· A dry day to start for most of us and will end rather wet with copious showers and even periods of rain nearest the Canadian border.

· This weather system is tracking a little further north and putting us into the warm sector where rain showers will be moderate to heavy, and include some thunderstorms especially southern western Vermont later today and this evening.

· Strong to severe thunderstorms were on target for primarily central and eastern New York today.

· Clouds will lower and thicken and showers across southern Vermont will spread northeastward through the afternoon. Thus if you want to avoid any rain do things this morning as opposed to the afternoon.

· The bulk of this precipitation will track through this evening and leave a few light showers, sprinkles across the northern high terrain to start the day Wednesday.

· Cold front pushes toward out region on Thursday afternoon and evening and falls apart. High pressure brings fair & dry weather Friday into Saturday and overnight modeling makes this now last into Sunday for what looks to be a choice weekend of dry fair but warm to hot weather.

· Dew points creep up again Sunday as it will be increasingly sticky Sunday.

TODAY: Filtered morning sun early, then thickening clouds with occasional showers this afternoon. Chance for a late day thunderstorm toward Rutland. A high in the mid 70s. Light southeast winds. (5)

TONIGHT: Cloudy with periods of rain far northern areas. Occasional showers… moderate to heavy with a risk for thunder. Rather muggy and damp with a low in the mid 60s. Southeast breeze shifting to southwesterly 10 to occasionally 20 mph overnight. (4)

WEDNESDAY: Scattered morning sprinkles giving way to partial afternoon sunshine. A high in the mid to upper 70s. Winds becoming northwest 10 to 20 mph. (4)

Looking further ahead…

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Considerable valley fog. A low in the low 60s. (3)

THURSDAY: Morning sun then increasing clouds. Isolated late afternoon showers and thunderstorms. A high in the low 80s. (3)

FRIDAY: Pick of the week. Mostly sunny after morning fog. A low near 60. A high 80 to 85. (2)

SATURDAY: Considerable amounts of sunshine with a few high clouds. A low in the mid 50s. A high in the mid 80s. (2)

SUNDAY: Mixed sun and clouds. warm and sticky. A low in the 60s. A high in the 80s.

Average lows mid to upper 50s. Normal high mid to upper 70s.

(Confidence factor: 5 = Good predictability 1 = shaky modeling lowered confidence)

RH/8-16 [end]