updated Morning forecast & Weather Summary — May 17th, 2016

TODAY: Partly to mostly sunny. A high around 60. West to northwest breeze 10 to 20 mph this afternoon. (5)

TONIGHT: Mostly clear, partially moonlit with a touch of frost. A low 32 to 35. Light northwest winds. (5)

WEDNESDAY: Mixed sun and clouds. A high in the mid 50s. Light northwest winds. (5)

Looking further ahead…

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Scattered clouds and partially moonlit skies. A low upper 30s to about 40. (3)

THURSDAY: Partial morning sun, then mostly cloudy in the afternoon. Widely scattered hit and miss light showers. Cool…a high around 55. (2)

FRIDAY: Pick of the week. Mostly sunny and pleasantly warm in the afternoon. A low in the upper 30s. A high in the low 70s. (2)

Full Flower Moon Saturday 5:15 PM

SATURDAY: Sunshine giving way to high cloudiness. A low 40 to 45. A high around 70. (2)

SUNDAY: Partly sunny. A low in the mid 40s. A high in the low 70s. (2)

MONDAY: Partly to mostly sunny. A low 45 to 50. A high near 75. (2)

Average lows in the mid 40s. Normal highs in the mid to upper 60s.

(Confidence factor: 5 = Good predictability 1 = shaky modeling lowered confidence)

RH/5-17

Updated Evening Forecast — May 16th, 2016

Frost Advisory Overnight

TONIGHT: Partly cloudy early, then clearing and well below normal in temperature with areas of frost. A low 32 to 35. Light west winds. (5)

TOMORROW: Partly to mostly sunny. A high near 60. West to northwest breeze 10 to 20 mph in the afternoon. (5)

TUESDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear, partially moonlit with areas of frost. A low 30 to 35. Light northwest winds. (5)

WEDNESDAY: Mixed sun and clouds. A high in the mid to upper 50s. Light northwest winds. (4)

Looking further ahead…

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Scattered clouds and partially moonlit skies and not as cold. A low upper 30s to about 40. (3)

THURSDAY: Morning sun then mixed clouds and sunshine. Widely scattered showers. A high around 55. (2)

FRIDAY: Pick of the week. Sunny and gorgeous. A low in the mid 30s. A high 70 to 75. (2)

Full Flower Moon Saturday 5:15 PM

SATURDAY: Sunshine giving way to high cloudiness late. A low near 40. A high 70 to 75. (2)

Average lows in the mid 40s. Normal highs in the mid 60s.

(Confidence factor: 5 = Good predictability 1 = shaky modeling lowered confidence)

RH/5-16

Updated Morning forecast & Weather Summary — May 16th, 2016

· Rapid improvement anticipated as snow retreats back up the central and northern Green Mountains/Northeast Kingdom highland slopes.

· Travel over elevations above about 1500 ft northern areas today to be slippery/slushy with minor snow accumulations before about 11 AM.

· Temperatures warm up some but with threats for frost possible over the next few morning as a colder but drier flow ensues for more sunshine. Clouds flare up during the afternoon this week with primarily mostly clear and chilly/frosty nights.

· Best weather coming toward the end of the week with 70s for Friday. Weekend may turn out to be spectacular and spring-like.

TODAY: Scattered wet snow showers mixed with rain on valley floors this morning Barre-Montpelier Area north…changing to scattered mountain sprinkles northern higher terrain late morning on. Intervals of sun and breezy to windy this afternoon. Little to no additional snow accumulation as temperatures rise into the 40s. Northwesterly winds 10 to 25 mph with higher gusts across the hills. (5)

TONIGHT: Partly cloudy. Scattered frost. A low 32 to 35. Light northwest winds. (4)

TUESDAY: Some morning sunshine then mixed sun and clouds. Maybe an isolated mountain sprinkle. A high 55 to 60. West to northwest breeze 10 to 20 mph. (4)

Looking further ahead…

TUESDAY NIGHT: Becoming mostly clear. Areas of frost. A low 30 to 35. (3)

WEDNESDAY: Mixed sun and clouds. A high 55 to 60. (2)

THURSDAY: Morning sun then mixed clouds and sunshine. Widely scattered showers. A low 30 to 35. A high in the 60s. (2)

FRIDAY: Mostly sunny. A low in the mid 30s. A high in the lower 70s. (2)

Average lows in the mid 40s. Normal highs in the mid 60s.

(Confidence factor: 5 = Good predictability 1 = shaky modeling lowered confidence)

RH/5-16

Updated Evening Forecast — May 13th, 2016

TONIGHT: Early evening showers exit to clearing skies. Patchy valley fog. A low 45 to 50. West winds 10 mph. (5)

TOMORROW: Partly sunny in the morning, then clouding up. Showers likely late in the day. A high 65 to 70. Light southwest winds. (5)

SATURDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. Scattered showers…with a slight risk for thunder in the evening. A low in the mid to upper 40s. Southwest winds 10 mph. (4)

SUNDAY: Mainly cloudy, colder and blustery with scattered showers…possibly mixed wet snow flakes mountain summits. Colder with a high upper 40s. Gusty west to northwest winds 10 to 25 mph. (4)

Looking further ahead…

SUNDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy with occasional wet snow showers. Minor accumulation of a dusting to an inch higher terrain and grassy surfaces. A low 32 to 35. (3)

MONDAY: Scattered wet snow showers mixed with rain on valley floors. Minor accumulation possible higher terrain in the morning. Intervals of sun and breezy to windy in the afternoon. A high around 45. (3)

TUESDAY: Partly sunny. A low in the mid 30s. A high in the mid to upper 50s. (2)

WEDNESDAY: Mixed sun and clouds. A low around 35. A high 55 to 60. (2)

THURSDAY: Mostly sunny. A low in the 30s. Highs 55 to 60. (2)

Average lows 40 to 45. Normal highs around 65

(Confidence factor: 5 = Good predictability 1 = shaky modeling lowered confidence)

RH/5-13

Updated Morning Forecast & Weather Summary — May 13th, 2016

· Enjoy your dry morning…as clouds thicken and increase this will lead to showers arriving from the west this afternoon and into the early evening hours with a risk for some minor thunder.

· The rain band may move through with briefly intense rainfall. Skies clear out this evening and conditions set up for Patchy valley fog.

· Saturday – you may be able to take advantage of a mostly dry day but with lots of clouds. Showers move in but fairly late Saturday afternoon…these last into the night and in fact will be with us for next two days to follow so not nearly so nice!

· Freezing levels—snow line comes down the mountains as much colder air circulates in on gust west to northwesterly winds and a little wet snow may actually accumulate at summit levels starting Sunday into Monday – yes not unheard of but amazing. This shot of cold coming looks to be one or the more potent ones.

· Later Next week – models are unhinged a bit so confidence goes down after Tuesday.

TODAY: Partial morning sun, then clouding up with showers likely and possibly a late day thunderstorm. More humid this afternoon with a high in the upper 60s to mid 70s. South breeze 10 to 20 mph. (5)

TONIGHT: Evening showers and any thunderstorms exiting, then mostly clear. Patchy valley fog. A low 45 to 50. West winds 10 mph. (5)

SATURDAY: Partly sunny through early afternoon, then clouding up. Showers likely late. A high 65 to 70. Light southwest winds. (4)

Looking further ahead…

SATURDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. Showers likely…moderate at times with a risk for thunder. A low in the mid to upper 40s. (4)

SUNDAY: Showers likely…moderate at times early. Otherwise mostly cloudy and blustery with scattered showers…possibly mixed wet snow flakes mountain summits. Colder with a high upper 40s to around 50. Gusty northwest winds. (3)

MONDAY: Scattered rain showers, mixed wet snow flakes higher terrain in the morning. Intervals of sun and breezy to windy. A low 32 to 35. A high around 45. (2)

TUESDAY: Partly sunny. Slight chance for mountain sprinkle. A low in the mid 30s. A high near 60. (1)

WEDNESDAY: Partly cloudy. Chance for a shower. A low around 35. A high 55 to 60. (1)

Average lows 40 to 45. Normal highs around 65

(Confidence factor: 5 = Good predictability 1 = shaky modeling lowered confidence)

RH/5-13

Updated Evening forecast — May 12th, 2016

TONIGHT: Fair with a few high clouds. A low mid 40s to lower 50s. Light south wind. (5)

TOMORROW: Partial morning sun, then clouding up with a rising chance for showers and possibly a late day thunderstorm. Noticeably more humid with a high in the low to mid 70s. South winds 10 to 15 mph in the afternoon. (5)

FRIDAY NIGHT: Evening showers and isolated thunderstorms exiting to mostly clear skies. Patchy valley fog. A low 45 to 50. West winds 10 mph. (4)

SATURDAY: Sunny through early afternoon then clouding up. A rising chance for rain showers developing late. A high mid to upper 60s. Light southwest winds. (4)

Looking further ahead…

SATURDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. Showers likely moderate at times. A low 40 to 45. (3)

SUNDAY: Showers…moderate at times early…with a risk for rumble of thunder. Otherwise becoming blustery with leftover light rain showers and breaks of sun. A high in the low 50s. Gusty northwest winds. (3)

MONDAY: Mostly cloudy and raw. Scattered mountain rain showers, possibly mixed wet snow flakes higher terrain. Breezy to windy. A low near 35. A high 40 to 45. (2)

TUESDAY: Partly to mostly cloudy in the morning with more sun in the afternoon. Temperatures well below normal. A low in the mid 30s. A high 50 to 55. (2)

WEDNESDAY: Mostly sunny. A low around 35. A high 55 to 60.

Average lows 40 to 45. Normal highs around 65

(Confidence factor: 5 = Good predictability 1 = shaky modeling lowered confidence)

RH/5-12

Updated Morning forecast & weather Summary — May 12th, 2016

· Pick of the week today. Some minor smoke from Canadian wild fires has made it into the region promoting more a of a hazy looking baby blue sky but temperatures today will be at their warmest since the 22nd of April.

· A cold front with showers (some moderate to heavy briefly for a time) and perhaps a few benign thunderstorms mixed in moving through during the late part of the day into the early to mid evening.

· Unsettled weekend but with Saturday the far better day with mostly dry conditions setting up until later in the afternoon with a second cold front.

· An area of low pressure will develop with frontal passage and slow things down with some pretty hefty rainfall Sunday early to mid morning before blustery and chilly weather blows in.

· Wind gusts could reach to near 40 mph across high terrain on Sunday and again Monday moving some pretty chilly air into the region for early next week.

TODAY: Sunny and warm. A high in the mid to upper 70s. Light south winds. (5)

TONIGHT: Fair with a few high clouds. A low 45 to 50. Light south wind. (5)

FRIDAY: Partial morning sun, then clouding up with a rising chance for showers and possibly a late day thunderstorm. Warmer and a tad humid. A high in the low 70s. South winds 10 to 15 mph in the afternoon. (4)

Looking further ahead…

FRIDAY NIGHT: Early evening showers and isolated thunderstorms exiting to partial clearing. Patchy valley fog. A low 45 to 50. (4)

SATURDAY: Sunny through early afternoon then clouding up. A rising chance for rain showers developing late. A high in the mid 60s. (3)

SUNDAY: Showers…moderate at times early…with a risk for rumble of thunder. Otherwise becoming blustery with leftover light rain showers and breaks of sun. A low 40 to 45. A high in the low 50s. Gusty northwest winds. (3)

MONDAY: Mostly cloudy and raw. Scattered mountain rain showers, possibly mixed wet snow flakes higher terrain. Breezy to windy. A low near 35. A high in the mid 40s. (2)

TUESDAY: Partly to mostly cloudy in the morning with more sun in the afternoon. Temperatures well below normal. A low in the mid 30s. A high 50 to 55. (2)

WEDNESDAY: Mostly sunny. A low around 35. A high 55 to 60.

Average lows 40 to 45. Normal highs around 65

(Confidence factor: 5 = Good predictability 1 = shaky modeling lowered confidence)

RH/5-10

Updated Evening Forecast — May 11th, 2016

TONIGHT: Clear and chilly. A low 35 to 40. Little wind. (5)

TOMORROW: Pick of the week. Sunny and warm. A high in the mid to upper 70s. Light south winds. (5)

THURSDAY NIGHT: Fair with a few high clouds. A low 45 to 50. Light south wind. (5)

FRIDAY: Partial morning sun, then clouding up with a rising chance for showers and possibly a late day thunderstorm. Warmer and a tad humid. A high around 70. South winds 10 to 15 mph in the afternoon. (4)

Looking further ahead…

FRIDAY NIGHT: Early evening showers and isolated thunderstorms exiting to partial clearing. Patchy valley fog. A low 45 to 50. (4)

SATURDAY: Sunny through early afternoon. Increasing clouds with a chance for showers developing late. A high 60 to 65. (3)

SUNDAY: Showers…moderate at times early, otherwise becoming blustery. A low 40 to 45. A high 60 to 65. Gusty northwest winds. (3)

MONDAY: Mostly cloudy and colder. Chance for rain showers, possibly mixed wet snow flakes across the higher terrain. A low near 35. A high in the 40s. (2)

TUESDAY: Lots of clouds with a few intervals of sun in the afternoon. Temperatures well below normal. A low in the 30s. A high in the mid to upper 40s. (2)

Average lows 40 to 45. Normal highs around 65

(Confidence factor: 5 = Good predictability 1 = shaky modeling lowered confidence)

RH/5-10

Updated Morning Forecast — May 11th, 2016

· Beautiful weather today and tomorrow and first part of Friday.

· Unfortunately – conditions to incrementally to get wetter and along cooler temperatures with the worst day this weekend being Sunday with showery weather most frequent.

· Cool next week and unsettled at the start but improvement likely mid to late week as we are in a 7 day cycle with reinforcing shots of colder Canadian air followed by moderation – Rinse and repeat but overall seasonal progress is very slow.

TODAY: Sunshine and blue skies. Near seasonal with a high near 65. Light northwest winds. (5)

TONIGHT: Clear and chilly. A low 35 to 40. Little wind. (5)

THURSDAY: Pick of the week. Sunny and warm. A high around 75. Light south winds. (4)

Looking further ahead…

THURSDAY NIGHT: Fair with a few high clouds. A low around 45. (4)

FRIDAY: Partial morning sun, then clouding up with a rising chance for showers and possibly a late day thunderstorm. Warmer and a tad humid. A high upper 60s to near 70. (3)

SATURDAY: Morning clouds then partial afternoon sun. a rising chance for late day showers. A low 45 to 50. A high 60 to 65. (3)

SUNDAY: Mainly cloudy. Occasional rain showers, damp and chilly. A low 40 to 45. A high around 50. (3)

MONDAY: Mostly cloudy continued chilly. Chance for rain showers. A low near 35. A high in the mid to upper 40s. (2)

TUESDAY: Morning sun then more clouds in afternoon. A low in the upper 30s. A high in the mid 50s. (2)

Average lows 40 to 45. Normal highs around 65

(Confidence factor: 5 = Good predictability 1 = shaky modeling lowered confidence)

RH/5-10

Updated Evening Forecast — May 10th, 2016

Frost Advisory Overnight…

TONIGHT: Mostly clear. A low in the low to mid 30s. Light north winds. (5)

TOMORROW: Tons of sunshine. Near seasonal with a high near 65. Light northwest winds. (5)

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. A low around 40. Little wind. (5)

THURSDAY: Pick of the week. Sunny and warm. A high near 75. Light south winds. (4)

Looking further ahead…

THURSDAY NIGHT: Fair with a few high clouds. A low 45 to 50.

FRIDAY: Partial morning sun, then clouding up with a rising chance for showers and possibly a late day thunderstorm. Warmer and a tad humid. A high 65 to near 70. (4)

SATURDAY: Morning clouds then partial afternoon sun. A low 45 to 50. A high 60 to 65. (3)

SUNDAY: Partly to mostly cloudy. Scattered rain showers and cool. A low around 40. A high in the low 50s. (2)

MONDAY: Mostly cloudy and chilly. Chance for rain showers. A low 35 to 40. A high in the low 50s. (2)

Average lows 40 to 45. Normal highs in the low to mid 60s.

(Confidence factor: 5 = Good predictability 1 = shaky modeling lowered confidence)

RH/5-10