Updated Monday morning Forecast & WX Notes — November 7th, 2016

· Spectacular November Weather days today, and Tuesday Election day will not give you any excuses to do your civic duty and do it with gusto – the planet hangs in the balance with 383 consecutive months of above average planetary temperatures and business as usual 400 ppt plus carbon dioxide is having its effect.

· Register your vote tomorrow Tuesday with gusto – right down to the local level – the planet is counting on you and this is no joking matter.

· High pressure dominates until a weather system pushes in late Tuesday night and Wednesday and brings a quick shot of rain showers, possibly mixed precip types for the morning drive…but this depend on ground temperatures.

· Biggest weather maker arrives with blustery colder weather Thursday night-Friday with gusty northwest winds possibly exceeding 40 mph with minor wet snow high terrain.

TODAY: Blue skies and bright Autumn sunshine. A high 45 to 50. Little wind.

TONIGHT: Mostly clear. A low near 32. Little wind.

TUESDAY Election Day: Pick of the week. Sunshine giving way to high clouds later in the afternoon. A high in the mid 50s. Light south winds.

Looking further ahead…

TUESDAY NIGHT: Thickening clouds. A rising chance for rain showers, with a slight risk for mixed precipitation around daybreak. A low near 35.

WEDNESDAY: Slight risk for mixed precipitation in the early morning, otherwise scattered rain showers tapering off in the afternoon. A high 40 to 45.

THURSDAY: Filtered sunshine through high clouds. A low near 30. A high around 50.

FRIDAY: Scattered rain and snow showers with some minor accumulation in the higher terrain. Periods of sun developing in the afternoon way from the mountains. Blustery and raw. Temperatures falling from the 40s into the 30s.

SATURDAY: A few mountain clouds, otherwise a lot of sunshine but blustery and cold. A low in the 20s. A high in the mid to upper 30s.

SUNDAY: Partly sunny. A low in the upper 20s. A high in the mid 40s.

Average lows mid 20s to about 30. Normal highs in the mid to upper 40s

(Confidence factor: 5 = Good predictability 1 = shaky modeling lowered confidence)

RH/11-7[end]

updated Friday Evening forecast — November 4th, 2016

TONIGHT: Mostly clear in the evening. Partly cloudy overnight with a threat for a few flurries with a dusting in spots. Cold A low upper 20s to around 30. Light winds.

TOMORROW: Mostly cloudy. Scattered mountain flurries and valley sprinkles, mainly northern areas. A high in the mid 40s. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy with widely scattered flurries or sprinkles. A low in the mid 30s. Northwest winds 10 mph

Time Change – Fall back 1 hour to EST…

SUNDAY: Clouds with a chance for sprinkles valley floors and wet snow flakes in the hills through early afternoon, then partial clearing. A high 40 to 45. North winds 10 to 15 mph.

Looking further ahead…

SUNDAY NIGHT: Becoming mostly clear. A low in the upper 20s.

MONDAY: Blue skies and bright sunshine. A high 45 to 50.

TUESDAY Election Day: Partly to mostly sunny early then thickening clouds with a chance for rain showers late. A low near 32. A high in the mid 50s.

WEDNESDAY: Partly to mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. A low near 35. A high in the low 40s.

THURSDAY: Mixed sun and clouds. A low near 32. A high 50 to 55.

Average lows upper 20s to about 30. Normal highs in the mid 40s to about 50

(Confidence factor: 5 = Good predictability 1 = shaky modeling lowered confidence)

RH/11-4[end]

Updated Friday morning Forecast and WX Notes

· Colder overall weather this weekend with frequent small annoying disturbances that result with little fanfare other than clouds, valley sprinkles and mountain snow flakes.

· Best day coming and likely to be the pick of next week is Monday.

· Election Day weather no issues …. in the weather … the body politic … cannot vouch potential mind blowing results. Brace yourselves.

TODAY: Chance for a few wet snowflakes in the mountains and toward Champlain Valley this morning. Periods of sunshine increasing this afternoon. Blustery and colder. Temperatures in the upper 30s to low 40s. Northwest winds 10 to 20 mph.

TONIGHT: Mostly clear in the evening. Partly cloudy overnight with a threat for a few flurries with a dusting in spots. Cold A low upper 20s to around 30. Light winds.

SATURDAY: Mostly cloudy. Scattered mountain flurries and valley sprinkles, mainly northern areas. A high in the mid 40s. Northwest winds 10 mph.

Looking further ahead…

SATURDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy with widely scattered flurries or sprinkles. A low in the mid 30s.

Time Change – Fall back 1 hour to EST…

SUNDAY: Clouds with a chance for sprinkles valley floors and wet snow flakes in the hills. A high low 40s.

MONDAY: Blue skies and bright sunshine. A low in the upper 20s. A high 45 to 50.

TUESDAY Election Day: Partly to mostly sunny early then thickening clouds with a chance for rain showers late. A low near 30. A high in the mid to upper 50s.

WEDNESDAY: Partly to mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. A low 35 to 40. A high in the 40 to 45.

THURSDAY: Mixed sun and clouds. A low near 32. A high near 55.

Average lows upper 20s to about 30. Normal highs in the mid 40s to about 50

(Confidence factor: 5 = Good predictability 1 = shaky modeling lowered confidence)

RH/11-4[end]

Updated Thursday Evening Forecast — November 3rd, 2016

TONIGHT: Mostly cloudy. A period of snow showers and flurries developing after midnight. A low near 35. Winds becoming northwesterly 10 to 20 mph overnight.

TOMORROW: Chance for a few wet snowflakes in the mountains early, then intervals of sunshine developing in the afternoon. Blustery and colder. A high upper 30s to about 40. Northwest winds 10 to 20 mph.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear in the evening. Partly cloudy overnight with a threat for a few flurries with a dusting in spots. Cold A low upper 20s to around 30. Light winds.

SATURDAY: Mostly cloudy. Scattered mountain flurries and valley sprinkles. A high in the mid 40s. Northwest winds 10 mph.

Looking further ahead…

SATURDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy with widely scattered flurries or sprinkles. A low in the mid 30s.

Time Change – Fall back 1 hour to EST…

SUNDAY: Clouds with a chance for sprinkles valley floors and wet snow flakes in the hills. A high low 40s.

MONDAY: Filtered sunshine with high clouds. A low in the upper 20s. A high in the mid 40s.

TUESDAY: Partly to mostly sunny. A low near 30. A high 50 to 55.

WEDNESDAY: Overcast and gray. Chance for rain or showers. A low 35 to 40. A high in the 40 to 45.

THURSDAY: Mixed sun and clouds. A low near 32. A high near 50.

Average lows upper 20s to about 30. Normal highs in the mid 40s to about 50

(Confidence factor: 5 = Good predictability 1 = shaky modeling lowered confidence)

RH/11-3[end]

Updated Thursday morning Forecast & WX Notes — November 3rd, 2016

· Much needed rainfall today falling moderate times mid day to early afternoon then tapering off to scattered showers late.

· A secondary disturbance will trail and move through after midnight into Friday morning where snow may accumulate up to an inch on grassy surfaces overnight above about 1500 ft. watch those elevated routes for coatings of snow.

· Friday blustery northwest winds 10 to 25 mph will pull in drier air and break up the cloud cover in the afternoon for some intervals of sun or even better.

· The weekend so-so and colder but a few more disturbances will keep clouds predominant along with more scattered or isolated flurries in the mountains.

· More 50s around the corner as a giant ridge of higher pressure works across the central and eastern U.S. next week with extraordinary warmth yet again.

TODAY: Overcast and gray. Rain…moderate at times mid day, tapering to scattered showers later this afternoon. Areas of fog. Temperatures 45 to 50 degrees. Wind becoming northwesterly 10 mph late.

TONIGHT: Mostly cloudy. A period of snow showers and flurries developing after midnight. A low near 35. Winds becoming northwesterly 10 to 15 mph.

FRIDAY: Chance for a few wet snowflakes in the mountains early, then breaks or intervals of sun developing later on. Rather cold and blustery with a high upper 30s. Northwest winds 10 to 25 mph.

Looking further ahead…

FRIDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear in the evening then partly cloudy overnight with a threat for a few flurries. Cold A low 25 to 30.

SATURDAY: More clouds than sunshine with few mountain flurries. A high in the mid 40s

Time Change – Fall back 1 hour to EST…

SUNDAY: Variable clouds. with a chance for sprinkles or rain showers valley floors and wet snow flakes in the hills. A low in the mid 30s. A high 40 to 45.

MONDAY: Filtered sunshine with high clouds. A low in the upper 20s. A high in the upper 40s to near 50.

TUESDAY: Periods of sun mixed with clouds. A low near 32. A high in the low to mid 50s.

WEDNESDAY: Lots of clouds with scattered rain showers exiting in the afternoon. Temperatures in the 40s.

THURSDAY: Mixed sun and clouds. A low 30 to 35. A high in the 50s.

Average lows upper 20s to about 30. Normal highs in the mid 40s to about 50

(Confidence factor: 5 = Good predictability 1 = shaky modeling lowered confidence)

RH/11-3[end]

Updated Wednesday Evening forecast — November 2nd, 2016

TONIGHT: Clouding up with a chance for a few light showers after midnight. A low in the mid 40s. Little wind.

TOMORROW: Overcast and gray with periods of rain tapering to scattered showers late. Areas of fog. Temperatures holding about 45 to 50 degrees. Wind becoming northwesterly 10 mph late.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Partly to mostly cloudy. Chance for lingering sprinkles and mountain flurries. A low near 35. Light northwest winds.

FRIDAY: Chance for a few wet snowflakes in the mountains early, then breaks or intervals of sun developing later on. Rather cold and blustery with a high upper 30s. Northwest winds 10 to 25 mph.

Looking further ahead…

FRIDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear and cold. A low 25 to 30.

SATURDAY: More clouds than sunshine. A high 40 to 45.

SUNDAY: Variable clouds. with a chance for sprinkles or rain showers valley floors and wet snow flakes in the hills. A low in the mid 30s. A high 40 to 45.

MONDAY: Filtered sunshine with high clouds. A low near 30. A high around 50.

TUESDAY: Periods of sun mixed with clouds. Chance for a late day rain shower. A low near 35. A high in the low 50s.

Average lows upper 20s to about 30. Normal highs in the mid 40s to about 50

(Confidence factor: 5 = Good predictability 1 = shaky modeling lowered confidence)

RH/11-2[end]

Updated Wednesday morning forecast & WX notes — November 2nd, 2016

· Breaks or intervals of sunshine will uptick our local temperatures and make for highs approaching 60 otherwise 55 to 60 for most of the region today.

· Lighter rain showers will advance across Vermont before a more potent weather system provides us with a pretty decent soaker all day Thursday.

· Thursday night transitions to wet snow showers but this looks less worrisome for valley floors seeing much if any accumulations. Still, you know the drill, higher terrain could see a smidge maybe up to an inch at the summits.

· Yucky blasé weather but with frequent shots of light precipitation over the next ten days most of this without much threat for driving in freezing/frozen precip going into mid November.

· 382nd consecutive month above normal for planet earth – vote accordingly or celebrate a planetary death wish – it’s out of my hands I can only report…

TODAY: Mainly cloudy and damp in the morning with a chance for sprinkles. Much milder this afternoon with a few intervals of sun possible. A high 55 to 60. Light west winds.

TONIGHT: Clouding up with a chance for a few light showers after midnight. A low in the mid 40s. Little wind.

THURSDAY: Overcast and gray with a soaking rain. Areas of fog. Temperatures holding about 45 degrees. Wind becoming northwesterly 10 mph late.

Looking further ahead…

THURSDAY NIGHT: Rain…transitioning wet snow showers higher terrain. A risk for a minor coating down to the valley floors. A low around 35.

FRIDAY: Chance for a few wet snowflakes in the mountains early, then breaks or intervals of sun developing later on. Rather cold and blustery with a high mid 30s to around 40.

SATURDAY: More clouds than sunshine. A low around 30. A high in the mid 40s.

SUNDAY: Variable clouds with a chance for sprinkles or rain showers valley floors and wet snow flakes in the hills. A low in the mid 30s. A high around 40.

MONDAY: Filtered sunshine with high clouds. A low around 30. A high 45 to 50.

TUESDAY: Periods of sun mixed with high cloudiness. A low 35 to 40. A high 45 to 50.

Average lows upper 20s to about 30. Normal highs in the mid 40s to about 50

(Confidence factor: 5 = Good predictability 1 = shaky modeling lowered confidence)

RH/11-2[end]

Updated Tuesday Evening Forecast — November 1st, 2016

TONIGHT: Cloudy. Occasional rain showers Barre-Montpelier area north early this evening and again toward morning. A low 35 to 40. South winds 10 mph.

TOMORROW: Mainly cloudy and damp in the morning with chance for sprinkles. Much milder in the afternoon with a few intervals of sun possible. A high 55 to 60. Light west winds.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Clouding up with a chance for a few light showers after midnight. A low 40 to 45. Little wind.

THURSDAY: Overcast and gray with a soaking rain. Areas of fog. A high in the mid 40s. Wind becoming northwesterly 10 mph late.

Looking further ahead…

THURSDAY NIGHT: Rain…transitioning wet snow showers in the evening with a minor coating down to the valley floors. A low 32 to 35.

FRIDAY: Chance for a few wet snowflakes in the mountains early, then breaks or intervals of sun developing later on. Rather cold and blustery with a high mid 30s to around 40.

SATURDAY: More clouds than sunshine. A low around 30. A high in the mid 40s.

SUNDAY: Variable cloudiness. A low in the mid 30s. A high in the mid to upper 40s.

MONDAY: Periods of sunshine. A low in the low to mid 30s. A high in the mid 50s.

TUESDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance for more rain showers. A low 35 to 40. A high 45 to 50.

Average lows upper 20s to about 30. Normal highs in the mid 40s to about 50

(Confidence factor: 5 = Good predictability 1 = shaky modeling lowered confidence)

RH/11-1[end]

Updated Tuesday morning Forecast & WX notes — November 1st, 2016

· Best weather this week for a time today before clouds blow in quickly and the pitter-patter of rain showers develops after about 4 PM across northern areas.

· Central and southern areas escape this for the most part.

· Our weather pattern is one of very fast moving jet stream winds aloft constantly being sheared out with computer modeling having timing difficulties beyond about 36 hours.

· Latest indications are for decent soaker Thursday arriving overnight Wednesday early AM, and tailing off with a little bit of snow. Ground temps will determine where it sticks or just grassy surfaces but with air temperatures a little colder in the latest model guidance……..it could mean snow coated roads Friday morning …… heads up!

TODAY: Partly sunny, then more clouds later in the afternoon. Chance for a few light showers northern areas. Near seasonal temperatures. A high in the upper 40s to around 50. South breeze 10 mph.

TONIGHT: Cloudy. Occasional rain showers Barre-Montpelier area. Areas of fog. A low around 40. South winds 10 mph.

WEDNESDAY: Mainly cloudy and damp in the morning with slight chance for sprinkle. Much milder in the afternoon with a few intervals of sun possible. A high in the 50s. Light west winds.

Looking further ahead…

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Lots of clouds. Slight threat for a shower. A low in the mid 40s.

THURSDAY: Overcast and gray. Chance for periods of rain or showers with wet snow accumulation in the higher terrain overnight. A high in the 40s.

FRIDAY: Morning wet snow showers especially higher terrain some minor coatings possible down to valley floors giving way to increasing afternoon sunshine. A low around 32. A high 35 to 40.

SATURDAY: Sunshine filtered by high clouds. A low 25 to 30. A high in the 40s.

SUNDAY: Variable cloudiness. Slight chance for a northern tier shower. A low in the 30s. A high in the low 40s.

Average lows upper 20s to low 30s. Normal highs in the upper 40s to low 50s

(Confidence factor: 5 = Good predictability 1 = shaky modeling lowered confidence)

RH/11-1[end]

Updated Monday Evening Forecast — October 31st, 2016

TONIGHT Halloween Eve: Evening clouds then clearing and chilly. Temperatures in the upper 30s for trick-or-treaters. An overnight low settles in the mid 20s to about 30. Little wind.

TOMORROW: Partly sunny, then more clouds later in the afternoon with scattered light showers. Near seasonal temperatures. A high in the upper 40s pushing 50. South breeze 10 mph.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. Occasional rain showers. areas of fog. A low around 40. South winds 10 mph.

WEDNESDAY: Mainly cloudy and damp in the morning with slight chance for sprinkle. Much milder in the afternoon with a few intervals of sun possible. A high in the mid to upper 50s. Light west winds.

Looking further ahead…

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. A low in the mid 40s.

THURSDAY: Overcast and gray. Chance for periods of rain or showers with wet snow accumulation in the higher terrain overnight. A high in the low 50s.

FRIDAY: Morning wet snow showers especially higher terrain some minor coatings possible down to valley floors giving way to increasing afternoon sunshine. A low in the mid 30s. A high in the 40s.

SATURDAY: Sunshine filtered by high clouds. A low in the 20s. A high in the 40s.

Average lows upper 20s to low 30s. Normal highs in the upper 40s to low 50s

(Confidence factor: 5 = Good predictability 1 = shaky modeling lowered confidence)

RH/10-31[end]