Roger Hill’s Weathering Heights Forecast October 22, 2024

THIS AFTERNOON: Sunny and abnormally mild. A high in the mid-70s. Light southwest winds.

TONIGHT: Clear skies with patchy valley fog overnight. A low around near 50. South breeze 10 mph.

TOMORROW: Morning fog burns off to a couple high clouds and lots of sunshine. A high near 75. Balmy south to southwest breeze 10 to 15 mph.

Looking further ahead

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Clouding up. Scattered showers developing. A low in the low 40s.

THURSDAY: Morning clouds give way to periods of afternoon sun. A high upper 50s near 60.

FRIDAY: Sunshine then increasing clouds later in the afternoon. A frosty low near 30, a high around 55.

SATURDAY: Partly sunny. Chance for showers mixed with wet snowflakes in the high terrain. A low in the low to mid 30s. A high around 50.

Average low 30 to 35. Average high low to mid 50s

Transition to “Stick Season”

RH/10-22forecast][end]

A quick look at weather trends ahead this week

Zonal flow with more sunshine and abnormally warmer weather continues. We turn the corner mid-week with seasonal conditions.

November, known for its long stretches of cloud cover and dreariness, seems to be around the corner, with minor clouds and precipitation ahead in the form of rain showers.

Roger Hill’s Weathering Heights Forecast October 18^th, 2024

THIS AFTERNOON: Sunny and dry with a warming trend. A high near 60. Light northwest winds.

TONIGHT: Clear & fully moonlit with patchy valley fog overnight. A low 32 to 35 with scattered frost. Little wind.

TOMORROW: Lots of sunshine, milder with a high near 65. Light southwest winds.

Looking further ahead

SATURDAY NIGHT: Clear & moonlit. Isolated patchy valley fog. A low in the low to mid 30s.

SUNDAY: Mostly sunny with high cloudiness. A high in the mid-60s.

MONDAY: Lots of sun with a clouds early. A low 40 to 45, a high pushing 70.

TUESDAY: Mostly sunny. A low 40 to 45. A high in the low 70s.

Average low 30 to 35. Average high low to mid 50s

End of growing season transition to “Stick Season”

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Temperatures have crossed below freezing in just about every location early this morning after a fairly significant chill down arrived a few days ago, and subsidence under high pressure to our west reached the Northeast and New England with clearing skies last night and a free-fall in diurnal temperatures overnight. More frost was possible but overall a warming trend will bring back some of that early Autumn weather, with very dry conditions setting up again.

Weather trends from the current dreariness and some recent higher terrain snowfall to improve with increasingly sunny days, a milder trend possibly into the lower 70s for highs followed by some brief cool downs again but main active part of the jet stream advances north back into Canada.

The jet stream energy lifting northward also related to what is developing with the circumpolar vortex as a stronger (AO) arctic oscillation signal. This temporarily keeps the arctic air bottled up and does not dip down into the U.S. as strongly.

The net effects are milder conditions but still oscillating some to colder weather now and then, but largely above normal in temperature for most of the last half of October. Nothing certain here, but these are the trends.

Overall, I’m still seeing a weaker than normal start to our winter for the months of November and December, with a more back-loaded winter after the holidays ahead.

La Nina plus overheating from fossil fuel burning the main drivers controlling our weather.

10-11 Active weather for mid-October courtesy of the northern branch of the jet stream and slightly more vigorous upper level short waves blasting on thru for what will may be picturesque – partly cloudy unsettled conditions at at times some blasts of wind from the northeast.

Gusty winds will likely change-up the landscape of northern New England stripping leaves off the trees in bulk and ending fall foliage to a transition to stick season.

Blustery conditions bring in slightly colder temperatures aloft heading into early next week, with a few dust-ups from mixed rain showers and wet snow flakes.

I do not see travel issues yet, but it’s a reminder about the annual changeover to winter tires especially those who traverse higher terrain in northern and central Vermont.

Wind gusts that exceed 40 mph, with mostly marginally strong gusts from the northwest affecting mountain tops and slopes of the eastern Green’s will be in play for a few power hits, but nothing extraordinary this weekend.

Leaves will be a flyin….

Valley fog and some touch of frost likely this morning in the coldest locations this Sunday early October morning.

Nice cooler day ahead after the morning chill and fog burns off. Some cloudiness arrives from the northwest with a weak frontal boundary and colder air on light breezes pushes in. This sets the stage for temperatures below normal.

And, we appear to be on track for a few mountain dust-ups of the first snowfall in the highest elevations of the Greens. Leaf-fall in progress likely to be helped along by raindrops tonight into tomorrow. Additionally, cloud cover to linger on some.

Florida is under the gun for TS. Milton powering up into a cat. 2,3 hurricane per latest Hurricane Center projections with an odder west-to-east steering flow making for yet another Gulf side landfall vicinity of Tampa Bay midweek.

About that time, some of the coldest air aloft will have arrived lowering the snowline onto local mountain tops with potential dust-ups for snow without travel issues as rain drops predominate, but mixed with snow pellets at higher elevations. The next video will cover this first snowfall in our ski resorts’ higher terrain.