Updated Wednesday morning Forecast & WX Notes — October 5th, 2016

· Other than variable clouds and a slow burning off of fog today – our weather should include lots of sunshine for the afternoon with temps in the mid and upper 60s.

· Temps tomorrow increase reaching into the low and mid 70s Thursday and peak out mid to possibly upper 70s on Friday.

· Mathew is a giant concern to the southeast U.S. from NC. Outerbanks south down into Florida – however latest model guidance has kept Mathew from pushing up the coast or even off the coast – for quite a while – as it may loop well south of Cape Hatteras in the next few to9 several days.

· Mathew still could confound the computer modeled steering currents, so it will be monitored very closely, but we might be talking about Matthew well into “Next Week”

From 7 AM this morning – Stats on Mathew

Maximum Winds: 110 kts Gusts: 135 kts (a strong Category 3 Hurricane)
Minimum Central Pressure: 962 mb
Environmental Pressure: 1008 mb
Radius of Circulation: 270 NM
Radius of Maximum Wind: 15 NM
Eye Diameter: 15 NM

TODAY: Variable morning clouds and fog giving way to increasing amounts of sunshine. A high in the mid to upper 60s. Light west winds. (5)

TONIGHT: Mostly clear. Patchy valley fog. A low near 45. Little wind. (5)

THURSDAY: Bright autumn sunshine after morning fog. Milder with a high in the low 70s. Light west winds. (5)

Looking further ahead…

THURSDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Patchy valley fog. A low near 50. (4)

FRIDAY: Bright autumn sunshine and well above normal temperatures, after morning fog. A high in the mid 70s. (3)

SATURDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance for showers. A low around 55. A high in the mid to upper 60s. (2)

SUNDAY: Variable morning clouds and fog, giving way to increasing amounts of sunshine. Turning much cooler. A low 45 to 50. A high in the 50s. (2)

MONDAY: Patchy fog, burns off to mostly sunny skies. A low in the 30s with patchy frost. A high in the mid 50s.

TUESDAY: Partly to mostly sunny after morning fog. A low 35 to 40. A high in the 60s.

Average lows in the upper 30s to low 40s. Normal highs in the lower 60s.

(Confidence factor: 5 = Good predictability 1 = shaky modeling lowered confidence)

RH/10-5 [end]

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