Updated Tuesday morning Forecast & Wx Notes — November 15th, 2016

· Unusual for November? Very. Reality will bring clouds and rain showers spreading across southern New England into Vermont this afternoon and the bulk to fall this evening…then scattering out some overnight into Wednesday morning before exiting.

· Unreality – Weather featuring more sun will develop late this weekend into Saturday.

· Reality will return there after – with increasing trends toward colder and even some snow ahead of next week’s Thanksgiving Holiday. Details on timing and how much remain elusive this far out.

TODAY: Mixed clouds and intervals of sun. Showers arriving south to north this afternoon. A high 50 to 55. Light southeast winds.

TONIGHT: Cloudy. Rain showers likely. Areas of fog. A low in the low 40s. Light northeast winds.

WEDNESDAY: Scattered rain showers in the morning drying up in the afternoon with breaks of sun late. A high in the mid to upper 40s. Northwest breeze 10 mph.

Looking further ahead…

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. A low near 35.

THURSDAY: Cloudy periods in the morning, giving way to partial afternoon sun. A high 45 to 50.

FRIDAY: Mostly sunny and milder. A low around 32. A high in the mid 50s.

SATURDAY: Mostly sunny in the morning then increasing clouds.A low near 35. A high in the mid 50s.

SUNDAY: Gray and damp. Chance for periods of rain, possibly mixed with wet snow higher terrain. A low in the upper 30s. A high around 45.

Average lows mid 20s. Normal highs in the mid 40s

(Confidence factor: 5 = Good predictability 1 = shaky modeling lowered confidence)

RH/11-14[end]

Roger Hill

Weathering Heights Consulting

186 MacKenzie Dr.

Worcester VT 05682

For me, it is far better to grasp the Universe as it really is than to persist in delusion, however satisfying and reassuring. ~ Carl Sagan

Updated Monday Evening forecast — Updated November 14th, 2016

TONIGHT: Some high cloudiness otherwise fully moonlit. A low in the upper 20s to low 30s. Little wind.

TOMORROW: Filtered sunshine through high clouds, thickening up in the afternoon with a rising chance for rain showers later in the afternoon. A high 50 to 55. Light southeast winds.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. Rain showers likely. Areas of fog. A low 40 to 45. Light northeast winds.

WEDNESDAY: Scattered rain showers in the morning drying in the afternoon. A high in the mid to upper 40s. Northwest breeze 10 mph.

Looking further ahead…

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. A low 32 to 35.

THURSDAY: Clouds with a few breaks of sunshine. A high 45 to 50.

FRIDAY: Morning clouds then mostly sunny and milder. A low around 32. A high in the mid 50s.

SATURDAY: Partly sunny.A low 35 to 40. A high in the mid 50s.

Average lows mid 20s. Normal highs in the mid 40s

(Confidence factor: 5 = Good predictability 1 = shaky modeling lowered confidence)

RH/11-14[end]

Updated Monday morning Forecast & WX notes — November 14th, 2016

· With rainfall just 32% of normal at the E.F. Knapp airport Barre-Montpelier area so far this November, we’ll add to that some with a weather system working northward up the eastern sea board.

· Temperatures this month so far have been just a little above normal so far, but this week will raise those temperatures with numerous reaching close to if next exceeding 50.

· Being the cloudiest month of the year – we are seeing tons of sunshine and very anomalous conditions.

TODAY: Pick of the week. Sunny. A high 50 to 55. Light winds.

TONIGHT: Clear and fully moonlit. A low in the upper 20s to low 30s. Little wind.

TUESDAY: Sunshine giving way to high clouds, thickening up in the afternoon with a rising chance for rain showers late. A high 50 to 55.Light southeast winds.

Looking further ahead…

TUESDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. Occasional rain showers. A low in the low to mid 40s.

WEDNESDAY: Cloudy and gray. Scattered rain showers tapering off in the afternoon . Temperatures holding in the low to mid 40s.

THURSDAY: Mixed sun and clouds. A low in the mid 30s. A high 45 to 50.

FRIDAY: Sunny. A low around 32. A high near 50.

Average lows mid 20s to about 30. Normal highs in the mid to upper 40s

(Confidence factor: 5 = Good predictability 1 = shaky modeling lowered confidence)

RH/11-14[end]

Updated Friday Evening forecast — November 11th, 2016

TONIGHT: Evening clouds then clearing & moonlit. A low 25 to 30. Northwest winds 10 to 20 mph gradually diminishing.

TOMORROW: Partly to mostly sunny. A high in the low 40s. Light southwest winds.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Scattered clouds and partially moonlit skies. A low near 35. West southwest breeze 10 mph

SUNDAY: Sunny & gorgeous. A high near 50. West breeze 10 to 15 mph.

Looking further ahead…

SUNDAY NIGHT: A few clouds but mostly clear. A low around 32.

Full Beaver Super-Moon 8:53 AM Monday

MONDAY: Mostly sunny. A high near 50 to 55.

TUESDAY: Sunshine giving way to high clouds in the afternoon. A low 32 to 35. A high near 50.

WEDNESDAY: Cloudy and gray. A rising chance for showers. Temperatures holding around 40.

THURSDAY: Partly sunny then more clouds with a chance for rain or snow showers. A low in the mid 30s. A high near 45.

Average lows mid 20s to about 30. Normal highs in the mid to upper 40s

(Confidence factor: 5 = Good predictability 1 = shaky modeling lowered confidence)

RH/11-11[end]

Updated Thursday Evening forecast — November 10th, 2016

TONIGHT: Mostly clear this evening. Clouding up overnight. Rising chance for a rain showers toward daybreak. A low 35 to 40. Southwest winds 10 mph.

TOMORROW: Occasional rain showers mixed with wet snow flakes in the higher elevations in the morning…tapering to widely scattered rain showers and mountain flurries in the afternoon. Intervals of sun developing.Blustery with a high around 40. Northwest winds 10 to 25 mph and gusty.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Evening clouds then clearing & partially moonlit. A low in the upper 20s to around 30. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph gradually diminishing.

SATURDAY: Partly to mostly sunny. A high in the low 40s. Light west winds.

Looking further ahead…

SATURDAY NIGHT: Scattered clouds and partially moonlit skies. A low near 35.

SUNDAY: Sunny & gorgeous. A high in the upper 40s to near 50.

Full Beaver Super-Moon 8:53 AM Monday

MONDAY: Mostly sunny. A low around 32. A high near 55.

TUESDAY: Sunshine giving way to high clouds in the afternoon. A low 32 to 35. A high 45 to 50.

WEDNESDAY: Cloudy and gray. A rising chance for showers or rain in the afternoon. A low in the upper 30s. A high near 45.

Average lows mid 20s to about 30. Normal highs in the mid to upper 40s

(Confidence factor: 5 = Good predictability 1 = shaky modeling lowered confidence)

RH/11-10[end]

Updated Thursday morning forecast & WX notes — November 10th, 2016

· First “Climate Militia” in the world? Stay tuned – No joke we moved beyond word games and Patti-cake.

· Going backward on fossil fuels using coal = acid rain, mountain top mining, coal ash, can’t do this. Curbing renewables for politically weak minded, we need to back up some of our politicians so they get a spine. Anger will be focused like a laser beam.

· Think Sea Shepherd if it comes to this.

· 382nd month undergoing consecutively earth temperatures above normal, Ohio Valley down-winders to pollute cross borders — resist and fight like hell.

· Why do we let them pollute our atmosphere, as their open sewer without ramification? We pay from droughts, storms as a Carbon tax on us we pay dearly in Vermont.

· No snow for winter tourist economy – directly related to impacts of rising CO2 and the interaction of changeable jet streams we react politically and ….otherwise.

TODAY: A few high clouds otherwise sunny. A high in the mid 40s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.

TONIGHT: Clear in the evening. Clouding up overnight with a rising chance for a rain shower. A low 35 to 40. West to southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.

FRIDAY: Mixed clouds and intervals of sunshine, blustery and raw. Scattered wet snow showers…mixed with rain valley floors. Little to no accumulation. A high 40 to 45. Northwest winds 10 to 25 mph and gusty.

Looking further ahead…

FRIDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. A low in the upper 20s.

SATURDAY: More sun than clouds, blustery and cool. A high in the upper 30s to low 40s.

SUNDAY: Sunny and a beauty. A low 30 to 35. A high in the upper 40s to near 50.

Full Beaver Super-Moon 8:53 AM Monday

MONDAY: High cloudiness but otherwise lots of sunshine. A low around 32. A high 50 to 55.

TUESDAY: Sunshine giving way to more clouds later in the day. A low near 35. A high in the low to mid 50s.

WEDNESDAY: Cloudy with a chance for rain or showers. A low 35 to 40. A high 40 to 45.

Average lows mid 20s to about 30. Normal highs in the mid to upper 40s

(Confidence factor: 5 = Good predictability 1 = shaky modeling lowered confidence)

RH/11-10[end]

Updated Wednesday evening Weather — November 9th, 2016

TONIGHT: Becoming partly cloudy. A low in the upper 20s to low 30s. Light northwest winds.

TOMORROW: A few high clouds otherwise mostly sunny. A high in the mid 40s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Clear in the evening. Clouding up overnight with a rising chance for a rain shower. A low 35 to 40. West to southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.

FRIDAY: Mixed clouds and intervals of sunshine, blustery and raw. Scattered wet snow showers…mixed with rain valley floors. Little to no accumulation. A high 40 to 45. Northwest winds 10 to 25 mph and gusty.

Looking further ahead…

FRIDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. A low in the upper 20s.

SATURDAY: Mixed clouds and sun, blustery and chilly. A high near 40.

SUNDAY: Mostly sunny. A low around 35. A high in the upper 40s.

Full Beaver Super-Moon 8:53 AM Monday

MONDAY: Lots of clouds. A low around 32. A high in the mid 50s.

TUESDAY: Partly to mostly cloudy. A low near 35. A high in the mid 50s.

Average lows mid 20s to about 30. Normal highs in the mid to upper 40s

(Confidence factor: 5 = Good predictability 1 = shaky modeling lowered confidence)

RH/11-9[end]

Updated Tuesday Evening Forecast Election Day — November 8th, 2016

TONIGHT: Fair this evening with high clouds. Clouds lowering and thickening overnight with a rising chance for rain showers. A low mid to upper 30s. Little wind.

TOMORROW: Mostly cloudy. Scattered light rain showers transitioning to wet snowflakes later in the afternoon before drying up. A high in the low 40s. Winds becoming northwesterly 10 to 20 mph.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Becoming partly cloudy. A low in the upper 20s to low 30s. Light northwest winds.

THURSDAY: Filtered sunshine through high clouds. A high in the mid 40s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.

Looking further ahead…

THURSDAY NIGHT: Fair in the evening. Clouding up overnight with a rising chance for a rain shower. A low around 35.

FRIDAY: Mostly cloudy, blustery and raw. Scattered wet snow showers…mixed with rain valley floors. A dusting to less than an inch grassy surfaces. A high in the upper 30s to about 40.

SATURDAY: Mixed clouds and sun, blustery and chilly. A low in the mid to upper 20s. A high in the mid 30s.

SUNDAY: Mostly sunny. A low around 30. A high in the upper 40s.

MONDAY: Lots of clouds. A low around 32. A high in the low 50s.

TUESDAY: Partly to mostly cloudy. A low 32 to 35. A high in the mid 50s.

Average lows mid 20s to about 30. Normal highs in the mid to upper 40s

(Confidence factor: 5 = Good predictability 1 = shaky modeling lowered confidence)

RH/11-8[end]

Updated Monday Evening forecast — November 7th, 2016

TONIGHT: Mostly clear. A low around 30. Little wind.

TOMORROW Election Day: Pick of the week. Sunshine giving way to high clouds late. A high 55 to 60. Light south winds.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Thickening clouds. A rising chance for rain showers, with a slight risk for mixed precipitation around daybreak. A low mid to upper 30s. Little wind.

WEDNESDAY: Mostly cloudy. Slight risk for mixed precipitation in the early, otherwise occasional rain showers tapering off in the afternoon. A high 40 to 45. Northwest winds 10 to occasionally 20 mph.

Looking further ahead…

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Becoming partly cloudy. A low near 30.

THURSDAY: Filtered sunshine through high clouds. A high 45 to 50.

FRIDAY: Scattered rain and snow showers with some minor accumulation in the higher terrain. Periods of sun developing in the afternoon way from the mountains. Blustery and raw. Temperatures falling from the 40s into the 30s.

SATURDAY: A few mountain clouds, otherwise a lot of sunshine but blustery and cold. A low in the 20s. A high in the mid to upper 30s.

SUNDAY: Partly sunny. A low in the upper 20s. A high in the mid 40s.

Average lows mid 20s to about 30. Normal highs in the mid to upper 40s

(Confidence factor: 5 = Good predictability 1 = shaky modeling lowered confidence)

RH/11-7[end]