Update Monday Morning Forecast and Weather Notes — August 15th, 2016

· A pretty decent week ahead with the best days coming likely Wednesday and again Friday this week.

· Today – Monday A dry day with a couple notches of lowered humidity levels which has been daunting. A chaotic sky with variable cloud cover but also a few intervals of sun and temps topping out in the low 80s.

· A warm Front will kick in tomorrow increasing the cloud cover after a nice dry morning with hints of sun through high clouds.

· The warm front will deliver more rainfall for the region where we could use another 1 to 2” and probably more but not all at once.

· Water tables, ponds rivers and stream are rather low and the weekend rains really did not put much of a dent in what has been a pretty dry 365 days.

· No excessive heat nor cold this week – great out of doors weather for all today Wednesday and Friday.

TODAY: Clouds mixed with intervals of sunshine. A high around 80. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph. (5)

TONIGHT: Partly cloudy. Isolated valley fog. A low in the upper 50s to around 60. Little wind. (5)

TUESDAY: Filtered morning sun then thickening clouds in the afternoon. A rising chance for showers later in the afternoon. A high in the mid 70s. South to southeast winds 10 to 15 mph. (4)

Looking further ahead…

TUESDAY NIGHT: Cloudy with periods of rain or showers…heavy at times with a chance for thunderstorms. A low in the mid 60s. (3)

WEDNESDAY: Partly to mostly sunny. A high near 75. (3)

THURSDAY: Morning sun then increasing clouds. Chance for late afternoon showers and thunderstorms. A low in the 55 to 60. A high around 80. (2)

FRIDAY: Mostly sunny after morning fog. A low near 60. A high 75 to 80. (2)

Average lows mid to upper 50s. Normal high mid to upper 70s.

(Confidence factor: 5 = Good predictability 1 = shaky modeling lowered confidence)

RH/8-15 [end]

Updated Friday Evening forecast — August 5th, 2016

TONIGHT: Clear and warm this evening, then increasing clouds. Showers and thunderstorms overnight, some locally heavy. Rather sticky. A low 65 to 70. South winds 10 mph.

TOMORROW: Morning showers exiting to increasing periods of sunshine.Widely scattered showers and late afternoon thunderstorms Northeast Kingdom. Still a bit muggy. A high in the low 80s. West to northwest breeze 10 to 15 mph.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Widely scattered or isolated early evening showers and thunderstorms diminishing. Otherwise, then partly cloudy. A low 55 to 60. Light northwest winds.

SUNDAY: Partly to mostly sunny and breezy. An isolated shower or two far northern areas. A high near 75. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.

Looking further ahead…

SUNDAY NIGHT: Any isolated sprinkles far northern areas exiting. Otherwise mostly clear. Patchy valley fog. A low in the mid 50s.

MONDAY: Sunshine mixed with a few afternoon clouds. A high in the near 80.

TUESDAY: Mostly sunny and warmer, more humid. A low in the mid 50s. A high in the mid 80s.

WEDNESDAY: Sunshine mixed with clouds, breezy and muggy. A low 60 to 65. A high in the upper 80s.

THURSDAY: Partly sunny warm and sticky. Scattered afternoon showers and thunderstorms. A low 65 to 70. A high in the upper 80s

Average lows 55 to near 60. Normal high upper 70s to low 80s.

(Confidence factor: 5 = Good predictability 1 = shaky modeling lowered confidence)

Note I will be off next Week, the next update goes live again Aug. 15th

RH/8-5 [end]

Updated Friday Morning forecast & Weather Notes — Aug. 5th, 2016

· Shower and thunderstorms roll in ahead of an advancing frontal system overnight tonight, but will not affect what will be a warm to hot summer day today. Temperatures max out in the mid 80s to a few lower 90s.

· Expect boomers after midnight tonight and into the dark hours of early Saturday morning then push out of the region to periods of late morning and afternoon sunshine.

· A scattering of showers and thunderstorms may re-fire late in the day Saturday across the Northeast Kingdom and northern Green Mountains. If you are out of doors please be aware of potential lighting issues northern areas again late in the day.

· Sunday though not as summer-like in temperatures will actually be the better day this weekend. There will be a few isolated or widely scattered rain showers/sprinkles Sunday afternoon central to northern Green Mountains and Northeast Kingdom highlands.

· Two fantastic days will develop for Monday Tuesday. Next shower/thunderstorm issues arrive Wednesday.

· I will be taking next week off. This web site will not be updated until I get back. Enjoy what should be a pretty good week in Northern New England to take off.

TODAY: Mostly sunny skies. Warmer, breezy and more humid. A high 85 to 90. South winds 10 to 15 mph.

TONIGHT: Fair this evening, then increasing clouds. Showers and thunderstorms overnight, some locally heavy. Rather sticky. A low 65 to 70. South winds 10 mph.

SATURDAY: Morning showers and thunderstorms, then increasing periods of sunshine. Widely scattered showers and late afternoon thunderstorms northern areas. Muggy. A high in the low 80s. West to northwest winds 10 to 20 mph.

Looking further ahead…

SATURDAY NIGHT: Widely scattered or isolated early evening showers and thunderstorms diminishing. Otherwise, then partly cloudy. A low 55 to 60.

SUNDAY: Partly to mostly sunny and breezy. Slight chance for a few afternoon showers northern areas. A high near 75.

MONDAY: Patchy fog burns off to mostly sunny skies. A low 50 to 55. A high in the near 80.

TUESDAY: Morning fog then mostly sunny and warmer. A low in the mid 50s. A high in the mid 80s.

WEDNESDAY: Sunshine after any morning fog then clouding up breezy and muggy. Chance for late day showers and thunderstorms. A low in the mid 60s. A high in the mid 80s.

Average lows 55 to near 60. Normal high upper 70s to low 80s.

(Confidence factor: 5 = Good predictability 1 = shaky modeling lowered confidence)

RH/8-5 [end]

Updated Thursday Evening Forecast — August 4th, 2016

WDEV Night Thunder Road scattered clouds Temps falling through the 70s into the upper 60s

TONIGHT: Scattered evening clouds. Patchy valley fog overnight. A low in the mid 60s. Light south winds.

TOMORROW: Fog burns off to mostly sunny skies. Warmer breezy and more humid. A high in the mid to upper 80s. South winds 10 to 15 mph.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Fair in the evening, then increasing clouds. Showers and thunderstorms likely overnight. Rather muggy. A low in the mid 60s. South winds 10 mph.

SATURDAY: Morning showers and thunderstorms giving way to partial sunshine. Widely scattered showers and late afternoon thunderstorms northern areas. Muggy. A high around 80. West to northwest winds 10 to 20 mph.

Looking further ahead…

SATURDAY NIGHT: Scattered early evening showers and thunderstorms wind down, then partly cloudy. A low around 60.

SUNDAY: Mixed sun and clouds and breezy. Widely scattered afternoon showers mainly northern areas. A high near 75.

MONDAY: Morning clouds and fog, then mostly sunny in the afternoon. A low 50 to 55. A high in the mid 70s.

TUESDAY: Morning fog then mostly sunny and warmer. A low 50 to 55. A high 80 to 85.

WEDNESDAY: Partly to mostly sunny giving way to afternoon clouds. Warm and sticky. Chance for late afternoon showers and thunderstorms. A low in the mid 60s. A high in the mid 80s.

Average lows 55 to near 60. Normal high upper 70s to low 80s.

(Confidence factor: 5 = Good predictability 1 = shaky modeling lowered confidence)

Updated Thursday Morning Forecast & Weather Notes — August 4th, 2016

· Very nice Summer day but a little more humid as dew points creep up to around 60 this afternoon and evening.

· Thunder Road WDEV Night – A great summer evening as temperatures cool through the 70s with moderate humidity levels a few clouds and NO threats of rain drops.

· Friday – great water recreational sports kind of day to get out on the lake though breezy with south winds perhaps gusts up to 25 mph from the south on Lake Champlain.

· Big weather maker arrives overnight Friday night/Saturday morning with a round of showers and thunderstorms.

· WEEKEND: more unsettled with minor thunderstorms or shower flare-ups Saturday peaking late day early evening, then few more showers to contend with Sunday but not widespread and generally brief. Sunday looks best over the weekend for the out of doors but also cooler in the 70s.

· Gorgeous high pressure returns for some great outdoor weather conditions early to mid part of next week.

TODAY: Partly to mostly sunny. A high around 85. Southwest breeze 10 mph.

TONIGHT: WDEV Night Thunder Road – Scattered evening clouds. Patchy valley fog. A low in the mid 60s. Light south winds.

FRIDAY: Fog burns off to mostly sunny skies. Warmer breezy and more humid. A high in the mid to upper 80s. South winds 10 to 15 mph.

Looking further ahead…

FRIDAY NIGHT: Fair in the evening, then increasing clouds. Showers and thunderstorms likely overnight. A low in the mid 60s.

SATURDAY: Morning showers and thunderstorms exit. Otherwise becoming partly sunny. Widely scattered showers and late afternoon and evening thunderstorms northern areas. Muggy. A high 80 to 85.

SUNDAY: Mixed sun and clouds and breezy. Widely scattered afternoon showers mainly northern areas. A low around 60. A high near 75.

MONDAY: Morning clouds and fog, then mostly sunny in the afternoon. A low 50 to 55. A high in the mid 70s.

TUESDAY: Morning fog then mostly sunny and warmer. A low 50 to 55. A high 80 to 85.

WEDNESDAY: Partly to mostly sunny giving way to afternoon clouds. Warm and sticky. Chance for late afternoon showers and thunderstorms. A low in the mid 60s. A high in the mid 80s.

Average lows 55 to near 60. Normal high upper 70s to low 80s.

(Confidence factor: 5 = Good predictability 1 = shaky modeling lowered confidence)

RH/8-4 [end]

Updated Wednesday Evening forecast — Aug. 3rd, 2016

TONIGHT: Mostly clear. Patchy valley fog. A low in the low 60s. Light south winds.

TOMORROW: Partly to mostly sunny. Isolated late afternoon shower or thundershowers, especially Northeast Kingdom. A high in the mid 80s. Southwest breeze 10 mph.

THURSDAY NIGHT: WDEV Night Thunder Road – an isolated shower threat early, Otherwise scattered evening clouds. Patchy valley fog. A low in the mid 60s. Light south winds.

FRIDAY: Fog burns off to mostly sunny skies. Warmer breezy and more humid. A high in the mid to upper 80s. South winds 10 to 20 mph.

Looking further ahead…

FRIDAY NIGHT: Showers and possible thunderstorms later overnight. A low in the mid 60s.

SATURDAY: Morning showers giving way to partly sunny skies. Widely scattered showers and thunderstorms late afternoon and evening northern areas. Muggy. A high around 80.

SUNDAY: Mixed sun and clouds and breezy. Widely scattered showers far northern areas. A low near 60. A high in the low to mid 70s.

MONDAY: Morning clouds and fog, then mostly sunny in the afternoon. A low 50 to 55. A high in the mid 70s.

TUESDAY: Morning fog then mostly sunny and warmer. A low 50 to 55. A high 80 to 85.

Average lows 55 to near 60. Normal high upper 70s to low 80s.

(Confidence factor: 5 = Good predictability 1 = shaky modeling lowered confidence)

RH/8-3 [end]

Updated Wednesday Morning Weather & WX Notes

· A gorgeous day today – the Pick. Morning fog burn off time between 8:30 and 9:30 AM today with thickest fog east of the Green Mountains and especially the Connecticut River Valley.

· Another nice warmer and slightly more humid day Thursday. Can’t rule out an isolated thundershower threat Northeast Kingdom Thursday late afternoon.

· Good weather on Friday though warm to hot and muggy will cool off with the next round of showers and thunderstorms timing taking this into the night and early AM hour Friday night/Saturday morning.

· Weekend may have repeat rounds of hit and miss showers and storms in the later afternoon especially Saturday.

TODAY: Pick of the week. Morning fog burns of to mostly sunny skies. A high in the lower 80s. Light south winds.

TONIGHT: Mostly clear. Patchy valley fog. A low in the low 60s. Light south winds.

THURSDAY: Partly to mostly sunny. Isolated late afternoon shower or thundershowers, especially Northeast Kingdom. A high in the mid 80s. Southwest breeze 10 mph.

Looking further ahead…

THURSDAY NIGHT: WDEV Night Thunder Road – an isolated showers threat early, Otherwise scattered evening clouds. Patchy valley fog. A low in the low to mid 60s.

FRIDAY: Fog burns off to mostly sunny skies. Warmer and more humid. A high in the mid to upper 80s. Showers and possible thunderstorms later overnight.

SATURDAY: Morning showers giving way to partly sunny skies. Widely scattered showers and thunderstorms late afternoon and evening northern areas. Muggy. A low in the mid 60s. A high 80 to 85.

SUNDAY: Mixed sun and clouds and breezy. Slight chance for a afternoon thundershower near the Quebec border. A low near 60. A high in the mid 70s.

MONDAY: Morning clouds and fog, then mostly sunny in the afternoon. A low in the mid 50s. A high in the mid 70s.

TUESDAY: Morning fog them mostly sunny. A low 50 to 55. A high in the low 80s

Average lows 55 to near 60. Normal high upper 70s to low 80s.

(Confidence factor: 5 = Good predictability 1 = shaky modeling lowered confidence)

RH/8-3 [end]

Updated Tuesday Evening Forecast — Aug. 2nd, 2016

TONIGHT: Partly cloudy with patchy valley fog. A low 55 to 60. Light south winds.

TOMORROW: Pick of the week. Morning fog burns of to mostly sunny skies. A high 80 to 85. Light south winds.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Patchy valley fog. A low around 60. Light south winds.

THURSDAY: Partly to mostly sunny. An isolated late afternoon shower or two. A high near 85. Southwest breeze 10 mph.

Looking further ahead…

THURSDAY NIGHT: WDEV Night Thunder Road – Scattered clouds. Patchy valley fog. A low around 65.

FRIDAY: Fog burns off to mostly sunny skies. Warmer and more humid. A high in the mid to upper 80s. Showers and possible thunderstorms later overnight.

SATURDAY: Morning showers giving way to partly sunny skies. A low in the mid 60s. A high in the lower to mid 80s.

SUNDAY: Mixed sun and clouds and breezy. Slight chance for a afternoon shower. A low 55 to 60. A high in the mid 70s.

Average lows 55 to near 60. Normal high upper 70s to low 80s.

(Confidence factor: 5 = Good predictability 1 = shaky modeling lowered confidence)

RH/8-2 [end]

Updated Tuesday Morning forecast & Weather Notes — August 2nd, 2016

· Much of our region have received douse of much neede3d rain – now head into better conditions really the rest of the week.

· Temperatures moderate slowly upward with highs in the mid and possibly upper 80s by Friday.

· Humidity levels will also be on a slow rise so that Friday will become Muggy.

· A cold front with current timing will bring in the next weather-maker and some thunderstorms overnight Friday night into the morning hours of Saturday.

· Thereafter, generally improving conditions but with a caveat or two of a slight chance for showers northern areas Sunday afternoon.

TODAY: Morning clouds and fog, then more sun than clouds this afternoon. A high in the upper 70s to around 80. Light southeast winds.

TONIGHT: Scattered clouds with patchy valley fog. A low 55 to 60. Light south winds.

WEDNESDAY: Pick of the week. Morning fog burns of to mostly sunny skies. A high in the lower 80s. Light south winds.

Looking further ahead…

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Patchy valley fog. A low around 60.

THURSDAY: Partly sunny. Maybe a mountain sprinkle or two. A high in the lower 80s.

FRIDAY: Mixed clouds and sun. Warmer and more humid. A low 60 to 65. A high in the mid 80s. Showers and possible thunderstorms later overnight.

SATURDAY: Morning showers giving way to partly sunny skies. A low in the mid 60s. A high in the upper 70s to around 80.

SUNDAY: Mixed sun and clouds and breezy. Slight chance for a afternoon shower. A low in the 50s. A high in the 70s.

Average lows 55 to near 60. Normal high upper 70s to low 80s.

(Confidence factor: 5 = Good predictability 1 = shaky modeling lowered confidence)

RH/8-2

[end]

Updated Monday Evening forecast – August 1st, 2016

TONIGHT: Showers northern areas winding down this evening with some partial clearing. Showers lingering overnight south toward Rutland. Areas of fog. A low in the mid to upper 50s. Light southeast winds.

TOMORROW: Morning clouds and fog, then partly to mostly sunny in the afternoon. A high in the upper 70s to around 80. Light southeast winds.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Scattered clouds with patchy valley fog. A low 55 to 60. Light south winds.

WEDNESDAY: Morning fog burns of to mostly sunny skies. A high in the lower 80s. Light southeast winds.

Looking further ahead…

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Patchy valley fog. A low around 60.

THURSDAY: Partly sunny. A high in the lower 80s.

FRIDAY: Mixed clouds and sun. Warmer and more humid. A low 60 to 65. A high in the mid 80s. Showers and possible storms later overnight.

SATURDAY: Morning showers giving way to partly sunny skies. A low in the mid 60s. A high in the upper 70s to around 80.

Average lows 55 to near 60. Normal high upper 70s to low 80s.

(Confidence factor: 5 = Good predictability 1 = shaky modeling lowered confidence)

RH/8-1

[end]