· As well forecast by the computer models a swath of significant rainfall has fallen along an axis from northeast-southwest with Plattsburg receiving over 1.5” this swath of steadier rainfall will shift slightly north of the Champlain Valley and we’ll likely see a period drier weather this morning but more showers shift in from the south with tropical moisture entrained.

· This means showers this afternoon spreading in from the south with some showers locally heavy at times.

· More moderate to heavy showers or periods of rain continues Friday night into Saturday.

· Colder air along the backside of this potent storm system will transition the precipitation from rain drops to snowflakes starting on the higher mountains slopes and slowly coming down to near base lodge elevations of the ski resorts across the Green Mountains or 1500 to 2000 ft.

· Several inches of wet snow accumulation was likely with a rain and possible snow mix but little to no accumulation on valley floors indicated Saturday night into the morning on Sunday.

· The potent storm system then pulls away delivering gusty winds to the region but also some partial afternoon sunshine developing Sunday afternoon.

· We have not had many storms like this recently so it will likely be a shock to the system especially for those higher locations seeing snow.

TODAY: Lots of clouds. Showers becoming numerous mid afternoon on…heavy at times. Milder with a high in the mid to upper 60s. South to southeast winds 10 to 20 mph.

TONIGHT: Cloudy. Periods of showers or rain moderate to heavy at times. A low in the mid 40s. North to northwest winds 10 mph.

SATURDAY: Cloudy and raw. Periods of rain or showers…possibly heavy at times…mixing with wet snow across local high terrain late. Temperatures in the mid 40s. West winds 10 to 15 mph.

Looking further ahead…

SATURDAY NIGHT: Mixed rain valley floors and wet snow, with several inches of accumulation across high terrain. A low in the mid 30s.

SUNDAY: Periods of wet snow mixed with rain valley floors in the morning with some additional accumulation in the mountains. Mixed precipitation tapers off before exiting in the afternoon to partial sunshine. Blustery to windy. A high 40 to 45.

MONDAY: Partly to mostly cloudy and continued blustery. Scattered rain or snow showers. Some minor snow accumulation high terrain. A low around 35. A high in the low 40s.

TUESDAY: Partly to mostly cloudy, still blustery with scattered snow showers or flurries. Some minor accumulation northern mountains. A low 32 to 35. A high in the upper 30s.

WEDNESDAY: Morning clouds then partly to mostly sunny in the afternoon. A low upper 20s to low 30s. A high around 40.

THURSDAY: Cloudy with a rising chance for rain or showers in the afternoon. A low near 30. A high in the 45 to 50.

Average lows low 30s. Normal highs mid 50s

(Confidence factor: 5 = Good predictability 1 = shaky modeling lowered confidence) RH/10-20 [end]