Updated Wednesday Evening Forecast — August 31st, 2016

TONIGHT: A leftover shower/thunderstorm or two exiting, giving way to partial clearing. A low around 60. Light west to northwest breeze.

TOMORROW: Partly sunny. Slight chance for a mountain sprinkle. A high in the low 70s. Light northwest breeze.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Becoming mostly clear. Patches of valley fog. A low in the mid 50s. Light northwest winds.

FRIDAY: Mixed clouds and sun and cool. Widely scattered brief sprinkles. A high in the upper 60s to near 70. Light north winds.

Looking further ahead…

FRIDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. A low around 50.

SATURDAY: Morning sunshine with a few more afternoon clouds. A high 70 to 75.

SUNDAY: Filtered sunshine through high clouds after morning fog. A low in the upper 40s to low 50s. A high mid to upper 70s.

MONDAY Labor Day: Filtered sun through high clouds. A low in the mid 50s. A high in the low 80s.

TUESDAY: Becoming partly to mostly cloudy. Warmer and more humid. A low 55 to 60. A high 80 to 85.

Average lows mid 50s. Normal high mid 70s.

(Confidence factor: 5 = Good predictability 1 = shaky modeling lowered confidence)

RH/8-31 [end]

Updated Wednesday morning Forecast and WX notes — August 31st, 2016

A couple different batches of showers and thunderstorms will move through this morning and afternoon. The northern half of Vermont will be most affected but southern areas could see some isolated showers/storms later on this afternoon.

Thunder-Dog Index about a “5” with pets most sensitive to thunder.

A cold front triggering this activity will track out of the region tonight. Some leftover moisture Thursday and again Friday may produce a few sprinkles.

Labor Day Weekend looking real good with perfectly dry conditions, starting out cool but gradually warming into the low 80s by Labor Day Monday.

Tropics remain rather active but no local threats. We’ll have to watch a tropical cyclone that is currently headed for N. Florida and will track along the Carolina coast then out to sea, but even close enough to Cape Cod to throw back northern fringe clouds and perhaps a few showers but for the most part out to sea…

TODAY: Considerable cloudiness and muggy. Occasional showers, perhaps a thunderstorm or two…with some producing locally heavy rainfall across northern areas. A high in the mid to upper 70s. Light west to southwest breeze.

TONIGHT: A leftover shower/thunderstorm or two exiting, giving way to partial clearing. A low around 60. Light west to northwest breeze.

THURSDAY: Partly sunny. Slight chance for a mountain sprinkle. A high in the low 70s. Light northwest breeze.

Looking further ahead…

THURSDAY NIGHT: Becoming mostly clear. Patches of valley fog. A low in the mid 50s.

FRIDAY: Mixed clouds and sun with widely scattered brief sprinkles. A high near 70.

SATURDAY: Morning sunshine with a few more afternoon clouds. A low around 50. A high 70 to 75.

SUNDAY: Bright sun and blue skies after morning fog. A low in the upper 40s to low 50s. A high mid to upper 70s.

MONDAY Labor Day: Filtered sun through high clouds. A low in the mid 50s. A high in the low 80s.

TUESDAY: Becoming partly to mostly cloudy. Warmer and more humid. A low 55 to 60. A high 80 to 85.

Average lows mid 50s. Normal high mid 70s.

(Confidence factor: 5 = Good predictability 1 = shaky modeling lowered confidence)

RH/8-30 [end]

Updated Tuesday Evening Forecast — August 30th, 2016

TONIGHT: Fair early then increasing clouds. A rising chance for showers far northern areas after midnight. More muggy. A low in the low 60s. Light southwest breeze.

TOMORROW: Considerable cloudiness and muggy. Occasional showers, perhaps a thunderstorm or two. A high in the mid 70s. Light west to southwest breeze.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: A leftover shower or two exiting, giving way to partial clearing. A low around 60. Light west to northwest breeze.

THURSDAY: Partly sunny. Slight chance for a mountain sprinkle. A high in the low 70s. Light northwest breeze.

Looking further ahead…

THURSDAY NIGHT: Becoming mostly clear. Patches of valley fog. A low in the mid 50s.

FRIDAY: Mixed clouds and sun with widely scattered brief sprinkles. A high near 70.

SATURDAY: Morning sunshine with a few more afternoon clouds. A low in the upper 40s. A high in the low 70s.

SUNDAY: Bright sun and blue skies after morning fog. A low in the upper 40s to low 50s. A high in the mid 70s.

MONDAY Labor Day: Filtered sun through high clouds. A low in the mid to upper 50s. A high around 80.

TUESDAY: Becoming partly to mostly cloudy. A low 55 to 60. A high around 80.

Average lows mid 50s. Normal high mid 70s.

(Confidence factor: 5 = Good predictability 1 = shaky modeling lowered confidence)

RH/8-30 [end]

Updated Tuesday Morning Forecast & WX notes — August 30th, 2016

· Fog and patchy high clouds move out this morning but clouds thicken up and return late today and this evening especially northern areas.

· The rest of the region to see a gorgeous day with lots of sun, and blue skies once fog burns off around 9 AM.

·
A weak cool front will traverse across the region Wednesday taking all day to reach into Vermont. The weather mechanism will trigger occasional showers and a few thunderstorms.

· Conditions improve but with mixed clouds and sun, and some low level moisture may be enough for a brief spotty mountain sprinkle barely measurable for both Thursday and Friday.

· High pressure dome on track to guard our weather like a hawk from any incoming systems including those to our south that are tropical…starting Saturday and lasting into Monday Labor Day.

TODAY: Pick of the week. Mostly sunny and a beauty. A high 75 to 80. Light southwest breeze.

TONIGHT: Fair in the evening, then increasing clouds overnight. A rising chance for showers far northern areas. More muggy. A low 60 to 65. Light southwest breeze.

WEDNESDAY: Mostly cloudy and muggy. Occasional showers, perhaps a thunderstorm or two. A high in the upper 70s. Light west to southwest breeze.

Looking further ahead…

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Clouds giving way to partial clearing. A low in the mid 50s.

THURSDAY: Partly sunny. Slight chance for a mountain sprinkle. A high in the low to mid 70s.

FRIDAY: Mixed clouds and sun. Slight chance for a northern mountain sprinkle. A low in the mid 50s. A high around 70.

SATURDAY: Morning sunshine with a few more afternoon clouds. A low around 50. A high near 70.

SUNDAY: Bright sun and blue skies after morning fog. A low in the upper 40s. A high in the mid 70s.

MONDAY Labor Day: Mostly sunny. A low in the 50s. A high in the 80s.

Average lows mid 50s. Normal high mid 70s.

(Confidence factor: 5 = Good predictability 1 = shaky modeling lowered confidence)

RH/8-30 [end]

Updated Monday Evening forecast — august 29th, 2016

TONIGHT: Mostly clear. Patchy valley fog. A low in the low to mid 50s. Little wind.

TOMORROW: Pick of the week. Mostly sunny and a beauty. A high 75 to 80. Light southwest breeze.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Fair in the evening, then increasing clouds overnight. A rising chance for showers far northern areas. More muggy. A low 60 to 65. Light south breeze.

WEDNESDAY: Mostly cloudy and muggy. Occasional showers, perhaps a thunderstorm or two. A high in the upper 70s. Light southwest winds.

Looking further ahead…

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Clouds giving way to partial clearing. A low in the mid 50s.

THURSDAY: Partly sunny. A high in the low to mid 70s.

FRIDAY: Mixed clouds and sun. Slight chance for a northern mountain sprinkle. A low in the mid 50s. A high around 70.

SATURDAY: Morning sunshine with a few more afternoon clouds. A low around 50. A high around 70.

SUNDAY: Bright sun and blue skies after morning fog. A low in the upper 40s. A high in the mid 70s.

MONDAY Labor Day: Mostly sunny. A low in the 50s. A high in the 80s.

Average lows mid 50s. Normal high mid 70s.

(Confidence factor: 5 = Good predictability 1 = shaky modeling lowered confidence)

RH/8-29 [end]

Updated Monday morning Forecast & Weather Notes — August 29th, 2016

· Transition day today after a band of showers and thunderstorms tracked across portions of northern Vermont and brought locally heavy rains in some locations there.

· 1.76” in Hyde Park, 2.90” at Caledonia County airport near Lyndonville were some of the heavier reports from thunderstorms yesterday evening.

· Transition Day today with cooler less humid air moving in highs in the 70s.

· Warmest weather day this week will come ahead of the next cold front on Wednesday…after a gorgeous and near perfect Tuesday with a bubble of higher pressure in control.

· A cool down in temperatures works in for late in the week, however nothing too extreme indicated more a reminder that yes by that time it will be September.

· Tropics are very active – Two Tropical Depressions that may affect North America one heading for Cape Hatteras which will then pull out to sea and another more ominous one forming in the Gulf of Mexico that may affect Fl. Panhandle in the few days…

TODAY: Partly sunny, cooler and turning less humid. A high in the low to mid 70s. Northwest breeze 10 to 15 mph.

TONIGHT: Mostly clear. Patchy valley fog. A low in the low to mid 50s. Little wind.

TUESDAY: Mostly sunny and a beauty. A high 75 to 80. Light southwest breeze.

Looking further ahead…

TUESDAY NIGHT: Fair in the evening, then increasing clouds overnight. Chance for a shower far northern areas toward daybreak. More muggy with a low in the lower 60s.

WEDNESDAY: Mostly cloudy and muggy. Chance for showers and perhaps a thunderstorm or two. A high around 80.

THURSDAY: Partly sunny. A low in the mid 50s. A high in the low to mid 70s.

FRIDAY: Mixed clouds and sun. A low in the mid 50s. A high in the low 70s.

Average lows low 50s. Normal high mid 70s.

(Confidence factor: 5 = Good predictability 1 = shaky modeling lowered confidence)

RH/8-29 [end]

Updated Wednesday Morning Forecast & Wx notes

· Fantastic weather through tonight with a warm late summer day and warm summer evening. Humidity trends will be on the increase for especially later tonight and tomorrow Thursday lasting into part of Friday.

· It will be another warm day Thursday with dew points on the rise and cold front getting ready to sink slowly southeast across our region. This will set up the trends for increasing chances for showers starting late morning far northern areas Thursday and eventually spread across most of the state in the afternoon and evening.

· Showers and a few isolated thunderstorms cells will be in the mix also on Friday with slightly cooler conditions.

· By later Friday afternoon most of the action will have shifted to our east with high pressure beginning to trek in from the southern Canada and the Great Lakes setting up a fantastic weekend of dry and good project weather.

· The Atlantic Tropics are active – all eyes on a developing area of low pressure which could spin up into a problematical situation for Florida and later a potentially powerful system in the open Gulf of Mexico and with a U.S. landfall anywhere from Florida Panhandle to east Texas. – All speculation at this point. This would be a week plus out.

TODAY: Pick of the week. Mostly sunny. Warmer. A high around 85. Southwest breeze about 10 mph. (5)

TONIGHT: High cloudiness otherwise fair and partially moonlit. More muggy with a low in the lower 60s. Light southwest winds. (5)

THURSDAY: Becoming partly to mostly cloudy. A rising chance for showers, mainly northern areas. Warmer, more humid and breezy in the afternoon. A high in the mid 80s.South to southwest breeze 10 to 25 mph.(4)

Looking further ahead…

THURSDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. A good chance for showers, maybe a rumble of thunder or two especially northern areas. Sticky with a low 65 to 70. (3)

FRIDAY: More clouds than sun in the morning. Widely scattered showers, maybe a few thunderstorms, then partial clearing late in the afternoon. A high in the lower 80s. (2)

SATURDAY: Partly sunny. A low in the upper 50s. A high in the mid 70s. (2)

SUNDAY: Mixed clouds and sun. A low in the mid 50s. A high 80 to 85. (2)

MONDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance for showers and possibly a thunderstorm. A low in the 60s. A high in the low to mid 80s. (2)

TUESDAY: Chance for a morning shower, then partial afternoon sun. A low in the mid 60s. A high in the in the 70s. (2)

Average lows mid 50s. Normal high mid 70s.

(Confidence factor: 5 = Good predictability 1 = shaky modeling lowered confidence)

RH/8-24 [end]

Updated Tuesday Evening Forecast — August 23rd, 2016

TONIGHT: Mostly clear and partially moonlit overnight with patchy valley fog. A low 50 to 55. Light southwest winds. (5)

TOMORROW: Pick of the week. Mostly sunny. Warmer. A high around 85. Southwest breeze about 10 mph. (5)

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: High cloudiness otherwise fair and partially moonlit. More muggy with a low 60 to 65. Light southwest winds. (5)

THURSDAY: Mixed sun and clouds with a rising chance for showers, mainly northern areas. Warmer, more humid and breezy in the afternoon. A high in the low to mid 80s.South to southwest breeze 10 to 25 mph.(4)

Looking further ahead…

THURSDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Very humid with a low 65 to 70. (3)

FRIDAY: More clouds than sun in the morning. Widely scattered showers, maybe a few thunderstorms, then partial clearing late in the afternoon. A around 80. (2)

SATURDAY: Partly sunny. A low around 60. A high in the mid 70s. (2)

SUNDAY: Mixed clouds and sun. A low in the mid 50s. A high near 80. (2)

Average lows mid 50s. Normal high mid 70s.

(Confidence factor: 5 = Good predictability 1 = shaky modeling lowered confidence)

RH/8-23 [end]

Updated Tuesday morning Forecast & WX notes — August 23rd,

· Other than morning fog which should burn off by around 9 AM, conditions spectacular today and not very humid. Dew points the best metric to look at will be in the upper 40s to low 50s and that is some kind of nice if you need to do heavy labor out of doors.

· Tomorrow pick of the week dew points climb into the upper 50s to lower 60s by the end of the day but still moderate humidity levels and warmer temps with highs peaking in the low to mid 80s.

· Our next weather maker does not come until later Thursday afternoon far northern areas but makes it into Vermont Thursday night and Friday with some showers and possibly a few thunderstorms.

· Tropics have turned much more active – as we near the peak of Atlantic Hurricane season on 10 of September. There are some hints at a possible North American land strike in the southeast U.S. next week.

· The warmest 90 days of climatology for our region effectively “meteorological summer” ends on September 5th.

TODAY A beauty. Mostly sunny morning fog.Near seasonal temperatures with a high in the mid 70s. Southwest breeze 10 mph. (5)

TONIGHT: Mostly clear and partially moonlit overnight with patchy valley fog. A low 50 to 55. Light south winds. (5)

WEDNESDAY: Pick of the week. Mostly sunny but with a few afternoon clouds northern areas. Warmer with a high 80 to 85. South to southwest winds 10 mph. (4)

Looking further ahead…

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: High cloudiness otherwise fair and partially moonlit. Much more muggy with a low 60 to 65. (3)

THURSDAY: Filtered sunshine through high clouds in the morning, mixed sun and clouds in the afternoon. Slight chance for a shower northern areas late. Warmer, more humid and breezy in the afternoon. A high in the low to mid 80s.(2)

FRIDAY: Mixed clouds and sun. Widely scattered showers, maybe a few thunderstorms. Very humid with a low 65 to 70. A around 80. (2)

SATURDAY: Partly sunny. A low around 60. A high in the mid 70s. (2)

SUNDAY: Mixed clouds and sun. A low in the mid 50s. A high near 80. (2)

Average lows mid 50s. Normal high mid 70s.

(Confidence factor: 5 = Good predictability 1 = shaky modeling lowered confidence)

RH/8-23 [end]

Updated Monday Evening forecast — August 22nd, 2016

TONIGHT: Mostly clear and partially moonlit. Considerable valley fog. A low in the upper 40s to around 50. Light west winds. (5)

TOMORROW: A beauty. Mostly sunny.Near seasonal normal’s with a high in the mid 70s. Southwest breeze 10 mph. (5)

TUESDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear and partially moonlit. A low in the low to mid 50s. Light south winds. (5)

WEDNESDAY: Pick of the week. Mostly sunny but with a few afternoon clouds northern areas. Warmer with a high in the mid 80s. South to southwest winds 10 mph. (4)

Looking further ahead…

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: High cloudiness otherwise fair and partially moonlit. Much more muggy with a low in the mid 60s. (3)

THURSDAY: Filtered sunshine through high clouds in the morning, mixed sun and clouds in the afternoon. Slight chance for a shower northern areas late. Warmer, more humid and breezy in the afternoon. A high in the mid 80s.(2)

FRIDAY: Mixed clouds and sun. Widely scattered showers, maybe a thunderstorm. A low in the mid to upper 60s. A high in the low 80s. (2)

SATURDAY: Partly sunny. A low around 60. A high in the mid 70s. (2)

SUNDAY: Mixed clouds and sun. A low in the mid 50s. A high in the in the upper 70s to near 80. (2)

Average lows mid 50s. Normal high mid 70s.

(Confidence factor: 5 = Good predictability 1 = shaky modeling lowered confidence)

RH/8-22 [end]