Updated Monday Evening forecast — September 26th, 2016

TONIGHT: Thickening clouds this evening. Showers arriving after midnight. A low in the low 50s.South breeze 10 to 15 mph.(5)

TOMORROW: A few morning sprinkles exiting to partly to mostly sunny skies. A high in the mid to upper 60s. Light west to southwest breeze. (5)

TUESDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear with more clouds eastern areas late. A low in the mid 40s. Light east wind. (5)

WEDNESDAY: Partly to mostly cloudy Barre-Montpelier area south. More sun than clouds northern areas. Widely scattered sprinkles or spotty drizzle especially eastern and southern areas. A high in the mid 60s. Southeast breeze 10 to 15 mph. (4)

Looking further ahead…

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy Barre-Montpelier area north, otherwise lots of clouds with threat for a southern sprinkle. A low 40 to 45. (3)

THURSDAY: Partly sunny northern areas. More clouds across southern areas. A high in the mid 60s. (2)

FRIDAY: Partly sunny northern areas, with more clouds to the south with a chance for a few showers. A low 40 to 45. A high in the mid 60s. (2)

SATURDAY: Mixed clouds and sun. A low around 50. A high in the mid 60s. (2)

SUNDAY: Mainly cloudy. Chance for showers. A low 50 to 55. A high 60 to 65.

Average lows 40 to 45. Normal highs 60 to 65.

(Confidence factor: 5 = Good predictability 1 = shaky modeling lowered confidence)

RH/9-26 [end]

Updated Monday Morning Forecast & WX notes — September 26th, 2016

· Seasonal Temperatures the rest of this week with generally day times reaching into the 60s and night time low not as cold or frosty into the 40s and tonight even the 50s.

· Showers threats but not much develop toward midnight. Expect a limited amount of rainfall yet once again as we’ll continue extraordinarily dry!

· Higher pressure will rebuild back into the vicinity while a storm tracks southward through the Great Lakes into the Ohio River Valley.

· Eventually moisture will move back north around this system and threaten southern Vermont keeping northern areas fairly dry and just a few cloudy periods later in the week.

· Bottom Line – Some rather excellent weather conditions this week, but of course we really need a couple soakers.

TODAY: Patchy morning fog burns of to lots of sunshine. High cloudiness increasing & thickening late this afternoon. A high in the low to mid 60s. Light south winds. (5)

TONIGHT: Clouding up. A rising chance for showers toward or after midnight. A low 50 to 55.South breeze 10 to 15 mph.(5)

TUESDAY: A few morning sprinkles exiting to partly to mostly sunny skies. A high in the mid to upper 60s. Winds west to southwest 10 mph. (4)

Looking further ahead…

TUESDAY NIGHT: Clear in the evening, then more cloudiness. A low around 45. (4)

WEDNESDAY: A few breaks of sunshine mixing with lots of clouds. Spotty drizzle toward southern and eastern areas. A high in the mid 60s. (3)

THURSDAY: Partly sunny northern areas. More clouds toward Rutland and points south. A low 40 to 45. A high in the mid 60s. (2)

FRIDAY: Partly sunny northern areas, with more clouds to the south with a chance for a few showers. A low 40 to 45. A high in the mid 60s. (2)

Average lows 40 to 45. Normal highs 60 to 65.

(Confidence factor: 5 = Good predictability 1 = shaky modeling lowered confidence)

RH/9-26 [end]

Updated Friday Evening Forecast — September 23rd, 2016

TONIGHT: Clearing skies. A few patches of valley fog. A low in the mid to upper 40s. Light winds. (5)

TOMORROW: Fog burns off to periods of sunshine, otherwise some mountain cloudiness mixing in with a chilly high 55 to 60. Blustery at times. Northwest breeze 10 to 20 mph. (5)

SATURDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear Isolated valley fog. A low 40 to 45. Light northwest winds. (5)

SUNDAY: Partly to mostly cloudy. Chilly and blustery at times with a few mountain sprinkles across the Northeast Kingdom. A high around 55. Northwest winds 10 to 20 mph. (5)

Looking further ahead…

SUNDAY NIGHT: Clear and starlit. Chance for spotty frost cold pockets. A low in the mid to upper 30s.

MONDAY: Filtered sunshine through high cloudiness after isolated morning frost.. A high in the upper 50s to around 60. (2)

TUESDAY: Cloudy and breezy. Good chance for showers tapering off in the afternoon. Blustery to windy. A low around 50. A high 60 to 65. (2)

WEDNESDAY: A few cloudy periods mixed with sunshine. Chance for a few brief showers. Chilly. A low around 45. A high in the upper 50s. (2)

THURSDAY: Partly to mostly sunny. A low around 40. A high 55 to 60.

Average lows in the low to mid 40s. Normal high in the low to mid 60s

(Confidence factor: 5 = Good predictability 1 = shaky modeling lowered confidence)

RH/9-23 [end]

Updated Friday Morning Forecast & WX notes — September 23rd, 2016

· First day of Fall to yield cooler more seasonal temperatures mainly in the 60s today but some cooler upper 50s northern areas.

· Temperatures tomorrow remain cool and in fact temperatures in the 50s and 60s will rule the roost for about the next week or so.

· Rain showers to gradually exit out our region later this afternoon, while our next opportunity for more rainfall not until Monday night-Tuesday.

· Gardeners should be keeping a close eye on some frost possibilities in the colder Northeastern Vermont valleys for Sunday night/Monday morning and possibly Monday night as well.

TODAY: Cloudy with occasional showers, exiting out this afternoon to a few breaks of sun late. Cooler. A high 60 to 65. North to northwest breeze 10 to 15 mph. (5)

TONIGHT: Clearing skies with patchy valley fog. A low dropping into the 40s. Little wind. (5)

SATURDAY: Considerable amounts of sunshine. Becoming breezy and cooler. A high 55 to 60. Northwest breeze 10 to 20 mph. (5)

Looking further ahead…

SATURDAY NIGHT: Clear early then scattered clouds overnight. A low 40 to 45. (4)

SUNDAY: Partly to mostly cloudy. Chilly and blustery at times with a few mountain sprinkles across the Northeast Kingdom. A high 50 to 55. (3)

MONDAY: Filtered sunshine through high cloudiness after isolated morning frost. A low mid to upper 30s. A high in the upper 50s to around 60. (2)

TUESDAY: Cloudy and breezy with a good chance for showers near the mountains. A low 45 to 50. A high in the low 60s. (2)

WEDNESDAY: Partly to mostly cloudy with scattered leftover showers. Cooler. A low 45 to 50. A high in the 50s (2)

Average lows in the low to mid 40s. Normal high in the low to mid 60s

(Confidence factor: 5 = Good predictability 1 = shaky modeling lowered confidence)

RH/9-23 [end]

Updated Thursday Evening Forecast — September 22nd, 2016

TONIGHT: Becoming partly to mostly cloudy. Showers developing north of the Barre-Montpelier area especially overnight. A low in the upper 50s. Light southwest winds. (5)

TOMORROW: Cloudy with occasional showers in the morning exiting out in the afternoon to a few breaks of sun. Cooler. A high 60 to 65. North to northwest breeze 10 to 15 mph. (5)

FRIDAY NIGHT: Clearing skies. Patchy valley fog. A low in the upper 40s. Little wind. (5)

SATURDAY: Mostly sunny. Breezy and cooler. A high 55 to 60. Northwest breeze 10 to 20 mph.

Looking further ahead…

SATURDAY NIGHT: Clear early then partly cloudy overnight. A low down 40 to 45.

SUNDAY: Chilly and blustery at times. Becoming partly to mostly cloudy. Maybe a mountain sprinkle Northeast Kingdom. A high 50 to 55. (3)

MONDAY: Bright sunshine after a threat of isolated morning frost. Filtered sunshine in the afternoon. A low mid to upper 30s. A high in the upper 50s. (2)

TUESDAY: Cloudy and breezy with a good chance for showers near the mountains. A low 45 to 50. A high in the low 60s. (2)

WEDNESDAY: Partly to mostly cloudy with scattered leftover showers. A low 45 to 50. A high in the upper 50s. (2)

Average lows in the low to mid 40s. Normal high in the low to mid 60s

(Confidence factor: 5 = Good predictability 1 = shaky modeling lowered confidence)

RH/9-22 [end]

Updated Thursday morning Forecast — September 22nd, 2016

· Last day of summer will turn on Autumnal equinox by coincidence as a cold front will lower temperatures starting Friday.

· Expect sweater, jacket weather to blow in Friday and only continue into next week.

· Coolest weather comes Sunday and Monday then a slight rebound on temperatures back into the 60 to 65 degree levels middle of next week.

· Normal lows and high this time of year are for lows in the low to mid 40s…and highs low to mid 60s so a reality check shows we’ve been living high on the hog with this extended period of summer like weather.

· All of this is about to change with certainly fall like conditions this weekend, including a persistent northwesterly breeze bringing in the chilly Canadian air.

Autumnal Equinox 10:21 AM..

TODAY: Variable cloudiness across northern areas this morning, otherwise partly to mostly sunny this afternoon. Warmer and increasingly more humid. A high in the upper 70s to mid 80s. Light winds. (5)

TONIGHT: Becoming mostly cloudy with a good chance for showers north of the Barre-Montpelier area. Just scattered clouds otherwise. A low around 60. Light southwest winds. (5)

FRIDAY: Cloudy. Good chance for showers. Maybe a rumble or two of thunder. Cooling trend begins. A high in the low to mid 60s. North to northwest breeze 10 to 15 mph. (5)

Looking further ahead…

FRIDAY NIGHT: Any leftover showers exiting to partial clearing. A low around 50. (4)

SATURDAY: Becoming mostly sunny. Breezy and cooler. A high in the low 60s. (4)

SUNDAY: Touch of Fall?Morning sunshine giving way to a few more clouds in the afternoon. Chilly. A low down to near 40. A high in the mid 50s. (3)

MONDAY: Bright sunshine after a threat of isolated morning frost. Filtered sunshine in the afternoon. A low 35 to 40. A high in the mid to upper 50s. (2)

TUESDAY: Cloudy and breezy with a good chance for showers. A low in the 40s. A high in the mid 60s. (2)

WEDNESDAY: Partly sunny. A low around 50. A high 60 to 65. (1)

Average lows in the low to mid 40s. Normal high in the low to mid 60s

(Confidence factor: 5 = Good predictability 1 = shaky modeling lowered confidence)

RH/9-22 [end]

Updated Wednesday Evening Forecast — September 21st, 2016

TONIGHT: Mostly clear with a few high clouds. Patchy valley fog. A low near 55. Light winds.

Autumnal Equinox 10:21 AM Thursday morning…

TOMORROW: Morning sunshine after fog burns off. Variable high cloudiness in the afternoon. A high 75 to 80. Light winds.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Becoming mostly cloudy with a good chance for showers north of the Barre-Montpelier area. Just scattered clouds otherwise. A low around 60. Light southwest winds.

FRIDAY: Cloudy. Good chance for showers. Maybe a thunderstorm. A high in the mid to upper 60s. North to northwest breeze 10 to 15 mph.

Looking further ahead…

FRIDAY NIGHT: Any leftover showers exiting to partial clearing. A low around 50.

SATURDAY: Becoming mostly sunny. Breezy and cooler. A high in the low 60s.

SUNDAY: Touch of Fall?Morning sunshine giving way to a few more clouds in the afternoon. Chilly. A low down to near 40. A high in the mid 50s.

MONDAY: Bright sunshine after a threat of scattered frost. A low in the upper 30s. A high in the mid to upper 50s.

TUESDAY: Filtered sunshine through high clouds. A low in the upper 30s to around 40. A high in the mid 60s.

WEDNESDAY: Partly sunny. A low 50 to 55. A high in the 60s.

Average lows in the mid 40s. Normal high in the mid to upper 60s

(Confidence factor: 5 = Good predictability 1 = shaky modeling lowered confidence)

RH/9-21 [end]

Updated Wednesday morning forecast & WX notes — September 21st, 2016

· Astronomical Autumn is almost here…arriving 10:21 AM tomorrow when the earth’s tilt will be equal to our star or sun – “Sol” and equinox occurs.

· Equal days of daylight and night will begin to become unequal quickly as we will start to lose daylight and gain on nighttime, but tomorrow weather-wise will be another summer-like day, a little more humid than today and warmer.

· Rainfall opportunities are limited with shower threats late up in far northern areas, then everywhere Thursday night into Friday the wettest day likely in the next several.

· Projected precipitation was pathetic with just barely a couple tenths of an inch for Thursday night/Friday.

TODAY: Pick of the week. Any fog burns off to bright sunshine and blue skies. A high near 75. West breeze 10 mph in the afternoon.

TONIGHT: Clear with patchy valley fog. A low near 55. Light winds.

Autumnal Equinox 10:21 AM Thursday morning…

THURSDAY: Morning sunshine after fog burns off then more clouds especially northern areas with slight threat for a late day shower. A high in the mid 70s to around 80. Light winds.

Looking further ahead…

THURSDAY NIGHT: Becoming partly to mostly cloudy with a good chance for showers north of the Barre-Montpelier area. A low around 60.

FRIDAY: Cloudy. Good chance for showers. Maybe a thunderstorm. A high in the mid to upper 60s.

SATURDAY: Morning clouds with a chance for a leftover shower early exiting to increasing afternoon sunshine.Breezy and cooler. A low around 50. A high around 60.

SUNDAY: Mixed clouds and sunshine with a threat for a mountain sprinkle Northeast Kingdom. Chilly. A low down to near 40. A high in the mid 50s.

MONDAY: Bright sunshine after a threat of scattered frost. A low in the upper 30s. A high in the mid 50s.

TUESDAY: Filtered sunshine through high clouds. A low in the upper 30s to around 40. A high in the mid 60s.

WEDNESDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance for showers. A low 50 to 55. A high in the 60s.

Average lows in the mid 40s. Normal high in the mid to upper 60s

(Confidence factor: 5 = Good predictability 1 = shaky modeling lowered confidence)

RH/9-21 [end]

Updated Tuesday evening Fore4cast — September 20th, 2016

TONIGHT: Mostly clear and partially moonlit. Considerable valley fog. A low around 55. Light west winds.

WEDNESDAY: Pick of the week. Morning low clouds and fog, give way to bright sunshine and blue skies. A high near 75. West breeze 10 mph in the afternoon.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Clear with patchy valley fog. A low near 55. Light winds.

Autumnal Equinox 10:21 AM Thursday morning…

THURSDAY: Morning sunshine after fog burns off then more clouds especially northern areas with slight threat for a late day shower. A high in the mid 70s to around 80. Light winds.

Looking further ahead…

THURSDAY NIGHT: Becoming partly to mostly cloudy with a good chance for showers north of the Barre-Montpelier area. A low around 60.

FRIDAY: Cloudy. Good chance for showers. Maybe a thunderstorm. A high in the upper 60s to around 70.

SATURDAY: Morning clouds with a chance for a leftover shower early exiting to increasing afternoon sunshine.Breezy and cooler. A low around 50. A high 60 to 65.

SUNDAY: Mixed clouds and sunshine with a threat for a mountain sprinkle Northeast Kingdom. Chilly. A low down to 40 to 45. A high in the mid 50s.

MONDAY: Bright sunshine after a threat of scattered frost. A low in the mid 30s. A high in the upper 50s to about 60.

Average lows in the mid 40s. Normal high in the mid to upper 60s

(Confidence factor: 5 = Good predictability 1 = shaky modeling lowered confidence)

RH/9-20 [end]

Updated Tuesday morning Forecast & Weather Notes — September 20th, 2016

· We are into “Meteorological Autumn” now even though Astronomical Autumn does not start until Thursday at 10:21 AM which is a “level Earth” as the earth wobbles’ with a developing tilt in the S. hemisphere.

· Temperature to remain more summer like than Fall-like with highs today easily seeing 80 degrees in many area. Areas that hold on longest to low clouds and …and along the northern tier areas of Vermont will see the coolest temperatures in the mid to upper 70s.

· Thursday – temp. levels heat up again back closer to near 80.

· A marked cooling trend settles in especially Friday over the weekend for temps that will only top out into the 50s by Sunday and Monday but step ladder back into the 60s much of next week.

· Gardeners and Farmers should take note of the possibility of scattered frost Sunday night into Monday morning.

TODAY: Partly to mostly sunny. An isolated sprinkle or two northern border areas late in the day. A high in the mid 70s to lower 80s. Southwest breeze 10 mph.

TONIGHT: Mostly clear and partially moonlit. Considerable valley fog. A low around the mid 50s. Light west winds.

WEDNESDAY: Pick of the week. Morning clouds and fog, give way to bright sunshine and blue skies. A high near 75. West breeze 10 mph in the afternoon.

Looking further ahead…

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Clear with patchy valley fog. A low near 55.

Autumnal Equinox 10:21 AM Thursday morning…

THURSDAY: Morning sunshine after fog burns off then increasing high cloudiness northern areas. A high in the upper 70s to around 80.

FRIDAY: Cloudy. Good chance for showers and isolated thunderstorms possible across northern areas overspreading the region late. More muggy. A low around 60. A high 70 to 75.

SATURDAY: Morning clouds with a chance for a leftover shower early exiting to increasing afternoon sunshine.Breezy and cooler. A low around 50. A high 60 to 65.

SUNDAY: Mixed clouds and sunshine with a threat for a mountain sprinkle. Chilly. A low in the low to mid 40s. A high in the low to mid 50s.

MONDAY: Bright sunshine after a threat of scattered frost. A low in the mid to upper 30s. A high around 55.

Average lows in the mid 40s. Normal high in the mid to upper 60s

(Confidence factor: 5 = Good predictability 1 = shaky modeling lowered confidence)

RH/9-20 [end]