Updated Tuesday morning Forecast & WX notes — November 1st, 2016

· Best weather this week for a time today before clouds blow in quickly and the pitter-patter of rain showers develops after about 4 PM across northern areas.

· Central and southern areas escape this for the most part.

· Our weather pattern is one of very fast moving jet stream winds aloft constantly being sheared out with computer modeling having timing difficulties beyond about 36 hours.

· Latest indications are for decent soaker Thursday arriving overnight Wednesday early AM, and tailing off with a little bit of snow. Ground temps will determine where it sticks or just grassy surfaces but with air temperatures a little colder in the latest model guidance……..it could mean snow coated roads Friday morning …… heads up!

TODAY: Partly sunny, then more clouds later in the afternoon. Chance for a few light showers northern areas. Near seasonal temperatures. A high in the upper 40s to around 50. South breeze 10 mph.

TONIGHT: Cloudy. Occasional rain showers Barre-Montpelier area. Areas of fog. A low around 40. South winds 10 mph.

WEDNESDAY: Mainly cloudy and damp in the morning with slight chance for sprinkle. Much milder in the afternoon with a few intervals of sun possible. A high in the 50s. Light west winds.

Looking further ahead…

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Lots of clouds. Slight threat for a shower. A low in the mid 40s.

THURSDAY: Overcast and gray. Chance for periods of rain or showers with wet snow accumulation in the higher terrain overnight. A high in the 40s.

FRIDAY: Morning wet snow showers especially higher terrain some minor coatings possible down to valley floors giving way to increasing afternoon sunshine. A low around 32. A high 35 to 40.

SATURDAY: Sunshine filtered by high clouds. A low 25 to 30. A high in the 40s.

SUNDAY: Variable cloudiness. Slight chance for a northern tier shower. A low in the 30s. A high in the low 40s.

Average lows upper 20s to low 30s. Normal highs in the upper 40s to low 50s

(Confidence factor: 5 = Good predictability 1 = shaky modeling lowered confidence)

RH/11-1[end]

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