Updated Tuesday night Forecast — October 11th, 2016

TONIGHT: Mostly clear with a few high clouds later on. Isolated valley fog. A low in the upper 30s to low 40s. Light south winds. (5)

TOMORROW: Pick of the week. Isolated fog burns off to lots of sunshine. Milder in the afternoon with a high in the middle 60s. South breeze 10 to 15 mph. (5)

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear in the evening, then increasing high clouds. A low in the mid 40s. Light south breeze. (5)

THURSDAY: Partial morning sunshine then thickening clouds leading to a likelihood of showers last part of the afternoon. Breezy. A high nearing 65. South winds 10 to occasionally 20 mph. (5)

Looking further ahead…

THURSDAY NIGHT: Showers tapering off to a few leftover sprinkles overnight. A low around 40. (4)

FRIDAY: Morning clouds then mostly sunny blustery and chilly. A high in the low 50s.(2)

SATURDAY: Mostly sunny after widespread morning frost. A low in the mid 20s to low 30s. A high in the mid 50s. (2)

SUNDAY: Filtered sunshine then thickening clouds later on . A low 35 to 40. A high pushing to near 65. (2)

Average lows in the mid to upper 30s. Normal highs in the mid to upper 50s.

(Confidence factor: 5 = Good predictability 1 = shaky modeling lowered confidence)

RH/10-11 [end]

Updated Tuesday Morning Forecast & WX Notes — October 11th, 2016

· Spectacular stretch of weather into most of Thursday with temperatures above normal and dry weather for leaf-peeping.

· Benign weather in general with our next frontal system and cold front that will provide much needed rainfall to our region Thursday afternoon and evening.

· Colder air will funnel in behind the cold front for Friday with lowering temperatures held into the low 50s for highs in the Friday.

· Looking a pretty decent weekend – dry and though Saturday starts chilly…temperatures once again moderate nicely into the 60s again for Sunday.

· No snow indicated in our region for some time to come – climatologically, this is a typical time of year to see our first snows of the year – generally on grassy surfaces but occasionally closing high elevation passes like Smugglers Notch.

· Snow has advanced across parts of western and far northern Canada and in Asia across Siberia as winter was kicking in across the polar north.

TODAY: Brilliant autumn sunshine after a frosty morning giving way to increasing high clouds late in the day. A high in the mid 60s. Light south winds. (5)

TONIGHT: High cloudiness, otherwise mostly clear. Isolated valley fog. A low 40 to 45. Light south winds. (5)

WEDNESDAY: Pick of the week. Isolated fog burns off to lots of sunshine. Milder in the afternoon with a high in the middle 60s. South breeze 10 to 15 mph. (5)

Looking further ahead…

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear in the evening, then increasing high clouds. A low in the mid 40s. (4)

THURSDAY: Partial morning sunshine then thickening clouds leading to a good chance for rain showers by late in the day. Breezy. A high around 65. (3)

FRIDAY: Morning clouds then mostly sunny blustery and chilly. A low around 40. A high in the low 50s.(2)

SATURDAY: Mostly sunny after morning frost. A low in the upper 20s to mid 30s. A high in the mid 50s. (2)

SUNDAY: Filtered sunshine then thickening clouds later on . A low near 35. A high near 65. (2)

Average lows in the mid to upper 30s. Normal highs in the mid to upper 50s.

(Confidence factor: 5 = Good predictability 1 = shaky modeling lowered confidence)

RH/10-11 [end]

Updated Friday Evening Forecast — October 10th, 2016

Freeze Warnings and Frost Advisories for tonight…

TONIGHT: Clear and cold with widespread frost and freezing conditions.A low ranging from the mid 20s to mid 30s. Little wind. (5)

TOMORROW: Brilliant autumn sunshine after a frosty morning giving way to increasing high clouds later on. A high 60 to 65. Light south winds. (5)

TUESDAY NIGHT: High cloudiness, otherwise mostly clear. Isolated valley fog. A low upper 30s to mid 40s. Light south winds. (5)

WEDNESDAY: Pick of the week. Isolated fog burns off to lots of sunshine. Milder in the afternoon with a high in the middle 60s. South breeze 10 to 15 mph. (4)

Looking further ahead…

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear with patchy valley fog. A low in the mid 40s. (3)

THURSDAY: Partly sunny with increasing clouds in the afternoon leading to a good chance for late afternoon rain showers. A high 60 to 65. (2)

FRIDAY: Morning clouds then mostly sunny blustery and chilly. A low in the low 40s. A high in the low 50s.(2)

SATURDAY: Mostly sunny after morning frost. A low in the upper 20s to mid 30s. A high in the mid 50s. (2)

Average lows in the mid to upper 30s. Normal highs in the mid to upper 50s.

(Confidence factor: 5 = Good predictability 1 = shaky modeling lowered confidence)

RH/10-10 [end]

Update Monday morning forecast & WX notes — October 10th, 2016

· Peak Fall Foliage was occurring across much of northern and central Vermont currently – leaf peepers will have only a few more days to around a week across higher northern areas where it will be past peak soonest…

· Brilliant Fall foliage viewing today with a few morning clouds, and bright sunshine otherwise but dress accordingly as it will be rather chilly today once again in the 50 to 55 range for high temps.

· Next chances for need rainfall not until Thursday – but not expecting very much.

· Temperatures will be very comfortable again staring tomorrow Tuesday with the 60s and then the pick of week Wednesday.

· Very dry conditions continue to put us a mild to moderate drought. Rainfall over the next 7 to 10 days looks to be very limited.

TODAY: Morning clouds especially near the mountains, giving way to bright sunshine and blue skies. Chilly and blustery. A high in the low 50s. Northwest breeze 10 to 20 mph. (5)

Freeze Warnings and Frost Advisories for tonight…

TONIGHT: Clear and cold with widespread frost and freezing conditions.A low ranging from the upper 20s to mid 30s. Little wind. (5)

TUESDAY: Brilliant autumn sunshine after a frosty morning giving way to increasing high clouds later on. A high reaching into the low to mid 60s. Light south winds. (5)

Looking further ahead…

TUESDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Isolated valley fog. A low mid 30s to around 40. (4)

WEDNESDAY: Pick of the week. Isolated fog burns off to lots of sunshine. Milder in the afternoon with a high in the middle 60s. (3)

THURSDAY: Lots of clouds. A rising chance for rain showers late morning into the afternoon. A low in the mid 40s. A high in the low 60s. (2)

FRIDAY: Morning clouds then increasing sunshine. A low 40 to 45. A high in the low to mid 50s.(2)

Average lows in the mid to upper 30s. Normal highs in the mid to upper 50s.

(Confidence factor: 5 = Good predictability 1 = shaky modeling lowered confidence)

RH/10-10 [end]

Updated Friday night Forecast — October 7th, 2016

TONIGHT: Mostly clear this evening, giving way to increasing clouds overnight. Maybe a sprinkle before daybreak with a low in the low 50s. South breeze 10 mph. (5)

TOMORROW: Considerable cloudiness. Occasional light showers later in the afternoon. A high in the mid 60s. South winds 10 to occasional 20 mph. (5)

SATURDAY NIGHT: Cloudy with a chance for showers in the evening, then partly cloudy. A low 45 to 50. West breeze 10 mph. (5)

SUNDAY: Mixed sun and clouds. A couple mountain sprinkles possible. Seasonably chilly. A high near 55. Northwest breeze 10 to 15 mph. (5)

Looking further ahead…

SUNDAY NIGHT: Scattered clouds with considerable valley fog, along with patches of frost. A low in the mid 30s. (4)

MONDAY: Considerable morning fog, then mostly sunny. A high in the mid 50s. (3)

TUESDAY: Morning fog burns off to brilliant Autumn sunshine. A low 35 to 40 with patchy frost possible. A slight warming trend begins. A high close to 60. (2)

WEDNESDAY: Morning clouds and fog followed by partial sunshine. A low around 40. Milder in the afternoon with a high in the mid 60s. (2)

THURSDAY: Partly cloudy. A low in the mid 40s. A high 65 to 70.

Average lows in the upper 30s to around 40. Normal highs around 60.

(Confidence factor: 5 = Good predictability 1 = shaky modeling lowered confidence)

RH/10-7 [end]

Updated Friday morning forecast & WX Notes

· Gorgeous Weather across the Northeast continues today with mild temperatures courtesy of a large arc of high pressure providing beautiful Autumn Weather and excellent Fall Color.

· This high pressure system will shift east allowing a cold front to approach the region, along with a mini surge of moisture shooting northeast.

· This little shot of clouds is associated with moisture way down to our south from Category 3 Hurricane Matthew now tracking up the northern Florida coast toward eastern Ge3ogorgia while arcing offshore and looping.

· The track of Matthew remains one of the more peculiar tracks and is unprecedented.

· The better news is that Matthew has remained a little offshore and deadliest part of a hurricane is the NE Quadrant where frictional forces spin up micro vortices or mini tornadoes adding to strong wind fields and storm surge.

· Our Weekend will be predominantly cloudy and showery Saturday as a cold front introduces colder conditions, sunshine may be a little harder pressed to breakout Sunday but eventually it will in the later afternoon.

· Frost was possible Sunday night and again Monday night – so cover or harvest. Another excellent dry stretch of weather was indicated for most of next week but enhance drought to near drought conditions across Vermont.

TODAY: Bright autumn sunshine and well above normal temperatures, after morning fog. A high in the mid 70s. South breeze 10 mph. (5)

TONIGHT: Mostly clear this evening, giving way to increasing overnight. A rising chance for a few showers before daybreak. A low in the low 50s. South breeze 10 mph. (5)

SATURDAY: Gray and cloudy with occasional light showers especially in the afternoon. A high in the mid 60s. South winds 10 to 15 mph. (5)

Looking further ahead…

SATURDAY NIGHT: Cloudy with a chance for showers in the evening, Otherwise mostly cloudy. A low 45 to 50. (4)

SUNDAY: More clouds than sun with scattered mountain sprinkles possible. Much cooler. A high in the mid 50s. (3)

MONDAY: Considerable valley fog with patchy frost, then increasing sunshine. A low in the mid 30s. A high in the mid 50s. (2)

TUESDAY: Partly to mostly sunny after morning fog. A low 35 to 40 with patchy frost possible. A warming trend begins. A high 60 to 65. (2)

WEDNESDAY: Morning clouds and fog followed by partly sunny skies. A low 40 to 45. Milder. A high in the mid 60s. (2)

THURSDAY: Partly cloudy. A low in the mid 40s. A high in the upper 60s to around 70.

Average lows in the upper 30s to around 40. Normal highs around 60.

(Confidence factor: 5 = Good predictability 1 = shaky modeling lowered confidence)

RH/10-6 [end]

Updated Thursday Night Forecast — October 6th, 2016

TONIGHT: Mostly clear. Patchy valley fog. A low upper 40s. Little wind. (5)

TOMORROW: Bright autumn sunshine and well above normal temperatures, after morning fog. A high in the mid 70s. South breeze 10 mph. (5)

FRIDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Clouds increasing later overnight. A low 50 to 55. South breeze 10 mph. (5)

SATURDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance for showers. A high in the mid 60s. South winds 10 to 15 mph. (5)

Looking further ahead…

SATURDAY NIGHT: Cloudy with a chance for showers in the evening, Becoming partly cloudy overnight. A low in the mid 40s. (4)

SUNDAY: Fog burns off to a mix of clouds and sunshine. Much cooler. A high in the mid 50s. (3)

MONDAY: Patchy fog, burns off to bright sunshine and blue skies. A low in the mid 30s with patchy frost. A high in the mid 50s. (2)

TUESDAY: Partly to mostly sunny after morning fog. A low 35 to 40 with patchy frost possible. A warming trend begins. A high in the mid 60s. (2)

WEDNESDAY: Morning clouds and fog followed by partly sunny skies. A low near 45. Milder. A high in the mid to upper 60s. (2)

Average lows in the upper 30s to around 40. Normal highs around 60.

(Confidence factor: 5 = Good predictability 1 = shaky modeling lowered confidence)

RH/10-6 [end]

Updated Wednesday Evening Forecast — October 5th, 2016

TONIGHT: Mostly clear. Patchy valley fog. A low near 45. Little wind. (5)

TOMORROW: Bright autumn sunshine after morning fog. Milder with a high 70 to 75. Light west winds. (5)

THURSDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Patchy valley fog. A low upper 40s to around 50. Little wind. (5)

FRIDAY: Bright autumn sunshine and well above normal temperatures, after morning fog. A high in the mid 70s. South breeze 10 mph. (5)

Looking further ahead…

FRIDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear early then increasing clouds after midnight. A low around 55. (4)

SATURDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance for showers. A high in the mid to upper 60s. (3)

SUNDAY: Variable morning clouds and fog, giving way to increasing amounts of sunshine. Turning much cooler. A low 45 to 50. A high in the 50s. (2)

MONDAY: Patchy fog, burns off to mostly sunny skies. A low in the 30s with patchy frost. A high in the mid 50s. (2)

TUESDAY: Partly to mostly sunny after morning fog. A low 35 to 40. A high in the 60s. (2)

Average lows in the upper 30s to low 40s. Normal highs in the lower 60s.

(Confidence factor: 5 = Good predictability 1 = shaky modeling lowered confidence)

RH/10-5 [end]

Updated Wednesday morning Forecast & WX Notes — October 5th, 2016

· Other than variable clouds and a slow burning off of fog today – our weather should include lots of sunshine for the afternoon with temps in the mid and upper 60s.

· Temps tomorrow increase reaching into the low and mid 70s Thursday and peak out mid to possibly upper 70s on Friday.

· Mathew is a giant concern to the southeast U.S. from NC. Outerbanks south down into Florida – however latest model guidance has kept Mathew from pushing up the coast or even off the coast – for quite a while – as it may loop well south of Cape Hatteras in the next few to9 several days.

· Mathew still could confound the computer modeled steering currents, so it will be monitored very closely, but we might be talking about Matthew well into “Next Week”

From 7 AM this morning – Stats on Mathew

Maximum Winds: 110 kts Gusts: 135 kts (a strong Category 3 Hurricane)
Minimum Central Pressure: 962 mb
Environmental Pressure: 1008 mb
Radius of Circulation: 270 NM
Radius of Maximum Wind: 15 NM
Eye Diameter: 15 NM

TODAY: Variable morning clouds and fog giving way to increasing amounts of sunshine. A high in the mid to upper 60s. Light west winds. (5)

TONIGHT: Mostly clear. Patchy valley fog. A low near 45. Little wind. (5)

THURSDAY: Bright autumn sunshine after morning fog. Milder with a high in the low 70s. Light west winds. (5)

Looking further ahead…

THURSDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Patchy valley fog. A low near 50. (4)

FRIDAY: Bright autumn sunshine and well above normal temperatures, after morning fog. A high in the mid 70s. (3)

SATURDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance for showers. A low around 55. A high in the mid to upper 60s. (2)

SUNDAY: Variable morning clouds and fog, giving way to increasing amounts of sunshine. Turning much cooler. A low 45 to 50. A high in the 50s. (2)

MONDAY: Patchy fog, burns off to mostly sunny skies. A low in the 30s with patchy frost. A high in the mid 50s.

TUESDAY: Partly to mostly sunny after morning fog. A low 35 to 40. A high in the 60s.

Average lows in the upper 30s to low 40s. Normal highs in the lower 60s.

(Confidence factor: 5 = Good predictability 1 = shaky modeling lowered confidence)

RH/10-5 [end]

Updated Tuesday Evening forecast — October 4th, 2016

TONIGHT: Mostly clear. Considerable valley fog. A low in the mid 40s. Little wind. (5)

TOMORROW: Mostly sunny and gorgeous after morning fog and low clouds. A high in the mid 60s. Little wind. (5)

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Patchy valley fog. A low near 45. Little wind. (5)

THURSDAY: Bright autumn sunshine after morning fog. A high in the low 70s. Light west winds. (4)

Looking further ahead…

THURSDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Patchy valley fog. A low near 50. (4)

FRIDAY: Bright autumn sunshine and well above normal temperatures, after morning fog. A high in the mid 70s. (3)

SATURDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance for showers. A low 50 to 55. A high in the low 70s. (2)

SUNDAY: Mainly cloudy and becoming breezy. Slight chance for showers far southern areas. A low 45 to 50. A high in the upper 50s to low 60s. (2)

Average lows in the upper 30s to low 40s. Normal highs in the lower 60s.

(Confidence factor: 5 = Good predictability 1 = shaky modeling lowered confidence)

RH/10-3 [end]