Updated Friday morning Forecast and WX Notes — November 18th, 2016

· Today and Saturday – par excellence in Weather with temperatures running about 8 to 15 degrees above seasonal normal’s slightly warmer Saturday.

· Major weather changes thereafter with a rain to wet snow transition beginning overnight Saturday night and into Sunday. By Sunday afternoon/evening it should accumulating down to valley floors with a greasy/icy Monday morning commute!

· Temperatures more like late December will bring us winter travel issues early next week, with a break in the action for WEDNESDAY, as a ridge of higher pressure crosses overhead. THIS IS LIKELY YOU BEST TRAVEL DAY!

· THANKSGIVING — some minor snow showers/spotty mixed precip could also hamper travel.

· IS THIS WINTER FROM HERE INTO CHRISTMAS HOLIDAY? So-So… likely some warm ups with more of an oscillation between warm and cold. Jet stream energy will be La Nina like with a storm track near or north of the Canadian border bring both warm and cold phases as storm systems pass through this melts snow and brings = ICE.

TODAY: A few morning clouds gives way to blue skies and bright sunshine, milder. A high near 55.Little wind.

TONIGHT: Clear & partially moonlit. A low around 35. Little wind.

SATURDAY: Blue skies and bright sunshine.A high 55 to 60.Southeast 10 mph.

Looking further ahead…

SATURDAY NIGHT: Fair early then thickening clouds. Periods of rain likely developing overnight, mixing with wet snow flakes above 1500 ft. A low near 35.

SUNDAY: Cloudy and gray. Periods of rain…transitioning to accumulating wet snow eventually down to valley floors. A dusting to locally 4” with the most above 1500 feet elevation. Temperatures in the mid to upper 30s falling toward freezing mark late.

MONDAY: Considerable cloudiness. Occasional light accumulating snow or snow showers with additional minor accumulation making for slick travel.A low in the mid 20s. A high near 32.

TUESDAY: Mostly cloudy, blustery and cold. Scattered snow showers or flurries exiting in the afternoon. A low in the mid 20s. A high in the low 30s.

WEDNESDAY: Considerable cloudiness. A low 20 to 25. A high 32 to 35.

THURSDAY Thanksgiving Day: Mostly cloudy. Chance for mainly mountain snow showers. A risk for spotty mixed precipitation.A low in the 20s. A high in the upper 30s

Average lows mid 20s. Normal highs in the low to mid 40s

(Confidence factor: 5 = Good predictability 1 = shaky modeling lowered confidence)

RH/11-18[end]

Leave a comment