Updated Monday morning Forecast — July 25th, 2016

TODAY: Periods of sunshine giving way to afternoon clouds. Hot and increasingly muggy. Showers and a few strong to potentially severe thunderstorms mid afternoon on…especially northern areas toward the Champlain valley. Some storms will produce gusty winds, hail and locally heavy downpours. A high upper 80s to low 90s. South to southwest winds 10 mph.

TONIGHT: Widely scattered showers and thunderstorms winding down this evening, a few could be strong before exiting, otherwise partly cloudy with patchy valley fog. Sticky. A low 65 to 70. Southwest winds 10 mph.

TUESDAY: Mixed clouds and sunshine. Isolated mountain sprinkles and breezy. A high 80 to 85. West to northwest breezy 10 to 20 mph.

Looking further ahead…

TUESDAY NIGHT: Scattered clouds cooler not so humid. Patchy valley fog. A low mid to upper 50s.

WEDNESDAY: Mostly sunny and warm to hot lower to moderate humidity levels. A high 85 to 90.

THURSDAY: Partly to mostly cloudy, warm and sultry. Scattered showers and thunderstorms especially northern areas. A low in the mid 60s. A high in the low 80s.

FRIDAY: Partly to mostly sunny. Not as humid. A low 60 to 65. A high in the low 80s.

Average lows 55 to near 60. Normal high upper 70s to low 80s.

(Confidence factor: 5 = Good predictability 1 = shaky modeling lowered confidence) RH/7-22

[end]

Updated Friday Evening Forecast — July 22nd, 2016

TONIGHT: Partly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms becoming likely later this evening, some possibly strong with gusty winds, and heavy downpours. A low 65 to 70. Light southwest winds.

TOMORROW: More clouds than sun. Showers and thunderstorms some could be strong. Continued very muggy but cooler with a high in the upper 70s. West to northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Isolated to widely scattered showers and thunderstorms winding down, then partly cloudy. Patchy valley fog. A low 55 to 60. Light Northwest winds.

SUNDAY: Sunshine filtered by high clouds. Comfortable low to moderate humidity. A high in the low 80s. Light northwest breeze.

Looking further ahead…

SUNDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Patchy valley fog. A low around 60.

MONDAY: More clouds than sun, warm more humid. More scattered showers and thunderstorms developing. A high 80 to 85.

TUESDAY: Mixed clouds and sunshine. Isolated mountain showers. A low in the mid 60s. A high in the low 80s.

WEDNESDAY: Mostly sunny. A low in the upper 50s. A high in the mid 80s.

THURSDAY: Sunshine giving way to more afternoon clouds. A low in the mid 60s. A high 75 to 80.

Average lows 55 to near 60. Normal high upper 70s to low 80s. Peak of summer July 22nd

(Confidence factor: 5 = Good predictability 1 = shaky modeling lowered confidence) RH/7-22 [end]

Updated TGIF Morning Forecast and Weather Notes — July 22nd, 2016

· Warm to hot, and stiflingly humid today as dew points rise toward 70 degrees this afternoon and evening.

· A stable layer of air will allow our region to “cook” with highs approaching 90 – but that’s nothing comparing to the large extended heat wave to our south and west. Where day after day heat indices will be extreme and already there’s been some fatalities due to heat exposure.

· Climate change modeling has been showing for decade or two that this would become more the norm for years to come.

· In New England, not quite so severe but showers and thunderstorms should erupt later this afternoon and become more numerous this evening and tonight. Boomer may be going well into the early AM hours.

· More showers/thunderstorms Saturday eventually winding down in the evening as cooler less humid air works in for Sunday the pick of this weekend.

· Showers and thunderstorms return Monday into part of Tuesday next week.

Midpoint of Summer…

TODAY: Any morning showers exit to partly to mostly sunny skies. Stiflingly warm and humid. Widely scattered late afternoon thunderstorms, some with gusty winds, hail and heavy downpours. A high in the mid to upper 80s. South to southwest winds 10 to 20 mph.

TONIGHT: Partly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely, some strong with gusty winds, hail and heavy downpours. A low in the mid 60s. Light south winds.

SATURDAY: More clouds than sun. Scattered showers and thunderstorms mainly in the afternoon, some could be strong. Sultry. A high in the low 80s. West to northwest winds 10 mph.

Looking further ahead…

SATURDAY NIGHT: Widely scattered showers and thunderstorms early, then partly cloudy. Patchy valley fog. A low in the low 60s.

SUNDAY: Partly to mostly sunny. Comfortable low to moderate humidity. A high in the upper 70s to around 80.

MONDAY: Partly to mostly sunny warm more humid. More clouds in the afternoon. Scattered showers and thunderstorms developing late in the day. A low in the low 60s. A high in the upper 80s to near 90.

TUESDAY: Mixed clouds and sunshine. Isolated afternoon showers and thunderstorms. A low in the mid 60s. A high 80 to 85.

WEDNESDAY: Mostly sunny. A low in the mid 60s. A high in the mid 80s.

THURSDAY: Sunshine giving way to more afternoon clouds. A low in the 60s. A high in the low to mid 80s.

Average lows 55 to near 60. Normal high upper 70s to low 80s. Peak of summer July 22nd

(Confidence factor: 5 = Good predictability 1 = shaky modeling lowered confidence) RH/7-22 [end]

Updated Thursday Evening Forecast — July 21st, 2016

TONIGHT: Clear and moonlit skies most of tonight, clouding up toward daybreak. A low in the mid to upper 60s. South breeze 10 mph.

Midpoint of Summer…

TOMORROW: Chance for a morning shower or thunderstorms northern areas early on. Otherwise partly sunny. Stiflingly humid. Widely scattered showers and afternoon thunderstorms, some strong to severe with gusty winds, hail and heavy downpours. A high 80 to 85. South to southwest winds 10 to 20 mph.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Widely scattered showers and thunderstorms, some strong to severe with gusty winds, hail and heavy downpours. A low in the mid 60s. Light south winds.

SATURDAY: Mixed clouds and sun, Scattered showers and thunderstorms mainly in the afternoon. Sultry. A high near 80. West to northwest winds 10 mph.

Looking further ahead…

SATURDAY NIGHT: Widely scattered showers and thunderstorms early, then partly cloudy. Patchy valley fog. A low in the low 60s.

SUNDAY: Partly to mostly sunny. A high 80 to 85.

MONDAY: Partly to mostly sunny warm more humid. More clouds in the afternoon. Scattered showers and thunderstorms developing late in the day. A low in the low 60s. A high in the upper 80s to near 90.

TUESDAY: Mixed clouds and sunshine. Isolated afternoon showers and thunderstorms. A low in the mid 60s. A high 80 to 85.

WEDNESDAY: Partly to mostly sunny. A low in the mid 60s. A high in the mid 80s.

Average lows 55 to near 60. Normal high upper 70s to low 80s. Peak of summer July 22nd

(Confidence factor: 5 = Good predictability 1 = shaky modeling lowered confidence) RH/7-21

[end]

Updated Thursday morning Forecast & Weather Summary — July 21st, 2016

· A nice warm midsummer day today where highs should be in the mid 80s across the normally cooler areas of N. Vermont but pushing close to 90 in the warmer confines of the Ct. River valley and Champlain Valley.

· Humidity levels will on the rise with dew points by tomorrow morning pushing past 65 degrees. We might see a run to near 70 degrees dew points and steamy conditions late Friday afternoon.

· Some jet stream energy makes its way slowly through the day Friday which should set off widely scattered strong to severe thunderstorm activity after two separate impulses work through the region, one dying out in the morning another inbound.

· This may keep storms going especially in northern and western Vermont through much of Friday night and into the day on Saturday.

· Sunday is the pick of this weekend! Blue sky and bright sun moderately warm – great day and evening opportunity for the out of doors.

TODAY: Morning fog burns off to mostly sunny skies with a few high clouds. Warmer and a little more humid. A high near 85. Light southwest winds

TONIGHT: Clear and moonlit skies in the evening. Increasing clouds late. A chance for a shower or thunderstorm far northern areas late overnight. A low in the mid to upper 60s. Light south breeze.

Midpoint of Summer…

FRIDAY: Mixed sun and clouds. Sticky. Widely scattered showers and late afternoon thunderstorms, some strong to severe. A high 80 to 85. South to southwest winds 10 to 20 mph.

Looking further ahead…

FRIDAY NIGHT: Widely scattered showers and thunderstorms. A low in the mid 60s.

SATURDAY: Morning clouds with scattered showers and a chance for a thunderstorm. Periods of afternoon sunshine with isolated afternoon thunderstorms. Sultry. A high near 80.

SUNDAY: Partly to mostly sunny. A low in the low 60s. A high in the low 80s.

MONDAY: Clouds mixed with sunshine. A rising chance for afternoon showers and thunderstorms later in the day. A low in the low 60s. A high near 85.

TUESDAY: Mixed clouds and sunshine. Chance for afternoon showers and thunderstorms. A low in the mid 60s. A high in the mid 80s.

Average lows 55 to near 60. Normal high upper 70s to low 80s. Peak of summer July 22nd

(Confidence factor: 5 = Good predictability 1 = shaky modeling lowered confidence) RH/7-21

[end]

Updated Wednesday Evening Forecast — July 20th, 2016

TONIGHT: Mostly clear and fully moonlit. Patchy valley fog overnight. A low in the mid 50s. Light winds.

TOMORROW: Mostly sunny warmer and a little more humid. A high near 85. Light southwest winds

THURSDAY NIGHT: Clear and moonlit skies in the evening. Increasing clouds late. A chance for a shower far northern areas late overnight. A low in the mid to upper 60s. Light south breeze.

Midpoint of Summer…

FRIDAY: Brief morning sunshine then mostly cloudy. Sticky. Scattered showers and afternoon thunderstorms, some strong to severe. A high 80 to 85. South to southwest winds 10 to 20 mph.

Looking further ahead…

FRIDAY NIGHT: Widely scattered showers and thunderstorms. A low in the mid 60s.

SATURDAY: Morning clouds with scattered showers and a chance for a thunderstorm. Periods of afternoon sunshine with isolated afternoon thunderstorms. Sultry. A high near 80.

SUNDAY: Partly to mostly sunny. A low in the low 60s. A high in the low 80s.

MONDAY: Clouds mixed with sunshine. A rising chance for afternoon showers and thunderstorms later in the day. A low in the low 60s. A high near 85.

TUESDAY: Mixed clouds and sunshine. Chance for afternoon showers and thunderstorms. A low in the mid 60s. A high in the mid 80s.

Average lows 55 to near 60. Normal high upper 70s to low 80s. Peak of summer July 22nd

(Confidence factor: 5 = Good predictability 1 = shaky modeling lowered confidence) RH/7-19

[end]

Updated Wednesday Morning forecast & Weather Notes

· Two best days this week – today and tomorrow Thursday.

· Mid 70s to near 80 temps today will jump a good 8 to 10 degrees for Thursday with a bit of added humidity most noticeable in the evening hours and beyond Thursday night into the weekend.

· Dew point temps this morning in the 40s will jump into the low 60s Thursday night, and nasty steamy conditions for Friday along with potentially powerful thunderstorms and locally heavy rainfall.

· Isolated shower and thunderstorm threats linger into Saturday making Sunday the better day of this weekend.

TODAY: Morning fog then sunny. A few afternoon clouds. Comfortable with a high in the mid 70s. Northwest breeze 10 mph.

TONIGHT: Clear and fully moonlit. Patchy valley fog. A low in the mid 50s. Light winds.

THURSDAY: Mostly sunny warmer and a little more humid. A high near 85. Southwest winds 10 mph.

Looking further ahead…

THURSDAY NIGHT: Clear and moonlit skies in the evening. Increasing clouds with a rising chance for showers and possibly a thunderstorm late overnight. A low near 65.

FRIDAY: Variable cloudiness warm and very sticky. Scattered showers and afternoon thunderstorms some strong. A high 80 to 85.

SATURDAY: Mixed clouds and sunshine. Isolated showers and thunderstorms northern areas. Sultry. A low in the mid 60s. A high around 80.

SUNDAY: More sun than clouds. A low 60 to 65. A high near 85.

MONDAY: Considerable cloudiness. Scattered afternoon showers and thunderstorms. A low in the low 60s. A high near 80.

TUESDAY: Mixed clouds and sunshine. Chance for afternoon showers and thunderstorms. A low in the 60s. A high in the low 80s.

Average lows 55 to near 60. Normal high upper 70s to low 80s. Peak of summer July 22nd

(Confidence factor: 5 = Good predictability 1 = shaky modeling lowered confidence) RH/7-19

[end]

Updated Tuesday Evening Forecast — July 19th, 2016

Full “Buck Moon 6:59 PM”

TONIGHT: Scattered clouds then clearing, cool and fully moonlit. Patches of valley fog. A low 45 to 50. Light northwest winds.

TOMORROW: Pick of the week. A beauty. Partly to mostly sunny and comfortable. A high in the mid 70s. Northwest breeze 10 mph.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Clear and fully moonlit. Patchy valley fog. A low in the mid 50s. Light winds.

THURSDAY: Mostly sunny warmer and a little more humid. A high near 85. Southwest winds 10 mph.

Looking further ahead…

THURSDAY NIGHT: Clear and moonlit in the evening then partly cloudy toward daybreak. A low 60 to 65.

FRIDAY: Variable cloudiness warm and very sticky. Scattered showers and afternoon thunderstorms some strong. A high in the mid 80s.

SATURDAY: Mixed clouds and sunshine. Sultry. A low in the mid 60s. A high around 80.

SUNDAY: Mostly sunny and a little breezy. A low in the upper 50s. A high 80 to 85.

MONDAY: Partly to mostly sunny. A low in the upper 50s. A high in the 80s.

Average lows 55 to near 60. Normal high upper 70s to low 80s. Peak of summer July 22nd

(Confidence factor: 5 = Good predictability 1 = shaky modeling lowered confidence) RH/7-19

[end]

Updated Tuesday morning Forecast & Weather Notes — July 19th, 2016

· Best Weather of this week comes after a “Transition Day” today where cooler less humid air but still some low level moisture rams into Vermont’s Green Mountains where the most clouds will be.

· Away for the Greens, more sunshine than cloud cover.

· Pick of this week is Wednesday, but Thursday looks pretty nice as well but warmer with a introduction of more humidity.

· With increasing humidity comes thunderstorms and this is looking like our next round of showers and thunderstorms and potentially severe weather.

· Some of this activity may linger into the first part of Saturday with better weather Sunday and Monday next week thanks to high pressure building in.

TODAY: Cooler and breezy and less humid with mixed clouds and sunshine. An isolated mountain sprinkle. A high around 70. Northwest winds 10 to 20 mph. (5)

Full “Buck Moon 6:59 PM”

TONIGHT: Clear, cool and fully moonlit. Patches of valley fog. A low 45 to 50. Light west winds.

WEDNESDAY: Pick of the week. A beauty. Lots of sunshine and comfortable. A high in the mid to upper 70s. Northwest winds 10 mph.

Looking further ahead…

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Clear and fully moonlit. Patchy valley fog. A low in the mid 50s.

THURSDAY: Mostly sunny warmer and a little more humid. A high near 85.

FRIDAY: Variable cloudiness warm and very sticky. Scattered showers and thunderstorms some could be strong. Low in the mid 60s. A high in the mid to upper 80s.

SATURDAY: Scattered morning showers, then periods of sunshine. Sultry. A low in the mid 60s. A high around 80.

SUNDAY: Mostly sunny and a little breezy. A low in the upper 50s. A high 80 to 85.

MONDAY: Partly to mostly sunny. A low in the upper 50s. A high in the 80s.

Average lows 55 to near 60. Normal high upper 70s to low 80s. Peak of summer July 22nd

(Confidence factor: 5 = Good predictability 1 = shaky modeling lowered confidence) RH/7-19

[end]

Updated Monday Evening Forecast — July 18th, 2016

Severe Thunderstorm Watch expires this evening.

TONIGHT: Showers and thunderstorms winding down this evening, some strong to potentially severe with gusty winds, hail and locally heavy rainfall. Otherwise, partially moonlit skies. A low in the upper 50s to low 60s. Northwest winds 10 mph. (5)

TOMORROW: Cooler and breezy with mixed clouds and sunshine. An isolated mountain sprinkle. A high in the upper 60s to near 70. Northwest winds 10 to 20 mph. (5)

Full “Buck Moon 6:59 PM”

TUESDAY NIGHT: Clear, cool and fully moonlit. Patches of valley fog. A low near 50. Light west winds.

WEDNESDAY: Pick of the week. A beauty. Lots of sunshine and comfortable. A high in the mid 70s. Northwest winds 10 mph.

Looking further ahead…

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Clear and fully moonlit. Patchy valley fog. A low in the mid 50s.

THURSDAY: Lots of sunshine with high clouds. A high around 85.

FRIDAY: Variable cloudiness. Isolated late afternoon showers and thunderstorms. Low near 60. A high around 90.

SATURDAY: Scattered showers and thunderstorms some possibly strong. Sultry. A low 65 to 70. A high 80 to 85.

Average lows 55 to near 60. Normal high upper 70s to low 80s. Peak of summer July 22nd

(Confidence factor: 5 = Good predictability 1 = shaky modeling lowered confidence) RH/7-18

[end]