Updated Tuesday morning Forecast & WX Notes — October 4th, 2016

· We’ll start this morning into the early afternoon with more drip drip drip…but begin to dry out considerably later on today with beautiful “sunbursts” for those of you leaf-peeping.

· A stretch of gorgeous weather and temperatures moderating into the low and mid 70s to be achieved by Thursday.

· Matthew this morning a Category 4 monster hurricane with max winds at 145 mph was currently devastating the western tip of Haiti with Cuba next, followed by the Bahamas.

· A slow turn toward the NW. will put Matthew in a position to affect Florida, GA. SC. NC. later this week.

· Much too early to get a confident track on Matthew as it pulls away from Cape Hatteras region. But 250 nautical mile circulation means parts of New England may feel it later this weekend or early next week.

· Meanwhile higher pressure will guard us from inclement weather with a very comfortable stretch of good project weather going through the end of this week.

TODAY: Widely scattered light showers or sprinkles through mid day, otherwise clouds giving way to intervals of mid to late afternoon sunshine. A high near 65. Light southeast winds. (5)

TONIGHT: Mostly clear. Considerable valley fog. A low in the mid 40s. Little wind. (5)

WEDNESDAY: Mostly sunny and gorgeous after morning fog and low clouds. A high in the mid 60s. Little wind. (5)

Looking further ahead…

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Patchy valley fog. A low near 45. (4)

THURSDAY: Bright autumn sunshine after morning fog. A high in the low 70s. (3)

FRIDAY: Bright autumn sunshine and well above normal temperatures, after morning fog. A low near 50. A high in the mid 70s. (3)

SATURDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance for showers. A low 50 to 55. A high in the low 70s. (2)

SUNDAY: Mainly cloudy and becoming breezy. Slight chance for showers far southern areas. A low 45 to 50. A high in the upper 50s to low 60s. (2)

Average lows in the upper 30s to low 40s. Normal highs in the lower 60s.

(Confidence factor: 5 = Good predictability 1 = shaky modeling lowered confidence)

RH/10-3 [end]

Updated Monday evening forecast — October 3rd, 2016

TONIGHT: Mainly cloudy. Chance for a few sprinkles. Patchy valley fog. A low 50 to 55. Light southeast winds. (5)

TOMORROW: Widely scattered light showers or sprinkles through mid day, otherwise lots of clouds giving way to intervals of afternoon sunshine. A high in the mid 60s. Light southeast winds. (5)

TUESDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Considerable valley fog. A low in the mid 40s. Little wind. (5)

WEDNESDAY: Mostly sunny and gorgeous after morning fog and low clouds. A high 65 to 70. Little wind. (4)

Looking further ahead…

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Patchy valley fog. A low near 45. (4)

THURSDAY: Bright autumn sunshine after morning fog. A high 70 to 75. (3)

FRIDAY: Bright autumn sunshine and well above normal temperatures, after morning fog. A low 50 to 55. A high in the mid 70s. (2)

SATURDAY: Chance for late day showers, maybe a rumble of thunder. A low in the 50s. A high in the mid 70s. (2)

Average lows in the upper 30s to low 40s. Normal highs in the lower 60s.

(Confidence factor: 5 = Good predictability 1 = shaky modeling lowered confidence)

RH/10-3 [end]

Roger Hill

Weathering Heights Consulting

186 MacKenzie Dr.

Worcester VT 05682

For me, it is far better to grasp the Universe as it really is than to persist in delusion, however satisfying and reassuring. ~ Carl Sagan

Updated Monday Morning Forecast & WX notes — October 3rd, 2016

· Upper level trough of low pressure to continue our drizzly sprinkley weekend weather before slightly drier air develops Tuesday afternoon but a slow warming trend is upon us.

· A transition to excellent weather conditions Tuesday night and morning fog burns off Wednesday will bring great weather projects and recreational opportunities check out the Fall Foliage mid to late week.

· Fair weather high pressure will allow for moderating temperatures into the 70s – should feel fantastic with above normal temperatures much of this week.

· Matthew as a Cat. 4 hurricane to gradually weaken some will be with us for over the next week. Most model tracks take it close to Cape Hatteras NC late in the week or this weekend.

· Chances for Matthew to affect Vermont were low but changes in the projected track will be all too important.

TODAY: Mainly cloudy. Spotty drizzle this morning with widely scattered showers this afternoon. Maybe a rumble of thunder toward S. Vermont. Start of a warming trend with a high 60 to 65. Winds becoming light and northerly. (5)

TONIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Slight chance for a sprinkle. Patchy valley fog. A low in the mid 50s. little wind. (5)

TUESDAY: An isolated sprinkle otherwise lots of clouds with a few breaks of afternoon sun. A high around 65. Light south breeze. (5)

Looking further ahead…

TUESDAY NIGHT: Scattered clouds. Considerable valley fog. A low in the mid 40s. (4)

WEDNESDAY: Mostly sunny and gorgeous after morning fog. A high in the upper 60s to around 70. (3)

THURSDAY: Bright autumn sunshine after morning fog. A low near 45. A high in the mid 70s. (2)

FRIDAY: Bright autumn sunshine and well above normal temperatures, after morning fog. A low around 55. A high in the mid to upper 70s. (2)

Average lows in the upper 30s to low 40s. Normal highs in the lower 60s.

(Confidence factor: 5 = Good predictability 1 = shaky modeling lowered confidence)

RH/10-3 [end]