Updated Tuesday Evening forecast — October 4th, 2016

TONIGHT: Mostly clear. Considerable valley fog. A low in the mid 40s. Little wind. (5)

TOMORROW: Mostly sunny and gorgeous after morning fog and low clouds. A high in the mid 60s. Little wind. (5)

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Patchy valley fog. A low near 45. Little wind. (5)

THURSDAY: Bright autumn sunshine after morning fog. A high in the low 70s. Light west winds. (4)

Looking further ahead…

THURSDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Patchy valley fog. A low near 50. (4)

FRIDAY: Bright autumn sunshine and well above normal temperatures, after morning fog. A high in the mid 70s. (3)

SATURDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance for showers. A low 50 to 55. A high in the low 70s. (2)

SUNDAY: Mainly cloudy and becoming breezy. Slight chance for showers far southern areas. A low 45 to 50. A high in the upper 50s to low 60s. (2)

Average lows in the upper 30s to low 40s. Normal highs in the lower 60s.

(Confidence factor: 5 = Good predictability 1 = shaky modeling lowered confidence)

RH/10-3 [end]

Updated Tuesday morning Forecast & WX Notes — October 4th, 2016

· We’ll start this morning into the early afternoon with more drip drip drip…but begin to dry out considerably later on today with beautiful “sunbursts” for those of you leaf-peeping.

· A stretch of gorgeous weather and temperatures moderating into the low and mid 70s to be achieved by Thursday.

· Matthew this morning a Category 4 monster hurricane with max winds at 145 mph was currently devastating the western tip of Haiti with Cuba next, followed by the Bahamas.

· A slow turn toward the NW. will put Matthew in a position to affect Florida, GA. SC. NC. later this week.

· Much too early to get a confident track on Matthew as it pulls away from Cape Hatteras region. But 250 nautical mile circulation means parts of New England may feel it later this weekend or early next week.

· Meanwhile higher pressure will guard us from inclement weather with a very comfortable stretch of good project weather going through the end of this week.

TODAY: Widely scattered light showers or sprinkles through mid day, otherwise clouds giving way to intervals of mid to late afternoon sunshine. A high near 65. Light southeast winds. (5)

TONIGHT: Mostly clear. Considerable valley fog. A low in the mid 40s. Little wind. (5)

WEDNESDAY: Mostly sunny and gorgeous after morning fog and low clouds. A high in the mid 60s. Little wind. (5)

Looking further ahead…

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Patchy valley fog. A low near 45. (4)

THURSDAY: Bright autumn sunshine after morning fog. A high in the low 70s. (3)

FRIDAY: Bright autumn sunshine and well above normal temperatures, after morning fog. A low near 50. A high in the mid 70s. (3)

SATURDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance for showers. A low 50 to 55. A high in the low 70s. (2)

SUNDAY: Mainly cloudy and becoming breezy. Slight chance for showers far southern areas. A low 45 to 50. A high in the upper 50s to low 60s. (2)

Average lows in the upper 30s to low 40s. Normal highs in the lower 60s.

(Confidence factor: 5 = Good predictability 1 = shaky modeling lowered confidence)

RH/10-3 [end]

Updated Monday evening forecast — October 3rd, 2016

TONIGHT: Mainly cloudy. Chance for a few sprinkles. Patchy valley fog. A low 50 to 55. Light southeast winds. (5)

TOMORROW: Widely scattered light showers or sprinkles through mid day, otherwise lots of clouds giving way to intervals of afternoon sunshine. A high in the mid 60s. Light southeast winds. (5)

TUESDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Considerable valley fog. A low in the mid 40s. Little wind. (5)

WEDNESDAY: Mostly sunny and gorgeous after morning fog and low clouds. A high 65 to 70. Little wind. (4)

Looking further ahead…

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Patchy valley fog. A low near 45. (4)

THURSDAY: Bright autumn sunshine after morning fog. A high 70 to 75. (3)

FRIDAY: Bright autumn sunshine and well above normal temperatures, after morning fog. A low 50 to 55. A high in the mid 70s. (2)

SATURDAY: Chance for late day showers, maybe a rumble of thunder. A low in the 50s. A high in the mid 70s. (2)

Average lows in the upper 30s to low 40s. Normal highs in the lower 60s.

(Confidence factor: 5 = Good predictability 1 = shaky modeling lowered confidence)

RH/10-3 [end]

Roger Hill

Weathering Heights Consulting

186 MacKenzie Dr.

Worcester VT 05682

For me, it is far better to grasp the Universe as it really is than to persist in delusion, however satisfying and reassuring. ~ Carl Sagan

Updated Monday Morning Forecast & WX notes — October 3rd, 2016

· Upper level trough of low pressure to continue our drizzly sprinkley weekend weather before slightly drier air develops Tuesday afternoon but a slow warming trend is upon us.

· A transition to excellent weather conditions Tuesday night and morning fog burns off Wednesday will bring great weather projects and recreational opportunities check out the Fall Foliage mid to late week.

· Fair weather high pressure will allow for moderating temperatures into the 70s – should feel fantastic with above normal temperatures much of this week.

· Matthew as a Cat. 4 hurricane to gradually weaken some will be with us for over the next week. Most model tracks take it close to Cape Hatteras NC late in the week or this weekend.

· Chances for Matthew to affect Vermont were low but changes in the projected track will be all too important.

TODAY: Mainly cloudy. Spotty drizzle this morning with widely scattered showers this afternoon. Maybe a rumble of thunder toward S. Vermont. Start of a warming trend with a high 60 to 65. Winds becoming light and northerly. (5)

TONIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Slight chance for a sprinkle. Patchy valley fog. A low in the mid 50s. little wind. (5)

TUESDAY: An isolated sprinkle otherwise lots of clouds with a few breaks of afternoon sun. A high around 65. Light south breeze. (5)

Looking further ahead…

TUESDAY NIGHT: Scattered clouds. Considerable valley fog. A low in the mid 40s. (4)

WEDNESDAY: Mostly sunny and gorgeous after morning fog. A high in the upper 60s to around 70. (3)

THURSDAY: Bright autumn sunshine after morning fog. A low near 45. A high in the mid 70s. (2)

FRIDAY: Bright autumn sunshine and well above normal temperatures, after morning fog. A low around 55. A high in the mid to upper 70s. (2)

Average lows in the upper 30s to low 40s. Normal highs in the lower 60s.

(Confidence factor: 5 = Good predictability 1 = shaky modeling lowered confidence)

RH/10-3 [end]

Updated Friday Night Forecast — September 30th, 2016

TONIGHT: Lots of clouds. Widely scattered showers possible overnight more numerous southern areas. A low near 50. Light southeast winds. (5)

TOMORROW: Clouds with a few breaks of sun. A chance for an isolated hit or miss shower. A high upper 50s. Southeast breeze 10 mph. (5)

SATURDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. An isolated shower or two possible. A low in the low 50s. Light southeast winds. (4)

SUNDAY: Mainly gray. Good chance for showers by the afternoon. Cooler and damp with a high in the mid 50s. Light southeast winds. (4)

Looking further ahead…

SUNDAY NIGHT: Overcast with a few lingering showers. A low near 50. (4)

MONDAY: Cloudy with occasional showers. A high 55 to 60. (3)

TUESDAY: Maybe a leftover morning sprinkle, then partial afternoon sunshine. A low 50 to 55. A high 60 to 65. (2)

WEDNESDAY: Partly to mostly sunny. A low in the mid 40s. A high in the mid 60s. (2)

THURSDAY: Mostly sunny. A low 40 to 45. A high in the mid 60s. (2)

Average lows in the low 40s. Normal highs in the low 60s.

(Confidence factor: 5 = Good predictability 1 = shaky modeling lowered confidence)

RH/9-30 [end]

Updated Friday morning Forecast & WX Notes — September 30th, 2016

· Periodic cloud cover roughly south of the Barre Montpelier area and cloudiest near the Mass. Line where a few showers will occasionally move through.

· Northern areas to see yet one more pretty decent day with more sun than cloud cover.

· The big swirling weather system will track further north and its influence will increase tonight and Saturday. This means more clouds, more showers and some much needed rainfall but coming in pieces incrementally.

· No washout for sure Saturday, Sunday to see more rain showers occasionally move through the area. Steadiest precip Sunday night and into Tuesday morning.

· MATTHEW – All attention over the weekend will be watching an ever-so-important-turn to the north for Hurricane Mathew which is expected to reach Category 3 hurricane status with gusts 111 to 129 mph!

· This turn could bring relatively close to the east coast after crossing near Jamaica, Cuba and the Bahamas.

TODAY: Mixed sun and clouds northern areas, with more clouds to the south. Maybe a shower far southern areas late. A high in the mid 60s. Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph. (5)

TONIGHT: Partly cloudy far northern areas. Otherwise lots of clouds. A few showers toward Rutland. A low near 50. Light southeast winds. (5)

SATURDAY: Mainly cloudy. Isolated to widely scattered showers especially eastern areas. A high upper 50s to low 60s. Southeast breeze 10 mph. (5)

Looking further ahead…

SATURDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Chance for showers especially eastern areas. A low in the upper 40s. (4)

SUNDAY: Lots of clouds. Chance for showers. A high in the mid 50s. (4)

MONDAY: Cloudy. Chance for a showers. Slight chance for a rumble or two of thunder. A low near 50. A high in the mid 50s. (3)

TUESDAY: Chance for morning showers exiting to partly to mostly sunny skies in the afternoon. A low around 50. A high near 60. (2)

WEDNESDAY: Partly to mostly sunny. A low in the 40s. A high in the mid 60s. (2)

THURSDAY: Mostly sunny. A low around 40. A high in the mid 60s to near 70. (2)

Average lows in the low 40s. Normal highs in the low 60s.

(Confidence factor: 5 = Good predictability 1 = shaky modeling lowered confidence)

RH/9-29 [end]

Updated Thursday Evening forecast — September 29th, 2016

TONIGHT: Clear early then turning partly cloudy. A low ranging through the 40s. Light east winds. (5)

TOMORROW: Partly to mostly sunny northern areas, with more clouds to the south. Maybe a shower far southern areas late. A high in the mid 60s. Light southeast winds. (5)

FRIDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy northern areas otherwise lots of clouds chance for showers far southern areas. A low around 45. Light southeast winds. (5)

SATURDAY: Considerable clouds. Widely scattered showers in the afternoon especially eastern areas. A high around 60. Southeast breeze 10 mph. (4)

Looking further ahead…

SATURDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Chance for showers especially eastern areas. A low in the upper 40s. (4)

SUNDAY: Lots of clouds. Chance for showers. A high upper50s to near 60. (3)

MONDAY: Cloudy. Chance for a showers. Slight chance for a rumble or two of thunder. A low near 50. A high near 60. (3)

TUESDAY: Chance for morning showers exiting to partly to mostly sunny skies in the afternoon. A low around 50. A high near 60. (2)

WEDNESDAY: Partly to mostly sunny. Isolated frost possible. A low 35 to 40. A high in the mid 60s. (2)

Average lows in the low 40s. Normal highs in the low 60s.

(Confidence factor: 5 = Good predictability 1 = shaky modeling lowered confidence)

RH/9-29 [end]

Updated Thursday Morning Forecast & WX Notes

· Periodic clouds will make it into central and southern parts of the state from time to time with the most sunshine across northern areas for both today and again Friday.

· Clouds with widely scattered showers move in Saturday, but much of Saturday to be dry central and northern areas until the afternoon.

· Sunday to feature a mostly dry morning, then more showers pushing into Vermont from the west and south with a about quarter of an inch rainfall but moderate at times later in the afternoon.

· The bulk of rain will fall Sunday night through Monday into Monday night.

· Tuesday appears to be a transition weather day from morning showers to periods of afternoon sunshine and drying out stretch for middle of next week.

TODAY: Fog burns off to partly to mostly sunny skies. More clouds across southern areas. A high in the mid to upper 60s. Light east winds. (5)

TONIGHT: Partly to mostly cloudy. A low ranging through the 40s. Light east winds. (5)

FRIDAY: Partly to mostly sunny northern areas, with more clouds to the south. Maybe a shower far southern areas late. A high in the mid to upper 60s. Light southeast winds. (5)

Looking further ahead…

FRIDAY NIGHT: Becoming mostly cloudy. A low 45 to 50. (4)

SATURDAY: Considerable clouds. Widely scattered showers in the afternoon. A high in the upper 50s. (3)

SUNDAY: Lots of clouds and a little cooler. Chance for showers. A low near 50. A high upper50s to near 60. (2)

MONDAY: Cloudy. Chance for a showers. Slight chance for a rumble or two of thunder. A low near 50. A high near 60. (2)

TUESDAY: Chance for morning showers exiting to partly to mostly sunny skies in the afternoon. A low around 50. A high near 60. (2)

WEDNESDAY: Partly to mostly sunny. Isolated frost possible. A low 35 to 40. A high in the mid 60s.

Average lows 40 to 45. Normal highs 60 to 65.

(Confidence factor: 5 = Good predictability 1 = shaky modeling lowered confidence)

RH/9-29 [end]

Updated Wednesday Evening forecast — September 28th, 2016

TONIGHT: Partly cloudy Barre-Montpelier area north, otherwise lots of clouds with threat for a southern sprinkle. A low 40 to 45. Light east winds. (5)

TOMORROW: Partly sunny northern areas. More clouds across southern areas. A high in the mid 60s. Light east winds. (5)

THURSDAY NIGHT: Partly to mostly cloudy. A low near 45. Light east winds. (5)

FRIDAY: Partly sunny northern areas, with more clouds to the south with a chance for a few showers. A high in the mid 60s. Light southeast winds. (4)

Looking further ahead…

FRIDAY NIGHT: Clouding up with a rising chance for showers. A low 45 to 50. (4)

SATURDAY: Considerable clouds. Chance for a few showers.. A high in the mid 50s. (3)

SUNDAY: Lots of clouds and a little cooler. Chance for showers. A low near 50. A high near 60. (2)

MONDAY: Cloudy. Chance for a showers. Slight chance for a rumble or two of thunder. A low near 50. A high near 60. (2)

TUESDAY: Cloudy with a chance for showers. Slight chance for a rumble or two of thunder. A low around 50. A high near 60. (2)

Average lows 40 to 45. Normal highs 60 to 65.

(Confidence factor: 5 = Good predictability 1 = shaky modeling lowered confidence)

RH/9-28 [end]

Updated Wednesday morning forecast & WX Notes — September 28th, 2016

· Cloudiness along and east of the Green Mountains will break up some this afternoon northern areas but hang tough across eastern and southern areas.

· A flow of air coming off the Gulf of Maine will keep conditions cooler eastern Vermont but places like the Champlain valley to see less cloud cover and more sunshine and temperatures once again that could reach into the low 70s there.

· Southeastern slopes of Green Mountains likely to have scattered misty sprinkles or spotty drizzle.

· Latest indications for this weekend have cloudier slightly wetter trend ahead that picks up Monday and Tuesday next week where we may be getting some better chances for accumulating rainfall.

· Bottom line SE VT dreary and occasionally wet, northwest VT partly sunny and comfortably mild.

TODAY: Sunshine mixed with cloudy periods especially eastern and southern areas. Chance for spotty light drizzle or sprinkles. A high in the mid 60s. Southeast breeze 10 to 15 mph. (5)

TONIGHT: Partly cloudy Barre-Montpelier area north, otherwise lots of clouds with threat for a southern sprinkle. A low 40 to 45. Light east winds. (5)

THURSDAY: Partly sunny northern areas. More clouds across southern areas. A high in the mid 60s. Light east winds. (4)

Looking further ahead…

THURSDAY NIGHT: Partly to mostly cloudy. A low near 45. (3)

FRIDAY: Partly sunny northern areas, with more clouds to the south with a chance for a few showers. A high in the mid 60s. (2)

SATURDAY: Considerable clouds. Chance for a few showers. A low 45 to 50. A high in the mid 50s. (2)

SUNDAY: Lots of clouds and a little cooler. Chance for showers. A low near 50. A high near 60.

MONDAY: Cloudy. Chance for a showers. A low near 50. A high near 60.

TUESDAY: Cloudy with a chance for showers. A low around 50. A high near 60.

Average lows 40 to 45. Normal highs 60 to 65.

(Confidence factor: 5 = Good predictability 1 = shaky modeling lowered confidence)

RH/9-28 [end]