· An excellent stretch of weather through most of the weekend. Temperatures will gain a few degrees each day with high eventually reaching into the mid and upper 80s in some of the warmer spots.

· Check on mid to late August surface water temps for Lake Champlain were looking very comfortable for boating and recreation.

· Water levels were much higher after recent rainfall so please be double careful if swimming in our local rivers and streams and don’t even go to those dangerous spots unless you want to be bad statistic.

· USGS GAGE AT ROUSES POINT NY 94.46 FEET
USGS GAGE AT BURLINGTON VT 94.52 FEET 75 DEGREES
KING STREET FERRY DOCK 94.46 FEET 74 DEGREES
COLCHESTER REEF 74 DEGREES
DIAMOND ISLAND 72 DEGREES

· Showers and Thunderstorms will mess up Sunday evening and Sunday will be much more humid that Saturday.

· Another enjoyable incredible stretch of weather develops Monday afternoon after fairly decent rainfall associated with a cold front Sunday night.

· A cooler Fall like air mass will filter in on gusty northwest winds keeping highs in the 60s to low 70s Monday. But nice warming trend with excellent weather develops Monday afternoon well into Thursday next week for dry series of spectacular days!

TODAY: Pick of the week. Bright sunshine and blue skies after morning fog. A high in the low 80s. Light northwest winds. (5)

TONIGHT: Mostly clear. Patchy valley fog. A low 55 to 60. Light winds. (5)

SATURDAY: A beauty with lots of sunshine. A little warmer. A high in the mid 80s. South breeze 10 to 15 mph. (4)

Looking further ahead…

SATURDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Patchy valley fog. A low near 65. (4)

SUNDAY: Fog burns off to partly sunny skies. Increasing afternoon clouds, warm sticky with a showers and thunderstorms arriving late. A high 80 to 85. (3)

MONDAY: Morning clouds with a chance for leftover showers, then partly sunny and less humid & cool. A low around 60. A high in the mid to upper 60s. (2)

TUESDAY: Mostly sunny and gorgeous after morning fog. Cool. A low in the mid 40s to low 50s. A high in the low 70s. (2)

WEDNESDAY: Brilliant sunshine. A low in the mid 50s. A high 75 to 80. (2)

THURSDAY: Filtered sunshine through high clouds. A low in the low 60s. A high in the mid 80s.

Average lows mid to upper 50s. Normal high mid to upper 70s.

(Confidence factor: 5 = Good predictability 1 = shaky modeling lowered confidence)

RH/8-19 [end]

TONIGHT: A few evening clouds, then clearing. Considerable valley fog overnight. A low in the upper 50s to around 60. Light northwest winds. (5)

TOMORROW: Pick of the week. Bright sunshine and blue skies after low clouds and fog disperse. A high in the low 80s. Light northwest winds. (5)

FRIDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Patchy valley fog. A low 55 to 60. Light winds. (5)

SATURDAY: A beauty with lots of sunshine. A little warmer. A high in the mid 80s. South breeze 10 to 15 mph. (4)

Looking further ahead…

SATURDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Patchy valley fog. A low 65 to 70. (4)

SUNDAY: Fog burns off to Intervals of sun. Late day clouds, warm sticky with a rising chance for showers and thunderstorms toward dark. A high 80 to 85. (3)

MONDAY: Morning clouds with a chance for leftover showers, then partly sunny and less humid & cool. A low around 60. A high in the mid 60s to around 70. (2)

TUESDAY: Mostly sunny and gorgeous after morning fog. Cool. A low in the upper 40s to mid 50s. A high in the low 70s. (2)

WEDNESDAY: Brilliant sunshine. A low in the mid 50s. A high 75 to 80. (2)

Average lows mid to upper 50s. Normal high mid to upper 70s.

(Confidence factor: 5 = Good predictability 1 = shaky modeling lowered confidence)

RH/8-17 [end]

· Weak trough of lower pressure was passing through triggering a few sprinkles or passing brief showers. Timing takes these clouds and showers out of the region in time for partial afternoon sunshine.

· An isolated brief thundershower cannot be ruled 100% out, but the best chance for this would be later this afternoon across central and southern Vermont.

· About two and half days look to be dry – “the pick of the week” for tomorrow Friday, and a gorgeous Saturday.

· Unfortunately Sunday afternoon and especially evening has been clipped with possible showers/thunderstorms with a slightly faster arrival. This frontal action might be overdone by some of the models so it’s not in stone that we’ll see this come in to mess up the last part of Sunday but this is the trend.

TODAY: Lots of clouds with scattered sprinkles or light showers passing through this morning. Partial afternoon sunshine with a leftover slight chance for a brief afternoon thundershower, mainly southern areas. A high around 80. Light northwest winds. (5)

TONIGHT: A few evening clouds then clearing. Considerable valley fog with a low in the upper 50s to around 60. Light winds. (4)

FRIDAY: Pick of the week. Bright sunshine and blue skies after low clouds and fog disperse. A high in the low 80s. Light northwest winds. (4)

Looking further ahead…

FRIDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Patchy valley fog. A low in the upper 50s. (4)

SATURDAY: A beauty with lots of sunshine. A little warmer. A high in the mid to upper 80s. (3)

SUNDAY: Intervals of sun giving way to more clouds in the afternoon. Warm and sticky. A rising chance for showers and thunderstorms toward evening. A low 65 to 70. A high around 80. (3)

MONDAY: Morning clouds with a chance for leftover showers early, then partly sunny and less humid. A low in the mid 60s. A high in the upper 60s. (2)

TUESDAY: Mostly sunny after morning fog. A low in the mid 50s. Cool. A high 70 to 75. (2)

Average lows mid to upper 50s. Normal high mid to upper 70s.

(Confidence factor: 5 = Good predictability 1 = shaky modeling lowered confidence)

RH/8-17 [end]

TONIGHT: Becoming mostly clear. Considerable valley fog. A low around 60. Light south winds. (5)

TOMORROW: Intervals of morning sun, then more clouds in the afternoon. A few isolated mountain sprinkles with a slight chance for a late day thundershower. A high in the low 80s. Light northwest winds. (5)

THURSDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. A low near 60. Light winds. (4)

FRIDAY: Pick of the week. Mostly sunny after low clouds and fog. A high in the low 80s. Light northwest winds. (4)

Looking further ahead…

FRIDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Patchy valley fog. A low in the upper 50s. (4)

SATURDAY: A beauty with lots of sunshine. A little warmer. A high in the mid to upper 80s. (3)

SUNDAY: Mixed clouds and sunshine. Warm and sticky. A low 65 to 70. A high in the mid 80s. Chance for showers and thunderstorms arriving Sunday Night. (3)

MONDAY: Morning clouds with a chance for leftover showers early, then partly sunny and less humid. A low in the mid 60s. A high in the low 70s. (2)

TUESDAY: Mostly sunny after morning fog. A low in the mid 50s. Cool. A high 70 to 75. (2)

Average lows mid to upper 50s. Normal high mid to upper 70s.

(Confidence factor: 5 = Good predictability 1 = shaky modeling lowered confidence)

RH/8-17 [end]

· Transition Day! we should get into partly to mostly sunny skies with highs in the mid to upper 70s and drying northwesterly breeze 10 to 15 mph – what’s not to like?

· Minor chances for a couple boomer Thursday afternoon, then 3 days of dry weather going into this weekend. This forecast based off the Euro model which holds back precipitation incoming from another frontal passage along about Sunday night.

· Warm and humid weather returns as warmth builds up into the mid and upper 80s, possibly a couple 90 degrees reading by Sunday afternoon if we see partial sunshine.

TODAY: Scattered morning sprinkles areas of drizzle giving way to partly to mostly sunny skies this afternoon. A high in the mid 70s. Northwest breeze 10 to 15 mph. (5)

TONIGHT: Mostly clear. Considerable valley fog. A low around 60. Light southwest winds. (4)

THURSDAY: Partly sunny in the morning then mostly cloudy in the afternoon. A few isolated afternoon showers and thunderstorms. A high in the low 80s. Light northwest winds. (4)

Looking further ahead…

THURSDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. A low near 60.

FRIDAY: Pick of the week. Mostly sunny after low clouds and fog. A high in the low 80s. (2)

SATURDAY: Considerable amounts of sunshine with a few high clouds. A little warmer. A low in the upper 50s. A high in the mid to upper 80s. (2)

SUNDAY: Mixed clouds and sunshine. Warm and sticky. A low 65 to 70. A high in the upper 80s. Chance for showers and thunderstorms arriving Sunday Night. (2)

MONDAY: Morning clouds with a chance for leftover showers early, then partly sunny and less humid. A low in the mid 60s. A high in the mid 70s.

TUESDAY: Mostly sunny after morning fog. A low in the mid 50s. A high in the upper 60s to low 70s.

Average lows mid to upper 50s. Normal high mid to upper 70s.

(Confidence factor: 5 = Good predictability 1 = shaky modeling lowered confidence)

RH/8-16 [end]

TONIGHT: Cloudy with periods of rain far northern areas. Occasional showers… moderate to heavy at times with a risk for thunder. Rather muggy and damp with a low in the mid 60s. Southeast breeze shifting to westerly overnight at 10 to 15 mph. (5)

TOMORROW: Scattered morning sprinkles giving way to partial afternoon sunshine. A high in the mid 70s. Northwest breeze 10 to 20 mph. (5)

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Considerable valley fog. A low around 60. Little wind. (4)

THURSDAY: Partly sunny in the morning then mostly cloudy in the afternoon. A few isolated afternoon showers and thunderstorms. A high in the low 80s. Light northwest winds. (4)

Looking further ahead…

THURSDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. A low near 60.

FRIDAY: Pick of the week. Mostly sunny after low clouds and fog. A high in the low 80s. (2)

SATURDAY: Considerable amounts of sunshine with a few high clouds. A little warmer. A low in the upper 50s. A high in the mid 80s. (2)

SUNDAY: Mixed clouds and sunshine. Warm and sticky. A low 65 to 70. A high in the mid 80s. (2)

Average lows mid to upper 50s. Normal high mid to upper 70s.

(Confidence factor: 5 = Good predictability 1 = shaky modeling lowered confidence)

RH/8-16 [end]

· A dry day to start for most of us and will end rather wet with copious showers and even periods of rain nearest the Canadian border.

· This weather system is tracking a little further north and putting us into the warm sector where rain showers will be moderate to heavy, and include some thunderstorms especially southern western Vermont later today and this evening.

· Strong to severe thunderstorms were on target for primarily central and eastern New York today.

· Clouds will lower and thicken and showers across southern Vermont will spread northeastward through the afternoon. Thus if you want to avoid any rain do things this morning as opposed to the afternoon.

· The bulk of this precipitation will track through this evening and leave a few light showers, sprinkles across the northern high terrain to start the day Wednesday.

· Cold front pushes toward out region on Thursday afternoon and evening and falls apart. High pressure brings fair & dry weather Friday into Saturday and overnight modeling makes this now last into Sunday for what looks to be a choice weekend of dry fair but warm to hot weather.

· Dew points creep up again Sunday as it will be increasingly sticky Sunday.

TODAY: Filtered morning sun early, then thickening clouds with occasional showers this afternoon. Chance for a late day thunderstorm toward Rutland. A high in the mid 70s. Light southeast winds. (5)

TONIGHT: Cloudy with periods of rain far northern areas. Occasional showers… moderate to heavy with a risk for thunder. Rather muggy and damp with a low in the mid 60s. Southeast breeze shifting to southwesterly 10 to occasionally 20 mph overnight. (4)

WEDNESDAY: Scattered morning sprinkles giving way to partial afternoon sunshine. A high in the mid to upper 70s. Winds becoming northwest 10 to 20 mph. (4)

Looking further ahead…

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Considerable valley fog. A low in the low 60s. (3)

THURSDAY: Morning sun then increasing clouds. Isolated late afternoon showers and thunderstorms. A high in the low 80s. (3)

FRIDAY: Pick of the week. Mostly sunny after morning fog. A low near 60. A high 80 to 85. (2)

SATURDAY: Considerable amounts of sunshine with a few high clouds. A low in the mid 50s. A high in the mid 80s. (2)

SUNDAY: Mixed sun and clouds. warm and sticky. A low in the 60s. A high in the 80s.

Average lows mid to upper 50s. Normal high mid to upper 70s.

(Confidence factor: 5 = Good predictability 1 = shaky modeling lowered confidence)

RH/8-16 [end]

TONIGHT: Scattered clouds. Isolated valley fog. A low in the upper 50s to around 60. Little wind. (5)

TOMORROW: Filtered morning sun then thickening clouds in the afternoon. A rising chance for showers later in the afternoon. A high in the mid 70s. Light southeast winds. (5)

TUESDAY NIGHT: Cloudy with periods of rain or showers…moderate to heavy at times northern areas..maybe a thunderstorm. Rather muggy and damp. A low in the mid 60s. Southeast breeze shifting to southwesterly 10 to occasionally 20 mph overnight. (4)

WEDNESDAY: Maybe a few morning sprinkles then partly to mostly sunny by the afternoon. A high in the mid to upper 70s. Winds becoming northwest 10 to 20 mph. (3)

Looking further ahead…

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. A low in the 55 to 60. (3)

THURSDAY: Morning sun then increasing clouds. Widely scattered late afternoon showers and thunderstorms. A high in the low 80s. (2)

FRIDAY: Pick of the week. Mostly sunny after morning fog. A low near 60. A high in the low 80s. (2)

SATURDAY: Considerable amounts of sunshine with a few high clouds. A low in the mid 50s. A high in the mid 80s.

Average lows mid to upper 50s. Normal high mid to upper 70s.

(Confidence factor: 5 = Good predictability 1 = shaky modeling lowered confidence)

RH/8-15 [end]

· A pretty decent week ahead with the best days coming likely Wednesday and again Friday this week.

· Today – Monday A dry day with a couple notches of lowered humidity levels which has been daunting. A chaotic sky with variable cloud cover but also a few intervals of sun and temps topping out in the low 80s.

· A warm Front will kick in tomorrow increasing the cloud cover after a nice dry morning with hints of sun through high clouds.

· The warm front will deliver more rainfall for the region where we could use another 1 to 2” and probably more but not all at once.

· Water tables, ponds rivers and stream are rather low and the weekend rains really did not put much of a dent in what has been a pretty dry 365 days.

· No excessive heat nor cold this week – great out of doors weather for all today Wednesday and Friday.

TODAY: Clouds mixed with intervals of sunshine. A high around 80. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph. (5)

TONIGHT: Partly cloudy. Isolated valley fog. A low in the upper 50s to around 60. Little wind. (5)

TUESDAY: Filtered morning sun then thickening clouds in the afternoon. A rising chance for showers later in the afternoon. A high in the mid 70s. South to southeast winds 10 to 15 mph. (4)

Looking further ahead…

TUESDAY NIGHT: Cloudy with periods of rain or showers…heavy at times with a chance for thunderstorms. A low in the mid 60s. (3)

WEDNESDAY: Partly to mostly sunny. A high near 75. (3)

THURSDAY: Morning sun then increasing clouds. Chance for late afternoon showers and thunderstorms. A low in the 55 to 60. A high around 80. (2)

FRIDAY: Mostly sunny after morning fog. A low near 60. A high 75 to 80. (2)

Average lows mid to upper 50s. Normal high mid to upper 70s.

(Confidence factor: 5 = Good predictability 1 = shaky modeling lowered confidence)

RH/8-15 [end]

TONIGHT: Clear and warm this evening, then increasing clouds. Showers and thunderstorms overnight, some locally heavy. Rather sticky. A low 65 to 70. South winds 10 mph.

TOMORROW: Morning showers exiting to increasing periods of sunshine.Widely scattered showers and late afternoon thunderstorms Northeast Kingdom. Still a bit muggy. A high in the low 80s. West to northwest breeze 10 to 15 mph.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Widely scattered or isolated early evening showers and thunderstorms diminishing. Otherwise, then partly cloudy. A low 55 to 60. Light northwest winds.

SUNDAY: Partly to mostly sunny and breezy. An isolated shower or two far northern areas. A high near 75. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.

Looking further ahead…

SUNDAY NIGHT: Any isolated sprinkles far northern areas exiting. Otherwise mostly clear. Patchy valley fog. A low in the mid 50s.

MONDAY: Sunshine mixed with a few afternoon clouds. A high in the near 80.

TUESDAY: Mostly sunny and warmer, more humid. A low in the mid 50s. A high in the mid 80s.

WEDNESDAY: Sunshine mixed with clouds, breezy and muggy. A low 60 to 65. A high in the upper 80s.

THURSDAY: Partly sunny warm and sticky. Scattered afternoon showers and thunderstorms. A low 65 to 70. A high in the upper 80s

Average lows 55 to near 60. Normal high upper 70s to low 80s.

(Confidence factor: 5 = Good predictability 1 = shaky modeling lowered confidence)

Note I will be off next Week, the next update goes live again Aug. 15th

RH/8-5 [end]