· A little wild this PM where a few thunderstorms could be wind makers tapping into stronger wind shear aloft and bring those winds down to surface. The gust fronts as we call them could be just strong enough to take down a few tree limbs cause a few outages – not expecting widespread.

· Ridiculously cooler weather follows incrementally as a series of weak weather systems pinwheels around low pressure situated up toward the southern end of Hudson Bay/James Bay Canada.

· Coldest day Thursday – each day with a shower threat until Friday finally a dry day.

· Next dry day though lots of clouds – Friday, even a s cool as it is could be the pick.

TODAY: Morning showers exiting to a mix of clouds and intervals of sun. Another round of scattered showers and thunderstorms develops early to mid afternoon…some strong with gusty winds and hail. (Thunder Dog index “5” ) A high around 70. Southwest breeze 10 mph. (5)

TONIGHT: Scattered leftover showers toward the Champlain valley winding down overnight. Otherwise becoming partly cloudy. Patchy valley fog. A low around 50. Light northwest winds. (4)

WEDNESDAY: Clouds with a few intervals of sun, and much cooler. Scattered mainly afternoon showers with a risk of thunder toward Rutland. A high near 60. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph. (3)

Looking further ahead…

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy and chilly. Scattered showers especially northern areas. A low 40 to 45. (3)

THURSDAY: Cloudy and unsettled and exceptionally cool for this time of year. Scattered showers especially northern areas. A high in the lower 50s. (2)

FRIDAY: Partly to mostly cloudy. A low 40 to 45. A high in the mid 50s. (2)

SATURDAY: Partly sunny then clouding up late. Rising chance for showers. A morning low in the upper 30s to mid 40s. A high near 65. (1)

Average lows in the upper 40s to low 50s. Normal highs 70 to 75.

(Confidence factor: 5 = Good predictability 1 = shaky modeling lowered confidence) RH/6-6

[end]

TONIGHT: Scattered clouds this evening, then mostly cloudy after midnight with a chance for a shower. A low in the mid 50s. Light south winds. (5)

TOMORROW: Mixed clouds and sun with scattered showers and thunderstorms…some strong with gusty winds and hail. A high near 75. Southwest breeze 10 mph. (5)

TUESDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Any evening showers winding down. Patchy valley fog. A low 50 to 55. Light northwest winds. (4)

WEDNESDAY: Clouds with a few intervals of sun. Scattered showers. A slight chance for a thunderstorm. A high in the low 60s. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph. (3)

Looking further ahead…

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy and chilly with slight chance for a few sprinkles. A low 40 to 45. (3)

THURSDAY: Cloudy and unsettled and rather chilly for this time of year. A chance for mountain sprinkles. A low 40 to 45. A high in the low 50s.

(2)

FRIDAY: Partly to mostly cloudy. A low 40 to 45. A high in the mid 50s. (2)

SATURDAY: Partly sunny. A low in the 40s. A high in the low 60s (2)

Average lows in the upper 40s to low 50s. Normal highs 70 to 75.

(Confidence factor: 5 = Good predictability 1 = shaky modeling lowered confidence) RH/6-6

[end]

· Post Mortem on rainfall about ¾ of an inch at Newport to many localized amounts of over two inches, with most of the region having seen about 1 to 2”

· Unsettled most of the week, and progressively colder mid to end of week. In fact, ridiculously chilly air circulates around large upper level gyre between Montreal and James Bay Canada.

· Cooler air comes in incremental sweeps but warmest Monday and Tuesday near 75 degrees.

· Large scale weather pattern stalls with high latitude blocking and many small cut off lows across eastern Canada our main influence brushing warmth and humidity well to our south.

TODAY: Partly sunny. A few afternoon mountain sprinkles possible. A high around 75. Southwest breeze 10 to 15 mph. (5)

TONIGHT: Mostly clear this evening becoming partly cloudy overnight. A low in the mid 50s. Light south winds. (5)

TUESDAY: Mixed sun and clouds. Scattered showers with a chance for a few afternoon thunderstorms. A high near 75. Southwest breeze 10 mph. (4)

Looking further ahead…

TUESDAY NIGHT: Becoming mostly clear. A low 50 to 55. (3)

WEDNESDAY: Mixed clouds and intervals of sun with scattered showers.Blustery at times.A high in the low 60s.(2)

THURSDAY: Cloudy unsettled and very chilly for this time of year. A chance for lingering showers near the mountains. A low 40 to 45. A high in the low 50s.

(2)

FRIDAY: Partly to mostly cloudy. A low 40 to 45. A high in the mid 50s. (2)

Average lows in the upper 40s to low 50s. Normal highs 70 to 75.

(Confidence factor: 5 = Good predictability 1 = shaky modeling lowered confidence) RH/6-6

[end]

TONIGHT: A few clouds otherwise fair. Isolated valley fog. A low in the mid to upper 50s. Little wind. (5)

TOMORROW: Partly to mostly sunny. Pleasant. A high in the upper 70s to low 80s. Light northwest breeze. (5)

SATURDAY NIGHT: Fair with increasing high cloudiness. A low around 55. Light east winds. (5)

SUNDAY: Clouding up after brief morning sun. Periods of rain…moderate to heavy at times with a risk for isolated thunder. Chilly with a high in the low to mid 60s. Southeast breeze 10 to 20 mph.

Looking further ahead…

SUNDAY NIGHT: Cloudy with occasional rain showers. A low near 55. (3)

MONDAY: Mostly cloudy and cool. Scattered light showers or sprinkles. A high in the upper 60s to near 70. (2)

TUESDAY: Mainly cloudy. Chance for showers. Maybe a rumble of thunder. A low 50 to 55. A high mid 60s to near 70. (2)

WEDNESDAY & THURSDAY: Lots of clouds. Cool and unsettled with a chance for leftover rain showers. Lows 45 to 50. Highs in the mid 50s to around 60. (2)

Average lows in the upper 40s. Normal highs in the low 70s.

(Confidence factor: 5 = Good predictability 1 = shaky modeling lowered confidence) RH/6-3

[end]

· Pretty nice afternoon but some instability around that’ll need to be watched for any isolated showers…worst case scenario – thunderstorm.

· Dry night tonight into Saturday night making a 50/50/ weekend. As mentioned in many videos looking ahead for Sunday into next week – shower threat likely each day – Sunday after the morning hours looking more and more a washout – plan accordingly.

· Model confidence is not as high as usual with multiple weather systems on going. – so yes there’s the weatherman’s excuse.

· Egads – it’s already June 3rd

TODAY: Morning cloudiness a slight chance for sprinkle…gives way to periods of afternoon sunshine. A high 75 to 80. Winds becoming northwest winds 10 mph. (5)

TONIGHT: Scattered clouds with a slight chance for a sprinkle. Patches of valley fog with a low 50 to 55. Little wind. (5)

SATURDAY: Mixed clouds and sun. Pleasant. A high in the mid to upper 70s. Light northwest breeze. (5)

Looking further ahead…

SATURDAY NIGHT: Fair with increasing high clouds. A low in the low 50s. (3)

SUNDAY: Clouding up after brief morning sun. Showers likely…moderate to heavy at times with a chance for a thunderstorm. A high in the mid to upper 60s. (3)

MONDAY: Mostly cloudy and cool. Good chance for showers. A low near 55. A high in the upper 60s to near 70. (2)

TUESDAY: Mainly cloudy. Chance for periods of rain or showers. A low 50 to 55. A high mid 60s to near 70. (2)

WEDNESDAY: Lots of clouds. Cool and unsettled with a chance for leftover showers. A low near 50. A high in the 60s. (2)

Average lows in the upper 40s. Normal highs in the low 70s.

(Confidence factor: 5 = Good predictability 1 = shaky modeling lowered confidence) RH/6-1

[end]

TONIGHT: Cloudy and becoming damp with scattered showers. A low near 55. South breeze 10 to 15 mph. (5)

TOMORROW: Any leftover cloudiness early, gives way to lots of afternoon sunshine and becoming pretty nice day. A high 75 to 80. Winds becoming northwest winds 10 mph. (4)

FRIDAY NIGHT: Scattered clouds. Patches of valley fog with a low 50 to 55. Little wind. (4)

SATURDAY: More sun than clouds and pleasant. A high in the mid 70s. Light northwest breeze. (4)

Looking further ahead…

SATURDAY NIGHT: Fair with increasing high clouds. A low near 50. (3)

SUNDAY: Cloudy. Showers becoming likely…moderate to heavy at times with a chance for a thunderstorm. A high near 70. (2)

MONDAY: Mostly cloudy and cool. Good chance for showers. A low 50 to 55. A high in the upper 60s to near 70. (2)

TUESDAY: Mainly cloudy. Chance for periods of rain or showers. A low near 50. A high mid 60s to near 70. (2)

WEDNESDAY: Lots of clouds. Cool and unsettled with a chance for leftover showers. A low 45 to 50. A high in the 60s. (2)

Average lows in the upper 40s. Normal highs in the low 70s.

(Confidence factor: 5 = Good predictability 1 = shaky modeling lowered confidence) RH/6-1

[end]

· Weakening frontal boundary is moving in a little faster. Scattered shows were more likely to reach the Northwest corner of the state later this afternoon and certainly before sunset.

· South and east of the Champlain Valley…scattered showers to develop this evening with again most rain showers in NW. Vermont.

· Friday – northern tier areas will set up with late morning and afternoon clearing for what should be lots of sunshine while central and southern areas hold out longer with few showers and risk for a thunderstorm.

· Overnight modeling has kept Saturday as “the day for an outdoor Barby” while Sunday modeling has doubled down for showers and possible thunderstorms…some moderate to heavy across the area. Sunday afternoon may be a washout.

TODAY: Partly sunny through early afternoon…then clouding up. A rising chance for late afternoon showers toward the Champlain Valley. A high in the mid 70s to low 80s. South breeze 10 to 20 mph. (5)

TONIGHT: Cloudy becoming damp. Scattered showers, mainly western Vermont. A low around 55. South breeze 10 to 15 mph. (5)

FRIDAY: Clouds with few lingering showers Barre-Montpelier area south with a risk for a few rumbles of thunder. Partly sunny northern areas. A high in the mid 70s to around 80. Winds becoming northwest winds 10 mph. (4)

Looking further ahead…

FRIDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy to mostly clear. Patches of valley fog with a low around 55. (3)

SATURDAY: Mixed clouds and sun. A high in the upper 70s. (2)

SUNDAY: Clouding up and becoming unsettled. Chance for showers arriving in the afternoon. A risk of thunder. A low near 55. A high near 70. (2)

MONDAY: Mostly cloudy and cool. Chance for leftover showers. A low 50 to 55. A high in the upper 60s to near 70. (2)

TUESDAY: Mainly cloudy. Chance for rain or showers. A low near 50. A high in the mid to upper 60s. (2)

Average lows in the upper 40s. Normal highs in the low 70s.

(Confidence factor: 5 = Good predictability 1 = shaky modeling lowered confidence) RH/6-1

[end]

TONIGHT: Skies becoming mostly clear this evening. A low in the mid 50s. Southeast winds 10 mph. (5)

TOMORROW: Sunshine filtered through high clouds. A high in the upper 70s to low 80s. South winds 10 to 20 mph. (5)

THURSDAY NIGHT: Fair early then clouding up with a rising chance for showers after midnight. A low around 55. South breeze 10 mph. (5)

FRIDAY: Scattered showers early, giving way to partial sunshine northern areas and mainly cloudy conditions southern areas. A high in the upper70s to low 80s. West to northwest winds 10 mph. (4)

Looking further ahead…

FRIDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear but with patches of valley fog. A low around 55. (3)

SATURDAY: Mixed clouds and sun. A high in the upper 70s. (2)

SUNDAY: Clouding up and becoming unsettled. Chance for showers arriving in the afternoon. A risk of thunder. A low 50 to 55. A high near 70. (2)

MONDAY: Mostly cloudy and cool. Chance for leftover showers. A low 50 to 55. A high in the upper 60s to near 70. (2)

TUESDAY: Mainly cloudy. Chance for rain or showers. A low near 50. A high in the mid to upper 60s. (2)

Average lows in the upper 40s. Normal highs around 70.

(Confidence factor: 5 = Good predictability 1 = shaky modeling lowered confidence) RH/6-1

[end]

TONIGHT: Scattered cloudiness. Patchy valley fog. A low 50 to 55. Light northwest winds. (5)

TOMORROW: Pick of the week. A beauty. Filtered sunshine through high cloudiness in the afternoon. A high in the mid to upper 70s. Light northeast winds. (5)

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. A low in the mid 50s. Southeast winds 10 mph. (5)

THURSDAY: Sunshine filtered through high clouds. A high in the mid to upper 70s. South winds 10 to 20 mph. (4)

Looking further ahead…

THURSDAY NIGHT: Fair skies give way to thickening clouds. A rising chance for showers late. A low around 55. (4)

FRIDAY: Damp and showery early, giving way to breaks of afternoon sun. A high in the low 70s. (3)

SATURDAY: Mixed clouds and sun. A low in the 50s. A high around 75. (2)

SUNDAY: Mainly cloudy with a chance for rain or showers. A risk of thunder. A low in the upper 50s. A high 70 to 75. (2)

Average lows in the upper 40s. Normal highs around 70.

(Confidence factor: 5 = Good predictability 1 = shaky modeling lowered confidence) RH/5-30

[end]

· We will see spectacular weather across our region – Good weather for strenuous project today – Wednesday and Thursday as dew points lower into the 40s (should feel delightful)

· Bug action at least in the woods is pretty severe, but lowered dew points take the edge of this too.

· Growth rates due to warmer soils and enough moisture is now phenomenal. The continuing Green transition is taking us into rain forest jungle.

· Heads up – June 8th into a pretty significant stretch of Mid June (possibly into the 18th) temperatures go below normal and perhaps significantly below normal before returning near or above normal thereafter.

TODAY: Mostly sunny. Cooler refreshingly less humid. A high in the upper 70s to around 80. Northwest breeze 10 to 15 mph. (5)

TONIGHT: Scattered cloudiness. Patchy valley fog. A low 50 to 55. Light northwest winds. (5)

WEDNESDAY: Pick of the week. Blue skies, bright sunshine and pleasant. A high in the mid to upper 70s. Light north winds. (5)

Looking further ahead…

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. A low in the mid 50s. (4)

THURSDAY: Mostly sunny skies giving way to variable high clouds. A high in the upper 70s. (3)

FRIDAY: Cloudy damp and cool. Showers likely. A low in the 50s. A high in the upper 60s to around 70. (2)

SATURDAY: Slight chance for a morning shower, then partly to mostly sunny. A low in the 50s. A high in the mid 70s. (2)

SUNDAY: Variably cloudy. Widely scattered rain showers. A low in the 50s. A high in the low 70s. (2)

Average lows in the upper 40s. Normal highs around 70.

(Confidence factor: 5 = Good predictability 1 = shaky modeling lowered confidence) RH/5-30

[end]