· Fragile forecast this morning with not all modeling on board for a perfectly dry Friday – However conditions appear to hold out per some of the more trusted modeling for today with a weak bubble of fair weather high pressure.

· Toward midnight tonight — the Rains and embedded storms “cometh” and lightning and thunder to be mixed in overnight with some heavier showers also to drench the region.

· This is in part due to a pretty anomalously strong low pressure system for this period of “High Summer” with climatological departure happening once every 30 years in terms of how deep the low pressure system will be.

· Thus the results with lots lifting mechanisms to support plenty of rain/frequent showers with the occasional clap of thunder through the entire weekend – makes this not quite a complete washout.

· Additionally, Lower freezing levels, and what meteorologist call lower “wet bulb zero” may also indicate some of these storms may include hail as this fairly impressive storm system.

· Total rainfall from Midnight tonight through Midnight Sunday night about ¾” eastern Vermont to 2.2” Green Mountains and western side of the state.

TODAY: Morning cloudiness will give way to periods of afternoon sunshine. A high in the low 80s. Light north breeze. (4)

TONIGHT: Increasingly cloudy but fair most of the evening. Showers and a chance for thunderstorms developing overnight some possibly heavy. A low around 60. Light east winds. (4)

SATURDAY: Cloudy, unsettled and cool. Showers or periods of rain likely, heavy at times with a risk for thunder mainly in the morning. Showers scattered in the afternoon. A high only around 65. Southeast breeze 10 to 20 mph. (4)

Looking further ahead…

SATURDAY NIGHT: Considerable cloudiness. Showers…some possibly heavy with a risk of thunder. A low 55 to 60. (3)

SUNDAY: Considerable cloudiness. A good chance for showers with a risk for thunder…some heavy at times. A high 65 to 70. (2)

MONDAY: Morning clouds exit to increasing sunshine and breezy at times. A low near 55. A high in the mid 70s. (2)

TUESDAY: Mostly sunny. A low near 55. A high in the low 80s. (2)

WEDNESDAY: Lots of sunshine. A low in the upper 50s. A high in the mid 80s. (2)

THURSDAY: Sunshine giving way to increasing afternoon clouds and a chance for showers and thunderstorms. A low in the mid 60s. A high 85 to 90. (2)

Average lows 55 to near 60. Normal high mid 70s to near 80

(Confidence factor: 5 = Good predictability 1 = shaky modeling lowered confidence) RH/7-8

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