Updated Tuesday morning Forecast & WX Notes — February 14th, 2017 Valentine’s day

· Decent day today but always never-ending flurry activity (Lake Effect Climate change – Surface lake temps warm enough to emit moisture well into late winter these days…)

· Below…next weather system nosing in with light flurry, snow shower activity around midnight and after with “snow coated roads likely” Wednesday morning commute.

· Below evolution of storm system winds up and Atlantic moisture conveyor tracks back into interior New England with a moisture tongue into Vermont’s Northeast Kingdom…and lesser moisture otherwise rest of Vermont.

Net result is moderate snowfall Essex, Orleans and Caledonia counties…

· Net results as advertised by European modeling..

· Below Higher pressure builds to our west but blustery conditions Friday still qualifies as the pick of the week (DRY!)

And for the weekend —

TODAY: Partly sunny. Chance for a mid day flurry or two. A high in the upper 20s. Light winds.

Winter Storm Watch Caledonia, Essex and Orleans Counties – late overnight through Thursday Morning…

TONIGHT: Mainly cloudy. Snow showers likely developing after midnight with accumulation of an inch or less. A low around 20. Southeast winds 10 mph.

WEDNESDAY: Mainly cloudy. Periods of accumulating snow or snow showers. with 1 to locally 4 ” accumulation with the most Northeast Kingdom. A high near 32. Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.

Looking Further ahead…

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Periods of snow. Total accumulation 3 to 9” with the most toward Essex County. A low in the low 20s.

THURSDAY: Scattered leftover light snow showers or flurries winding down in the afternoon. A high around 25.

FRIDAY: Pick of the week – Morning clouds then mostly sunny. A low around 15. A high in the mid 20s.

SATURDAY: Fair and a little milder with variable high clouds. A low in the single digits. A high around 35.

SUNDAY: Lots of sunshine and milder. Possible sap run. A low in the 20s. A high in the 40s.

Average lows in the mid single digits to low teens. Normal highs in the upper 20s to low 30s.

RH/2-14[end]

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