoon sun. Blustery and cool for this time of year. A high in the upper 60s to near 70. Northwest breeze 10 to 25 mph. (5)

SATURDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear & cool. Patches of valley fog. A low 50 to 55. Light west winds. (5)

SUNDAY: Lots of sunshine with a few afternoon clouds. A high 70 to 75. Breezy. Northwest winds 10 to 20 mph in the afternoon. (4)

Looking further ahead…

SUNDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. A low in the lower 50s. (4)

MONDAY 4th of July: Lots of sunshine with a few afternoon clouds. A high near 80. (3)

TUESDAY: Partly to mostly sunny. A low in the mid 50s. A high near 85. (2)

WEDNESDAY: Filtered sunshine through high clouds. A low 55 to 60. A high around 90. (2)

THURSDAY: Chance for late day showers and thunderstorms. Hot and rather sticky. A low in the mid 60s. A high near 90.

Average lows in the mid to upper 50s. Normal high 75 to near 80

(Confidence factor: 5 = Good predictability 1 = shaky modeling lowered confidence) RH/7-1

[end]

Roger Hill

Weathering Heights Consulting

186 MacKenzie Dr.

Worcester VT 05682

For me, it is far better to grasp the Universe as it really is than to persist in delusion, however satisfying and reassuring. ~ Carl Sagan

Virus-free. www.avast.com

Great weather for the first ¾ of Friday but…thunderstorms will bang through in quick fashion so if you are on the lake today, on mountain tops you really need to head for shore, down the mountain as thunderstorms will be moving in quickly I’d plan to be out of there no later than 2 or 3 PM.

Storms will develop across New York state and rapidly tap into increasingly humid conditions and produce scattered strong thunderstorms with lots of lighting, small hail, briefly heavy rainfall (possible flooding in those area that experienced heavy rainfall Tuesday and Wednesday.

The main action peak late today into the evening and then exit with scattered leftover rain showers into the night and during the day Saturday.

Cooler Canadian air blowing in on gusty northwesterly winds will also keep temperatures suppressed in the upper 60s to lower 70s – so coolish Saturday with a few mountain sprinkle likely.

Rest of 4th of July Weekend – Looking really good. Other than a few sprinkle northern border areas Sunday afternoon, predominant sunshine and a warming trend through the rest of the weekend into the middle part of next week – and this comes with low to moderate humidity levels. – Enjoy

Gardeners and Farmers will need to irrigate or water after the main event tonight…

TODAY: Sunshine through early afternoon then increasing clouds. A rising likelihood for showers and thunderstorms…some strong with gusty winds, small hail and briefly heavy rainfall. Noticeably more muggy. A high 80 to 85. South winds 10 mph. (5)

TONIGHT: Mainly cloudy. Showers and scattered thunderstorms, some with locally heavy rainfall in the evening, then turning partly to mostly cloudy with a few leftover showers overnight. A low in the upper 50s to around 60. Southwest breeze 10 mph. (5)

SATURDAY: Scattered mountain showers or sprinkles…gradually giving way to intervals of afternoon sun. Blustery and cool for this time of year. A high in the upper 60s to near 70. West northwest breeze 10 to 25 mph. (5)

Looking further ahead…

SATURDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear & cool. Patches of valley fog. A low around 50. (4)

SUNDAY: Sunshine mixing with a few clouds.. A high in the low to mid 70s. (2)

MONDAY 4th of July: Filtered sunshine through high clouds at times. A low near 55. A high around 80. (2)

TUESDAY: Partly to mostly sunny. A low in the mid 50s. A high 80 to 85. (2)

WEDNESDAY: Filtered sunshine through high clouds. A low in the upper 50s. A high in the in the upper 80s to possibly low 90s. (2)

Average lows in the mid to upper 50s. Normal high 75 to near 80

(Confidence factor: 5 = Good predictability 1 = shaky modeling lowered confidence) RH/7-1

[end]

TONIGHT: Mostly clear. Patchy valley fog. A low near 55. Little wind. (5)

TOMORROW: Sunshine through early afternoon then increasing clouds. A rising chance for showers and a few thunderstorms by late in the day. Some storms could contain gusty winds and briefly heavy rainfall especially western Vermont. A high 80 to 85. South winds 10 mph. (5)

FRIDAY NIGHT: Mainly cloudy. Showers and scattered thunderstorms, some with locally heavy rainfall in the evening, then turning partly to mostly cloudy with a few leftover showers overnight. A low in the upper 50s to around 60. Southwest breeze 10 mph. (5)

SATURDAY: Scattered light mountain showers gradually giving way to intervals of afternoon sun. Blustery and cool for this time of year. A high in the upper 60s. West northwest breeze 10 to 25 mph. (4)

Looking further ahead…

SATURDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear & cool. Patches of valley fog. A low around 50. (3)

SUNDAY: Sunshine mixing with a few clouds.. A high in the low to mid 70s. (2)

MONDAY 4th of July: Filtered sunshine through high clouds at times. A low near 55. A high in the upper 70s to near 80. (2)

TUESDAY: Partly to mostly sunny. A low in the mid 50s. A high 80 to 85. (2)

WEDNESDAY: Filtered sunshine through high clouds. A low near 60. A high in the 80s. (2)

Average lows in the mid to upper 50s. Normal high 75 to near 80

(Confidence factor: 5 = Good predictability 1 = shaky modeling lowered confidence) RH/6-30

[end]

· Gorgeous today into tonight, and a decent through a good portions of tomorrow.

· All eyes west with incoming showers and thunderstorms marching eastward out of New York state with an arrival time with the lead thunderstorms before sunset Friday.

· Most of the action Friday evening into the early overnight period…then a gradual winding down but lingering showers to hang around especially thorough the morning and the afternoon should see partial sunshine gradually breakout with the receding line of cloudiness exiting from south to north.

· Overnight modeling has cooled down Saturday where temperatures may hang only around the mid 60s to near 70 Saturday – so wee bit chilly.

· The rest of the 4th of July holiday weekend looking pretty good as temps rebound nicely with highs by Monday around 80.

TODAY : Lots of sunshine and beauty after morning fog. A high 75 to 80. Light west breeze. (5)

TONIGHT: Mostly clear. Patchy valley fog. A low near 55. Little wind. (5)

FRIDAY: Partly to mostly sunny skies give way to increasing late afternoon clouds. A rising chance for showers and a few thunderstorms later in the day. A high in the low 80s. South winds 10 mph. (4)

Looking further ahead…

FRIDAY NIGHT: Mainly cloudy. Showers and scattered thunderstorms, some with locally heavy rainfall in the evening, then turning partly to mostly cloudy with a few leftover showers overnight. A low near 60. (3)

SATURDAY: Scattered light mountain showers gradually giving way to partial mid afternoon sun. A bit chilly for this time of year. A high 65 to 70. (3)

SUNDAY: Sunshine mixing with a few clouds. A low around 50. A high in the mid 70s. (2)

MONDAY 4th of July: Filtered sunshine through high clouds at times. A low near 55. A high in the upper 70s to near 80. (2)

TUESDAY: Partly sunny. Widely scattered afternoon showers and thunderstorms. A low in the mid 50s. A high 80 to 85. (2)

Average lows in the mid to upper 50s. Normal high 75 to near 80

(Confidence factor: 5 = Good predictability 1 = shaky modeling lowered confidence) RH/6-30

[end]

TODAY : Lots of sunshine and beauty after morning fog. A high 75 to 80. Light west breeze. (5)

TONIGHT: Mostly clear. Patchy valley fog. A low near 55. Little wind. (5)

FRIDAY: Partly to mostly sunny skies give way to increasing late afternoon clouds. A rising chance for showers and a few thunderstorms later in the day. A high in the low 80s. South winds 10 mph. (4)

Looking further ahead…

FRIDAY NIGHT: Mainly cloudy. Showers and scattered thunderstorms, some with locally heavy rainfall in the evening, then turning partly to mostly cloudy with a few leftover showers overnight. A low near 60. (3)

SATURDAY: Scattered light mountain showers gradually giving way to partial mid afternoon sun. A bit chilly for this time of year. A high 65 to 70. (3)

SUNDAY: Sunshine mixing with a few clouds. A low around 50. A high in the mid 70s. (2)

MONDAY 4th of July: Filtered sunshine through high clouds at times. A low near 55. A high in the upper 70s to near 80. (2)

TUESDAY: Partly sunny. Widely scattered afternoon showers and thunderstorms. A low in the mid 50s. A high 80 to 85. (2)

Average lows in the mid to upper 50s. Normal high 75 to near 80

(Confidence factor: 5 = Good predictability 1 = shaky modeling lowered confidence) RH/6-30

[end]

TONIGHT: Any evening showers quickly diminish early, then clearing skies. Cooler. Considerable valley fog. A low 50 to 55. Light southwest winds. (5)

TOMORROW : Lots of sunshine and beauty after morning fog. A high 75 to 80. Light west breeze. (5)

THURSDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Patchy valley fog. A low near 55. Little wind. (5)

FRIDAY: Partly to mostly sunny skies give way to increasing late afternoon clouds. A slight chance for a late day shower or thundershower. A high in the low 80s. South winds 10 mph. (4)

Looking further ahead…

FRIDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers and thunderstorms through early morning hours, then partly cloudy. A low in the upper 50s. (3)

SATURDAY: Scattered mountain showers and cool, otherwise mixed clouds and sun. A high around 70. (2)

SUNDAY: Sunshine gives way to a few cloudy periods. Maybe a mountain sprinkle. A low 50 to 55. A high in the low to mid 70s. (2)

MONDAY 4th of July: Filtered sunshine through high clouds at times. A low in the 50s. A high in the mid 70s. (2)

Average lows in the mid to upper 50s. Normal high 75 to near 80

(Confidence factor: 5 = Good predictability 1 = shaky modeling lowered confidence) RH/6-29

[end]

· More Thunderstorms but more scattered in nature today as an mid and upper level low pressure system with colder air aloft makes things unstable with any sunshine contributing to surface heating.

· The more clouds we have the less the chance for thunderstorm activity. Modeling indicates most sunshine in the valleys especially Connecticut River valley and also Champlain Valley but best conditions to support strongest storms will be toward the northern and eastern part of the state.

· Excellent conditions develop rapidly this early evening with clearing and an excellent day Thursday with dry weather and tons of sunshine.

· Friday has a few issues late in the day where increasing clouds, showers, and few New York thunderstorms arrive from the west. But most of the day should be dry.

· Saturday morning showers abate with sunny intervals in the PM, Sunday might see a few northern mountain sprinkles but not enough to mess up Sunday.

· Monday 4th of July – looking good.

TODAY: Mixed clouds and sun. Scattered showersand afternoon thunderstorms…one or two with gusty winds and small hail. Still just a bit muggy, but cooler, with a high near 75. West breeze 10 mph. (5)

TONIGHT: Any evening showers quickly diminish early, then clearing skies. Cooler. Considerable valley fog. A low 50 to 55. Light southwest winds. (5)

THURSDAY: Lots of sunshine and beauty after morning fog. A high 75 to 80. Light west breeze. (5)

Looking further ahead…

THURSDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Patchy valley fog. A low near 55. (4)

FRIDAY: Partly sunny to mostly sunny skies give way to increasing afternoon clouds. A slight chance for a late day shower or thundershower. A high in the low 80s. (3)

SATURDAY: Chance for a morning shower, then mixed sun and clouds. A low in the upper 50s. A high around 70. (2)

SUNDAY: Sunshine gives way to a few cloudy periods. Maybe a sprinkle. A low 50 to 55. A high in the low to mid 70s. (2)

MONDAY 4th of July: Filtered sunshine through high clouds at times. A low in the 50s. A high in the mid 70s. (2)

Average lows in the mid to upper 50s. Normal high 75 to near 80

(Confidence factor: 5 = Good predictability 1 = shaky modeling lowered confidence) RH/6-29

[end]

TONIGHT: Clouding up with showers and thunderstorms…some could be strong with heavy downpours and gusty winds. Otherwise mostly cloudy with patchy valley fog. A low in the mid 60s. Light winds. (5)

TOMORROW: Morning clouds giving way to partial afternoon sunshine. Scattered showersand afternoon thunderstorms. Still a bit muggy. A high in the mid 70s. Light west winds. (5)

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: A few evening showers northern areas exiting, then clearing skies. Cooler less humid with widespread valley fog. A low 50 to 55. Light southwest winds. (5)

THURSDAY: Sunshine giving way to a few afternoon clouds. A high 75 to 80. Light west breeze. (4)

Looking further ahead…

THURSDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Patchy valley fog. A low near 55. (3)

FRIDAY: Pick of the week. Mostly sunny giving way to increasing late day clouds and evening showers. A high in the lower 80s. (2)

SATURDAY: Lots of clouds with a chance for showers giving way to intervals of late afternoon sunshine. A low around 60. A high in the low 70s. (2)

SUNDAY: Partly to mostly sunny. A low 50 to 55. A high in the low to mid 70s. (2)

MONDAY 4th of July: Partly sunny. Lows in the 50s. Highs around 75. (2)

Average lows in the mid to upper 50s. Normal high 75 to near 80

(Confidence factor: 5 = Good predictability 1 = shaky modeling lowered confidence) RH/6-28

[end]