· More Thunderstorms but more scattered in nature today as an mid and upper level low pressure system with colder air aloft makes things unstable with any sunshine contributing to surface heating.

· The more clouds we have the less the chance for thunderstorm activity. Modeling indicates most sunshine in the valleys especially Connecticut River valley and also Champlain Valley but best conditions to support strongest storms will be toward the northern and eastern part of the state.

· Excellent conditions develop rapidly this early evening with clearing and an excellent day Thursday with dry weather and tons of sunshine.

· Friday has a few issues late in the day where increasing clouds, showers, and few New York thunderstorms arrive from the west. But most of the day should be dry.

· Saturday morning showers abate with sunny intervals in the PM, Sunday might see a few northern mountain sprinkles but not enough to mess up Sunday.

· Monday 4th of July – looking good.

TODAY: Mixed clouds and sun. Scattered showersand afternoon thunderstorms…one or two with gusty winds and small hail. Still just a bit muggy, but cooler, with a high near 75. West breeze 10 mph. (5)

TONIGHT: Any evening showers quickly diminish early, then clearing skies. Cooler. Considerable valley fog. A low 50 to 55. Light southwest winds. (5)

THURSDAY: Lots of sunshine and beauty after morning fog. A high 75 to 80. Light west breeze. (5)

Looking further ahead…

THURSDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Patchy valley fog. A low near 55. (4)

FRIDAY: Partly sunny to mostly sunny skies give way to increasing afternoon clouds. A slight chance for a late day shower or thundershower. A high in the low 80s. (3)

SATURDAY: Chance for a morning shower, then mixed sun and clouds. A low in the upper 50s. A high around 70. (2)

SUNDAY: Sunshine gives way to a few cloudy periods. Maybe a sprinkle. A low 50 to 55. A high in the low to mid 70s. (2)

MONDAY 4th of July: Filtered sunshine through high clouds at times. A low in the 50s. A high in the mid 70s. (2)

Average lows in the mid to upper 50s. Normal high 75 to near 80

(Confidence factor: 5 = Good predictability 1 = shaky modeling lowered confidence) RH/6-29

[end]