Updated Morning Forecast & Weather Summary — May 13th, 2016

· Enjoy your dry morning…as clouds thicken and increase this will lead to showers arriving from the west this afternoon and into the early evening hours with a risk for some minor thunder.

· The rain band may move through with briefly intense rainfall. Skies clear out this evening and conditions set up for Patchy valley fog.

· Saturday – you may be able to take advantage of a mostly dry day but with lots of clouds. Showers move in but fairly late Saturday afternoon…these last into the night and in fact will be with us for next two days to follow so not nearly so nice!

· Freezing levels—snow line comes down the mountains as much colder air circulates in on gust west to northwesterly winds and a little wet snow may actually accumulate at summit levels starting Sunday into Monday – yes not unheard of but amazing. This shot of cold coming looks to be one or the more potent ones.

· Later Next week – models are unhinged a bit so confidence goes down after Tuesday.

TODAY: Partial morning sun, then clouding up with showers likely and possibly a late day thunderstorm. More humid this afternoon with a high in the upper 60s to mid 70s. South breeze 10 to 20 mph. (5)

TONIGHT: Evening showers and any thunderstorms exiting, then mostly clear. Patchy valley fog. A low 45 to 50. West winds 10 mph. (5)

SATURDAY: Partly sunny through early afternoon, then clouding up. Showers likely late. A high 65 to 70. Light southwest winds. (4)

Looking further ahead…

SATURDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. Showers likely…moderate at times with a risk for thunder. A low in the mid to upper 40s. (4)

SUNDAY: Showers likely…moderate at times early. Otherwise mostly cloudy and blustery with scattered showers…possibly mixed wet snow flakes mountain summits. Colder with a high upper 40s to around 50. Gusty northwest winds. (3)

MONDAY: Scattered rain showers, mixed wet snow flakes higher terrain in the morning. Intervals of sun and breezy to windy. A low 32 to 35. A high around 45. (2)

TUESDAY: Partly sunny. Slight chance for mountain sprinkle. A low in the mid 30s. A high near 60. (1)

WEDNESDAY: Partly cloudy. Chance for a shower. A low around 35. A high 55 to 60. (1)

Average lows 40 to 45. Normal highs around 65

(Confidence factor: 5 = Good predictability 1 = shaky modeling lowered confidence)

RH/5-13

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