Updated Memorial Day Evening Forecast — May 30h, 2016

TONIGHT: Any isolated showers or storms exiting. Otherwise becoming mostly clear. A low in the mid 50s. Light southwest winds. (5)

TOMORROW: Areas of fog early, then morning sunshine giving way to a few more afternoon clouds. Cooler refreshingly less humid. A high around 80. Northwest breeze 10 to 15 mph. (5)

TUESDAY NIGHT: Scattered cloudiness. Patchy valley fog. A low around 50. Light northwest winds. (5)

WEDNESDAY: Pick of the week. Blue skies, bright sunshine and pleasant. A high in the mid to upper 70s. Light north winds. (5)

Looking further ahead…

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. A low in the mid 50s. (4)

THURSDAY: Partly sunny in the morning then thickening clouds. A high in the mid 70s. (3)

FRIDAY: Considerable cloudiness. the chance for showers. A low in the 50s. A high in the low 70s. (3)

SATURDAY: Chance for a morning shower, then partly to mostly sunny. A low in the 50s. A high in the 70s. (2)

Average lows in the upper 40s. Normal highs around 70.

(Confidence factor: 5 = Good predictability 1 = shaky modeling lowered confidence) RH/5-30

[end]

Updated Memorial Day Forecast & Weather Summary — May 30th, 2016

· Still a risk of few strong thunderstorms to track through more hit and miss than what occurred on Sunday afternoon across western Vermont but this time statewide.

· Cooler – Drier – “Bettah” if you were caught up in the heat stroke like weather of Sunday and Saturday. Conditions will be much more advantageous to outdoor activities once rain showers depart this morning and the sun comes out – but you feel the difference Monday night and beyond.

· Next rain-maker not until Thursday night Friday morning with gorgeous fair weather high pressure the controlling influences the rest of the time in-between. Enjoy.

TODAY: Scattered morning rain showers dry up with partly to mostly sunny skies this afternoon. Warm and humid. A risk of widely scattered showers and thunderstorms this afternoon. Some with locally gusty winds and heavy downpours.A high in the low 80s. Southwest breeze 10 to 15 mph. (5)

TONIGHT: Mostly clear. Patchy valley fog. A low in the mid 50s. Light southwest winds. (5)

TUESDAY: Areas of fog early, then morning sunshine giving way to a few more afternoon clouds. Cooler and not too humid. A high in the mid to upper 70s. Northwest breeze 10 to 15 mph. (5)

Looking further ahead…

TUESDAY NIGHT: Scattered cloudiness. Patchy valley fog. A low around 50.

WEDNESDAY: Blue skies, bright sunshine and pleasant. A high in the mid to upper 70s. (2)

THURSDAY: Partly to mostly sunny. A low 50 to 55. A high around 75.

FRIDAY: Morning clouds with a chance for showers and thunderstorms. A low 55 to 60. A high in the low to mid 70s.

Average lows in the upper 40s. Normal highs around 70.

(Confidence factor: 5 = Good predictability 1 = shaky modeling lowered confidence) RH/5-30

[end]

Updated Evening forecast — May 27th, 2016

TONIGHT: Slight chance for an early evening shower. Otherwise partly cloudy and muggy. A low 60 to 65. Light southwest winds. (5)

TOMORROW: Mixed sun and clouds. Warm and sticky with a high 85 to 90. Light northwest winds. (5)

SATURDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy to mostly clear, but continued muggy. Patchy valley fog. A low 60 to 65. Light winds. (5)

SUNDAY: Partly sunny.Scattered afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms especially near the Green Mountains. A high in the mid to upper 80s. Light south winds. (4)

Looking further ahead…

SUNDAY NIGHT: Scattered showers and few thunderstorms possible. A low around 60.

MONDAY MEMORIAL DAY: Mostly cloudy. Afternoon showers and thunderstorms. Continued muggy but cooler with a high in the low to mid 70s. (3)

TUESDAY: Partly to mostly sunny. Cooler and less humid. A low in the mid 50s. A high in the mid to upper 70s. (2)

WEDNESDAY: Blue skies, bright sunshine and pleasant. A low around 50. A high 75 to 80. (2)

THURSDAY: Partly sunny. A low near 55. A high in the upper 70s to around 80.

Average lows in the upper 40s to near 50. Normal highs in the upper 60s to near 70.

(Confidence factor: 5 = Good predictability 1 = shaky modeling lowered confidence) RH/5-25

[end]

Updated Morning forecast & Weather Summary — May 27th, 2016

· Thunderstorm threat today but in low areal coverage and isolated fashion this afternoon diminishing before evening with a THUNDER-DOG INDEX of “4”.

· The main headline is the warmth and humidity that will go along with the possibility of thunderstorms through the entire weekend.

· Temperatures may be in the 85 to 90 degree range making for heat indices right up there.

· Reminding folks to practice lightning safety and to be aware of possible heat related illnesses through this weekend because we have not fully acclimated to warmth more associated with high summer.

TODAY: Chance for brief morning shower. Warm and muggy this afternoon with an isolated shower or thunderstorm. A high near 85. Southwest winds 10 mph. (5)

TONIGHT: Partly cloudy and sultry. A low 60 to 65. Light southwest winds. (5)

SATURDAY: Partly sunny. Isolated afternoon showers and thunderstorms. Warm and sticky with a high 85 to 90. Light west winds. (5)

Looking further ahead…

SATURDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy and muggy. A low 60 to 65. (4)

SUNDAY: Partly sunny.Scattered afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms especially near the Green Mountains. A high near 85. (3)

MONDAY MEMORIAL DAY: Partly to mostly cloudy. Afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms.. A low around 60. Continued very muggy, but not as warm A high in the mid to upper 70s. Southwest winds 10 mph. (3)

TUESDAY: Partly sunny. Cooler and less humid. A low in the mid 50s. A high in the mid to upper 70s. Northwest winds 10 mph. (2)

WEDNESDAY: Blue skies, bright sunshine and pleasant. A low around 50. A high 75 to 80. (2)

Average lows in the upper 40s to near 50. Normal highs in the upper 60s to near 70.

(Confidence factor: 5 = Good predictability 1 = shaky modeling lowered confidence) RH/5-25

[end]

Updated Evening Forecast — May 26th, 2016

TONIGHT: Fair for a time this evening then clouding up. A rising chance for few showers, maybe a thunderstorm overnight. A low in the upper 50s to near 60. Light winds. (5)

TOMORROW: Chance for brief morning shower. Warm and muggy in the afternoon with an isolated shower or thunderstorm. A high near 85. Southwest winds 10 mph. (5)

FRIDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy and sultry. A low 60 to 65. Light southwest winds. (5)

SATURDAY: Partly sunny. Isolated late day showers and thunderstorms. Warm and sticky with a high 85 to 90. Light west winds. (4)

Looking further ahead…

SATURDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy and muggy. A low 60 to 65. (4)

SUNDAY: Partly sunny.Scattered afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms. A high 80 to 85. (3)

MONDAY MEMORIAL DAY: Mixed clouds and sun. Widely scattered afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms. Continued very sticky. A low around 60. A high 75 to 80. Southwest winds 10 mph. (3)

TUESDAY: Partly sunny. Cooler and less humid. A low in the mid 50s. A high 70 to 75. Northwest winds 10 mph. (2)

WEDNESDAY: Blue skies, bright sunshine and pleasant. A low in the upper 40s. A high 75 to 80. (2)

Average lows in the upper 40s to near 50. Normal highs in the upper 60s to near 70.

(Confidence factor: 5 = Good predictability 1 = shaky modeling lowered confidence) RH/5-25

[end]

Updated Morning forecast & Weather Summary — May 26th, 2016

Pick of the Week today – warmth – but not too much, and without the deep humidity that will move in for tomorrow and the next few days over Memorial Day Weekend.

A warm frontal boundary will traverse in from the southwest overnight bringing deep tropical moisture northeastward overnight. This high octane air will be fuel for thunderstorms that grow out of the very warm and nearly hot air mass around locally. In fact some areas of Vermont especially in the southern valleys could hit 90 over the Memorial Day Weekend. Northern areas perhaps not quite as warm.

A capped atmosphere will be in play, complicating shower and thunderstorm areal coverage each afternoon and evening through this weekend. Also a backdoor cold front may introduce cooler air to the region via Maine and New Hampshire.

—-Please practice lighting safety, get out and recreate…but have a back door to slip into. When thunder roars – get indoors.

TODAY: A few high clouds. Lots of sunshine and pleasantly warm. A high 80 to 85. Light northwest winds. (5)

TONIGHT: Fair this evening giving way to cloudy periods overnight. A rising chance for few showers, maybe a thunderstorm toward daybreak. A low in the upper 50s to near 60. Light winds. (5)

FRIDAY: Chance for brief morning shower. Warm and muggy in the afternoon. A slight threat for an afternoon shower or thunderstorm. A high up near 85. Light southwest winds. (5)

Looking further ahead…

FRIDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy and sultry. A low in the lower 60s. (4)

SATURDAY: Mixed clouds and sun. Scattered afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms. Warm and sticky with a high in the mid 80s. (3)

SUNDAY: Partly sunny. Scattered showers and thunderstorms, mainly in the late afternoon and evening. A low 60 to 65. A high 80 to 85. (2)

MONDAY MEMORIAL DAY: Mixed clouds and sun with scattered afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms. Continued very sticky. A high 75 to around 80. Southwest winds 10 mph. (2)

TUESDAY: Partly sunny. Cooler and less humid. A high 70 to 75. Northwest winds 10 mph. (2)

WEDNESDAY: Blue skies, bright sunshine and pleasant. A low in the 50s. A high in the 70s.

Average lows in the upper 40s to near 50. Normal highs in the upper 60s to near 70.

(Confidence factor: 5 = Good predictability 1 = shaky modeling lowered confidence) RH/5-25

[end]

Updated Evening forecast — May 25th, 2016

TONIGHT: Isolated showers and thunderstorms, early to mid evening, then becoming mostly clear and partially moonlit. Patchy valley fog. A low 50 to 55. Light northwest winds. (5)

TOMORROW: Pick of the week. Lots of sunshine and pleasantly warm. A high in the low 80s. Light northwest winds. (5)

THURSDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear in the evening. Cloudy periods overnight leading to a chance for showers and thunderstorms toward daybreak. A low in the upper 50s to near 60. Light winds. (4)

FRIDAY: Noticeably more humid…with morning showers and chance for thunderstorms. Warm and muggy in the afternoon with a slight threat for leftover shower. A high 80 to 85. Light southwest winds. (4)

Looking further ahead…

FRIDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy and sultry. A low in the lower 60s. (3)

SATURDAY: Mixed clouds and sun after morning fog. Scattered afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms. Sticky with a high 80 to 85. (2)

SUNDAY: Morning showers and possibly thunderstorms, then becoming partly sunny with just a slight chance for a shower. A low near 60. A high in the low 70s. (2)

MONDAY MEMORIAL DAY: Mixed clouds and sun with scattered afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms. Continued very sticky. A high in the upper 70s to around 80. Southwest winds 10 mph.

TUESDAY: Mostly sunny after morning fog, refreshingly cooler and less humid. A high 75 to 80. Northwest winds 10 mph.

Average lows in the upper 40s to near 50. Normal highs in the upper 60s to near 70.

(Confidence factor: 5 = Good predictability 1 = shaky modeling lowered confidence) RH/5-25

[end]

Updated Morning forecast & Weather Summary — May 25th, 2016

· Should be a pretty nice day much of the day with dry conditions and a few afternoon build-ups with fairly comfortable humidity levels.

· A fast moving system could trigger an isolated showers/storm mainly northern areas. Some models have thunderstorms just near or just north of the Canadian border reaching our region around or after 5 PM and affecting some areas briefly this e3venming.

· Skies should go back to mostly clear setting patchy valley fog and cool conditions overnight, but…

· After the Pick of the week Thursday which looks dry and mostly sunny, humidity will be working in from the west along with moisture and instability with several rounds of volatile weather = THUNDERSTORMS Thursday night late into Sunday morning.

· Expects a fairly good load of boomers in the area this period. Timing details are still in flux for the start of Memorial Day Weekend.

TODAY: Morning fog burns off to partial sunshine. A high in the upper 70s to low 80s. Northwest breeze 10 mph. (5)

TONIGHT: Isolated showers and thunderstorms especially northern areas for a time this evening, then mostly clear and partially moonlit. Patchy valley fog. A low 50 to 55. Light northwest winds. (5)

THURSDAY: Pick of the week. Lots of sunshine and pleasantly warm. A high in the upper 70s to low 80s. Light northwest winds. (4)

Looking further ahead…

THURSDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear in the evening. Cloudy periods overnight leading to a chance for showers and thunderstorms toward daybreak. A low in the mid to upper 50s. (3)

FRIDAY: Clouds with a few intervals of sunshine. More humid. Scattered morning showers, a chance for an afternoon thunderstorm. A high in the low 80s. (3)

SATURDAY: Mixed clouds and sun after morning fog. Scattered afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms. Muggy. A low in the low 60s. A high 80 to 85. (2)

SUNDAY: Morning showers and possibly thunderstorms, then becoming partly sunny with just a slight chance for a shower. A low near 60. A high in the low 70s. (2)

Average lows in the upper 40s to near 50. Normal highs in the upper 60s to near 70.

(Confidence factor: 5 = Good predictability 1 = shaky modeling lowered confidence)

RH/5-25

[end]

Updated Evening forecast — May 24th, 2016

TONIGHT: Early evening showers and isolated thunderstorms gradually ending this evening. Otherwise, becoming mostly clear and partially moonlit. Patchy valley fog. A low 50 to 55. Light south winds. (5)

TOMORROW: Partly sunny. Isolated afternoon showers mainly northern areas. A high in the upper 70s to around 80. Northwest breeze 10 mph. (5)

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear and partially moonlit. Patchy valley fog. A low 50 to 55. Light northwest winds. (4)

THURSDAY: Pick of the week. Lots of sunshine and pleasantly warm. A high in the upper 70s to near 80. Light northwest winds. (3)

Looking further ahead…

THURSDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear in the evening. Cloudy periods overnight leading to a chance for showers and thunderstorms well after midnight. A low in the mid to upper 50s. (3)

FRIDAY: Considerable cloudiness. More humid. Scattered morning showers, a chance for an afternoon thunderstorm. A high near 80. (3)

SATURDAY: Mixed clouds and sun after morning fog. Scattered afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms. Muggy. A low in the low 60s. A high 80 to 85. (2)

SUNDAY: Morning showers and possibly thunderstorms, then becoming partly sunny with just a slight chance for a shower. A low near 60. A high in the low 70s. (2)

Average lows in the upper 40s to near 50. Normal highs in the upper 60s to near 70.

(Confidence factor: 5 = Good predictability 1 = shaky modeling lowered confidence)

RH/5-24

[end]

Updated Morning Forecast & Weather Summary — May 24th, 2016

· An upper level low pressure system southeast of Long Island in close enough proximity to affect most of eastern and southern Vermont today, passing out of the region tonight.

· A weak shower and thunderstorm threat starts across southern Vermont late this morning and overspreads much of eastern Vermont this afternoon and early evening before diminishing. Driest areas of Vermont to be the northern Champlain valley.

· Thunder Dog index about a “3-4” today worst Connecticut River Valley where some briefly localized storms may contain briefly heavy rainfall.

· Spring-like to summer-like temperatures into the weekend raising soil temperatures for excellent growth spurt.

· Deeply muggy weather hits Friday and lasts into part of this weekend with more boomers.

TODAY: Partial morning sun northern areas, otherwise mostly cloudy. A few hit and miss showers and thunderstorms…mainly southern areas this morning and eastern areas this afternoon. A high in the mid to upper 70s. Little wind. (5)

TONIGHT: Early evening showers and storms eastern Vermont ending. Otherwise, becoming mostly clear and partially moonlit with patchy valley fog. A low 50 to 55. Light south winds. (5)

WEDNESDAY: Variable clouds. Slight chance for a shower late. A high in the upper 70s to low 80s. West breeze 10 mph. (4)

Looking further ahead…

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear and partially moonlit. Patchy valley fog. A low 50 to 55. (3)

THURSDAY: Pick of the week. Mostly sunny and warm after morning fog. A high in the upper 70s to near 80. (2)

FRIDAY: Considerable cloudiness. More humid. Scattered morning showers, with a rising chance for afternoon thunder. A low in the mid 50s. A high mid 70s to near 80. (2)

SATURDAY: Mixed clouds and sun after morning fog. Scattered afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms. Muggy. A low in the low 60s. A high in the upper 70s to around 80.

Average lows in the upper 40s. Normal highs in the upper 60s to near 70.

(Confidence factor: 5 = Good predictability 1 = shaky modeling lowered confidence)

RH/5-24

[end]