Great weather for the first ¾ of Friday but…thunderstorms will bang through in quick fashion so if you are on the lake today, on mountain tops you really need to head for shore, down the mountain as thunderstorms will be moving in quickly I’d plan to be out of there no later than 2 or 3 PM.

Storms will develop across New York state and rapidly tap into increasingly humid conditions and produce scattered strong thunderstorms with lots of lighting, small hail, briefly heavy rainfall (possible flooding in those area that experienced heavy rainfall Tuesday and Wednesday.

The main action peak late today into the evening and then exit with scattered leftover rain showers into the night and during the day Saturday.

Cooler Canadian air blowing in on gusty northwesterly winds will also keep temperatures suppressed in the upper 60s to lower 70s – so coolish Saturday with a few mountain sprinkle likely.

Rest of 4th of July Weekend – Looking really good. Other than a few sprinkle northern border areas Sunday afternoon, predominant sunshine and a warming trend through the rest of the weekend into the middle part of next week – and this comes with low to moderate humidity levels. – Enjoy

Gardeners and Farmers will need to irrigate or water after the main event tonight…

TODAY: Sunshine through early afternoon then increasing clouds. A rising likelihood for showers and thunderstorms…some strong with gusty winds, small hail and briefly heavy rainfall. Noticeably more muggy. A high 80 to 85. South winds 10 mph. (5)

TONIGHT: Mainly cloudy. Showers and scattered thunderstorms, some with locally heavy rainfall in the evening, then turning partly to mostly cloudy with a few leftover showers overnight. A low in the upper 50s to around 60. Southwest breeze 10 mph. (5)

SATURDAY: Scattered mountain showers or sprinkles…gradually giving way to intervals of afternoon sun. Blustery and cool for this time of year. A high in the upper 60s to near 70. West northwest breeze 10 to 25 mph. (5)

Looking further ahead…

SATURDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear & cool. Patches of valley fog. A low around 50. (4)

SUNDAY: Sunshine mixing with a few clouds.. A high in the low to mid 70s. (2)

MONDAY 4th of July: Filtered sunshine through high clouds at times. A low near 55. A high around 80. (2)

TUESDAY: Partly to mostly sunny. A low in the mid 50s. A high 80 to 85. (2)

WEDNESDAY: Filtered sunshine through high clouds. A low in the upper 50s. A high in the in the upper 80s to possibly low 90s. (2)

Average lows in the mid to upper 50s. Normal high 75 to near 80

(Confidence factor: 5 = Good predictability 1 = shaky modeling lowered confidence) RH/7-1

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