Updated Monday morning Forecast & Weather Summary — June 13th, 2016

TODAY: Continued damp and chilly with occasional showers, otherwise mainly cloudy with breaks or intervals of sun southern areas. A high around 60. Northwest winds 10 to occasionally 20 mph. (5)

TONIGHT: Lots of clouds with occasional light showers mainly northern areas.A low in the upper 40s to around 50.Light northwest winds. (5)

TUESDAY:. Scattered sprinkles or occasional light showers Northeast Kingdom, otherwise more clouds than sun. A high 65 to 70. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph. (4)

Looking further ahead…

TUESDAY NIGHT: Gradual clearing. Patchy valley fog. A low around 50.(3)

WEDNESDAY: Partly to mostly sunny. A high in the low to mid 70s. (2)

THURSDAY: Filtered sunshine through increasing high clouds. A low 45 to 50. A high in the low 70s. (2)

FRIDAY: Partly cloudy southern areas with lots of sun northern areas. A low 50 to 55. A high in the mid to upper 70s. (2)

Average lows in the low 50s. Normal high in the mid 70s

(Confidence factor: 5 = Good predictability 1 = shaky modeling lowered confidence) RH/6-13

[end]

Updated Friday Evening Forecast — June 10th, 2016

TONIGHT: Becoming mostly clear. Patchy valley fog. A low around 45. Little wind. (5)

TOMORROW: Partial sunshine then clouding up later in the afternoon. A rising chance for late day showers and thunderstorms. Warmer. A high upper 60s to low 70s. light south winds. (5)

SATURDAY NIGHT: Partly to mostly cloudy. Scattered showers and a few evening thunderstorms possible. A low near 55. Winds becoming westerly 10 to 15 mph. (4)

SUNDAY: Morning showers. Mixed clouds and sun, blustery and colder with another round of showers later in the day. Temperatures holding in the 50s. Gusty northwesterly winds 10 to 25 mph with higher gusts. (3)

Looking further ahead…

SUNDAY NIGHT: Scattered mountain showers. A low in the 40s.

MONDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance for a shower toward the Northeast Kingdom.. A high 60 to 65. (2)

TUESDAY: Morning clouds give way to partial sunshine. Continued blustery. Lows 45 to 50. A high 65 to 70. (2)

WEDNESDAY: Partly to mostly sunny. A low near 50. A high upper 60s to around 70. (2)

THURSDAY: Mostly sunny. A low in the mid 40s. A high in the low 70s.

Average lows in the low 50s. Normal high nearing 75.

(Confidence factor: 5 = Good predictability 1 = shaky modeling lowered confidence) RH/6-10

[end]

Updated Friday morning Forecast & Summary — June 10th, 2016

· Transition day today…with our weather a little warmer and a little less cloudy but still influenced by a weather system spinning away to our northeast with lots of clouds dropping in on a northwest flow from Canada.

· A beautiful break develops later tonight into the day on Saturday – great day for recreational opportunities Saturday…though increasingly humid later in the day and Saturday night.

· Humidity pools up ahead of the next potent frontal system to trigger showers and possible thunderstorms…though sketchy, there could be a pretty good light show of some of us.

· Sunday a transition back to very chilly unsettled April like weather through the day. Also gusty northwest winds with a shower threat redeveloping after a morning round of showers. Timing on details in flux a bit – so lowered confidence.

TODAY: Lots of clouds northern mountains, Intervals of sunshine away from the mountains. A high around 60. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph. (5)

TONIGHT: Scattered lingering cloudiness. A low around 45. Little wind. (5)

SATURDAY: More sunshine than clouds. Pleasantly warmer and near seasonable in temperature. A high in the low to mid 70s. Southwest breeze 10 mph. (5)

Looking further ahead…

SATURDAY NIGHT: Variable cloudiness. Scattered showers and possible thunderstorms. A low near 55. (4)

SUNDAY: Morning showers. Mixed clouds and sun, blustery and colder with another round of showers later in the day. Temperatures holding in the 50s. Gusty northwesterly winds. (3)

MONDAY: Lots of clouds with a few breaks of sun. Chance for a shower toward the Northeast Kingdom. A low in the 40s. A high 60 to 65. (2)

TUESDAY: Mostly cloudy northern areas, otherwise becoming partly to mostly sunny. Continued blustery. Lows 45 to 50. A high 65 to 70. (2)

WEDNESDAY: Partly sunny. A low near 50. A high upper 60s to around 70. (2)

Average lows in the low 50s. Normal high nearing 75.

(Confidence factor: 5 = Good predictability 1 = shaky modeling lowered confidence) RH/6-10

[end]

Updated Thursday Evening Forecast — June 9th, 2016

TONIGHT: A few mountain sprinkles northern areas, otherwise partly to mostly cloudy. A low in the mid 40s. Light northwest winds. (5)

TOMORROW: Lots of clouds northern mountains, Intervals of sunshine away from the mountains. A high in the upper 50s. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph. (5)

FRIDAY NIGHT: Scattered lingering cloudiness. A low in the low to mid 40s. Little wind. (4)

SATURDAY: Mixed sun and clouds. Pleasantly warmer and near seasonable in temperature. A high 70 to 75. Southwest breeze 10 mph. (4)

Looking further ahead…

SATURDAY NIGHT: Variable cloudiness with a good chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms especially after midnight. A low near 55. (3)

SUNDAY: Clouds with morning showers. Mixed clouds and sun, blustery and colder with another round of showers possible late. A high 55 to 60. (2)

MONDAY: Clouds mixed with intervals of sunshine. Slight chance for a morning sprinkle. A low in the low 40s. A high in the mid 50s. (2)

TUESDAY: Mostly cloudy northern border areas, otherwise partly to mostly sunny. Continued blustery and cool. Lows 45 to 50. A high in the low 60s. (2)

WEDNESDAY: Partly sunny. A low in the 40s. A high in the 60s. (2)

Average lows in the upper 40s to low 50s. Normal highs 70 to 75.

(Confidence factor: 5 = Good predictability 1 = shaky modeling lowered confidence) RH/6-6

[end]

Updated Thursday morning Forecast — June 9th, 2016

· Coldest weather next several days will be today as temperatures running about 20 degrees below seasonal normal’s and you will feel it as gust northwest winds blow across the region.

· Temperatures tomorrow make a bit of a rebound into the upper 50s to lower 60s.

· But Saturday is your day of outdoor activities – do plan accordingly as highs get into the low and mid 70s.

· This will be short-lived as another cold front drops in Saturday night Sunday morning.

· Good news is that most of the shower activity – maybe even a boomer or two will be before 8 or 9 AM Sunday then we clear out, dry up but temperatures once again go the other way cool through afternoon with another shot of gusty northwest winds.

TODAY: Lots of clouds, blustery and exceptionally chilly. Scattered mountain showers or sprinkles northern areas. A high around 55. Gusty northwest winds 10 to 25 mph with higher gusts across the hills. (5)

TONIGHT: Partly cloudy to mostly clear. A low in the mid 40s. Light northwest winds. (5)

FRIDAY: Lots of clouds northern mountains, Intervals of sunshine away from the mountains. A high in the upper 50s to near 60. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph. (4)

Looking further ahead…

FRIDAY NIGHT: High cloudiness otherwise fair and chilly. A low 40 to 45. (3)

SATURDAY: Filtered sunshine through high clouds but otherwise pleasant and near normal in temperature. A high 70 to 75. (3)

SUNDAY: Clouds with any morning showers give way to breaks of afternoon sun and drying up. A morning low near 55. An early high 60 to 65…then very blustery and sharply cooler in the afternoon. (2)

MONDAY: Clouds mixed with intervals of sunshine. Slight chance for a morning sprinkle. A low in the low 40s. A high in the mid 50s.

TUESDAY: Mostly cloudy northern border areas, otherwise partly to mostly sunny. Continued blustery and cool. Lows 45 to 50. A high in the low 60s.

WEDNESDAY: Partly sunny. A low in the 40s. A high in the 60s.

Average lows in the upper 40s to low 50s. Normal highs 70 to 75.

(Confidence factor: 5 = Good predictability 1 = shaky modeling lowered confidence) RH/6-6

[end]

Updated Wednesday Evening forecast — June 8th, 2016

TONIGHT: Mostly cloudy and chilly. An occasional light shower mainly near the northern Green’s. A low 40 to 45. Northwest breeze 10 mph. (5)

TOMORROW: Lots of clouds, blustery and exceptionally chilly. Scattered mountain showers or sprinkles northern areas. A high around 55. Gusty northwest winds 10 to 25 mph with higher gusts across the hills. (5)

THURSDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy to mostly clear. A low in the mid 40s. Light northwest winds. (5)

FRIDAY: Lots of clouds northern mountains, Intervals of sunshine away from the mountains. A high in the mid 50s to near 60. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph. (4)

Looking further ahead…

FRIDAY NIGHT: High cloudiness. A low 40 to 45. (3)

SATURDAY: Filtered sunshine through high clouds but otherwise pleasant and near normal in temperature. A high in the lower 70s. (2)

SUNDAY: Clouds with morning showers exiting to breaks of afternoon sun. A low in the mid to upper 50s. A high in the 60s. Blustery northwest winds. (2)

MONDAY: Morning sun then afternoon clouds with a chance for a shower. A low in the low 40s. A high in the low 50s.

TUESDAY: Mostly cloudy continued blustery and rather cold with a chance for showers. Lows 45 to 50. A high in the low 60s.

Average lows in the upper 40s to low 50s. Normal highs 70 to 75.

(Confidence factor: 5 = Good predictability 1 = shaky modeling lowered confidence) RH/6-6

[end]

Updated Wednesday Morning Forecast & Summary — June 8th, 2016

Default position of lower pressure centered over Quebec will pin-wheel numerous small disturbances and low level moisture ramming up against the Green Mountains – something you see mostly in spring and winter – not to much in June.

This is part and parcel due to high latitude blocking and numerous blocks in the northern hemispheric weather pattern at large.

Unblocking of this weather pattern takes place around June 20th-22nd. Until then it will be a mighty chilly weather pattern frequented by small weather system diving down from northern Canada, while it heats up across the rest of the lower 48 United State.

TODAY: Clouds with a few intervals of sun, but much cooler. Widely scattered light showers or sprinkles near the Green Mountains. A high near 60. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph. (5)

TONIGHT: Mostly cloudy and chilly. An occasional light shower near the northern Green Mountains. Chilly. A low 40 to 45. Northwest breeze 10 mph. (5)

THURSDAY: Considerable cloudiness, blustery and exceptionally cool for this time of year. Chance for a few mountain showers northern areas. A high around 55. Gusty northwest winds 10 to 20 mph. (4)

Looking further ahead…

THURSDAY NIGHT: Skies become mostly clear. A low in the low 40s. (4)

FRIDAY: Lots of clouds northern mountains, Intervals of sunshine away from the mountains. A high in the mid 50s. (3)

SATURDAY: Filtered sunshine. Rising chance for a couple showers far northern areas late. A low 40 to 45. A high upper 60s to around 70. (2)

SUNDAY: Clouds with morning showers exiting to breaks of afternoon sun. A low near 50. A high in the 60s. (2)

MONDAY & TUESDAY: Mostly cloudy continued blustery and rather cold with a chance for showers. Lows around 40. Highs in the low to mid 50s.

Average lows in the upper 40s to low 50s. Normal highs 70 to 75.

(Confidence factor: 5 = Good predictability 1 = shaky modeling lowered confidence) RH/6-6

[end]

Updated Tuesday Evening forecast — June 7th, 2016

TONIGHT: Widely scattered showers, maybe a thunderstorm to wind down this evening. Otherwise partly cloudy. A low in the upper 40s to low 50s. west to northwest breeze 10 mph. (5)

TOMORROW: Clouds with a few intervals of sun, and much cooler. Widely scattered light showers or sprinkles. A high just near 60. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph. (4)

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy and chilly. A few showers near the northern Green Mountains. Chilly. A low 40 to 45. Northwest breeze 10 mph. (3)

THURSDAY: Considerable cloudiness, blustery and exceptionally cool for this time of year. Chance for a few mountain showers northern areas. A high just 50 to 55. Gusty northwest winds 10 to 20 mph. (3)

Looking further ahead…

THURSDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. A low in the low 40s. (2)

FRIDAY: Partly to mostly cloudy. A high 55 to 60. (2)

SATURDAY: Partly sunny then clouding up late. Rising chance for showers. A low 40 to 45. A high upper 60s to near 70. (2)

Average lows in the upper 40s to low 50s. Normal highs 70 to 75.

(Confidence factor: 5 = Good predictability 1 = shaky modeling lowered confidence) RH/6-6

[end]

Updated Tuesday Morning Forecast — June 7th, 2016

· A little wild this PM where a few thunderstorms could be wind makers tapping into stronger wind shear aloft and bring those winds down to surface. The gust fronts as we call them could be just strong enough to take down a few tree limbs cause a few outages – not expecting widespread.

· Ridiculously cooler weather follows incrementally as a series of weak weather systems pinwheels around low pressure situated up toward the southern end of Hudson Bay/James Bay Canada.

· Coldest day Thursday – each day with a shower threat until Friday finally a dry day.

· Next dry day though lots of clouds – Friday, even a s cool as it is could be the pick.

TODAY: Morning showers exiting to a mix of clouds and intervals of sun. Another round of scattered showers and thunderstorms develops early to mid afternoon…some strong with gusty winds and hail. (Thunder Dog index “5” ) A high around 70. Southwest breeze 10 mph. (5)

TONIGHT: Scattered leftover showers toward the Champlain valley winding down overnight. Otherwise becoming partly cloudy. Patchy valley fog. A low around 50. Light northwest winds. (4)

WEDNESDAY: Clouds with a few intervals of sun, and much cooler. Scattered mainly afternoon showers with a risk of thunder toward Rutland. A high near 60. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph. (3)

Looking further ahead…

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy and chilly. Scattered showers especially northern areas. A low 40 to 45. (3)

THURSDAY: Cloudy and unsettled and exceptionally cool for this time of year. Scattered showers especially northern areas. A high in the lower 50s. (2)

FRIDAY: Partly to mostly cloudy. A low 40 to 45. A high in the mid 50s. (2)

SATURDAY: Partly sunny then clouding up late. Rising chance for showers. A morning low in the upper 30s to mid 40s. A high near 65. (1)

Average lows in the upper 40s to low 50s. Normal highs 70 to 75.

(Confidence factor: 5 = Good predictability 1 = shaky modeling lowered confidence) RH/6-6

[end]

Updated Monday Evening Forecast — June 6th, 2016

TONIGHT: Scattered clouds this evening, then mostly cloudy after midnight with a chance for a shower. A low in the mid 50s. Light south winds. (5)

TOMORROW: Mixed clouds and sun with scattered showers and thunderstorms…some strong with gusty winds and hail. A high near 75. Southwest breeze 10 mph. (5)

TUESDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Any evening showers winding down. Patchy valley fog. A low 50 to 55. Light northwest winds. (4)

WEDNESDAY: Clouds with a few intervals of sun. Scattered showers. A slight chance for a thunderstorm. A high in the low 60s. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph. (3)

Looking further ahead…

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy and chilly with slight chance for a few sprinkles. A low 40 to 45. (3)

THURSDAY: Cloudy and unsettled and rather chilly for this time of year. A chance for mountain sprinkles. A low 40 to 45. A high in the low 50s.

(2)

FRIDAY: Partly to mostly cloudy. A low 40 to 45. A high in the mid 50s. (2)

SATURDAY: Partly sunny. A low in the 40s. A high in the low 60s (2)

Average lows in the upper 40s to low 50s. Normal highs 70 to 75.

(Confidence factor: 5 = Good predictability 1 = shaky modeling lowered confidence) RH/6-6

[end]